Game Analysis
CINCINNATI (-16.5) 27 Tulsa 14
My math model favors Cincy by 16.5 points but the Bearcats apply to a 26-89-2 ATS big home favorite letdown situation while Tulsa applies to a 112-40-1 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation based on last week’s 17-45 loss to Navy.
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.6
45.2
-
Run Yards
175.9
247.5
-
YPRP
4.8
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.1
14.6
-
Pass Att
28.6
26.5
-
Comp %
52.7%
55.0%
-
Pass Yards
201.6
178.4
-
Sacks
3.3
1.2
-
Sack Yards
20.7
9.4
-
Sack %
10.3%
4.3%
-
Pass Plays
31.8
27.6
-
Net Pass Yards
180.9
169.0
-
YPPP
5.7
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
72.4
72.8
-
Total Yards
377.5
425.8
-
YPPL
5.2
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.7
-
Int %
1.9%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.9
32.8
-
Run Yards
226.8
117.8
-
YPRP
5.8
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.0
14.3
-
Pass Att
29.9
30.0
-
Comp %
60.0%
47.8%
-
Pass Yards
224.2
205.3
-
Sacks
2.1
2.8
-
Sack Yards
14.4
18.5
-
Sack %
6.6%
8.4%
-
Pass Plays
32.1
32.8
-
Net Pass Yards
209.8
186.8
-
YPPP
6.5
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
73.9
65.5
-
Total Yards
451.0
323.1
-
YPPL
6.1
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.1
-
Int %
2.1%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
1.1
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.8
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 10/04/18 @ Houston |
26-41 |
+18.5
W
|
53/39 |
224/314 |
4.2/8.1 |
2/1 |
13/19 |
31/27 |
200/165 |
1/2 |
4/0 |
5.7/6.1 |
424/479 |
4.8/7.3 |
| 10/12/18 South Florida |
24-25 |
+7.5
W
|
46/44 |
230/264 |
5.0/6.0 |
0/0 |
6/17 |
21/39 |
69/228 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
2.9/5.4 |
299/492 |
4.3/5.7 |
| 10/20/18 @ Arkansas |
0-23 |
+7.0
L
|
33/50 |
174/211 |
5.3/4.2 |
1/1 |
8/11 |
25/19 |
92/131 |
1/1 |
6/0 |
3.0/6.9 |
266/342 |
4.2/5.0 |
| 10/27/18 Tulane |
17-24 |
+1.0
L
|
33/51 |
150/321 |
4.5/6.3 |
1/1 |
12/10 |
26/19 |
165/92 |
0/0 |
2/0 |
5.9/4.8 |
315/413 |
5.2/5.9 |
| 11/03/18 Connecticut |
49-19 |
-18.0
W
|
53/48 |
487/262 |
9.2/5.5 |
1/2 |
9/14 |
14/28 |
156/224 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
9.8/7.5 |
643/486 |
9.3/6.2 |
| 11/10/18 @ Memphis |
21-47 |
+17.0
L
|
36/53 |
147/300 |
4.1/5.7 |
1/1 |
14/16 |
26/23 |
105/202 |
0/0 |
5/0 |
3.4/8.8 |
252/502 |
3.8/6.6 |
| 11/17/18 @ Navy |
29-37 |
+6.0
L
|
44/61 |
164/395 |
3.7/6.5 |
1/1 |
19/1 |
28/2 |
206/15 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
7.4/7.5 |
370/410 |
5.1/6.5 |
| 11/24/18 SMU |
27-24 |
+3.0
W
|
43/26 |
171/120 |
4.0/4.6 |
0/0 |
21/26 |
28/46 |
251/255 |
1/2 |
3/5 |
8.1/5.0 |
422/375 |
5.7/4.9 |
| 08/30/19 @ Michigan St. |
7-28 |
+23.5
W
|
16/39 |
12/119 |
0.8/3.1 |
2/0 |
16/22 |
27/38 |
108/190 |
1/0 |
7/1 |
3.2/4.9 |
120/309 |
2.4/4.0 |
| 09/07/19 @ San Jose St. |
34-16 |
-6.5
W
|
51/30 |
262/125 |
5.1/4.2 |
0/1 |
21/21 |
28/37 |
283/224 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
10.1/5.9 |
545/349 |
6.9/5.1 |
| 09/14/19 Oklahoma St. |
21-40 |
+14.0
L
|
50/46 |
170/343 |
3.4/7.5 |
0/1 |
19/12 |
35/22 |
236/149 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
6.2/6.8 |
406/492 |
4.6/7.2 |
| 09/21/19 Wyoming |
24-21 |
-3.5
L
|
34/33 |
135/148 |
4.0/4.5 |
1/1 |
25/10 |
50/32 |
304/209 |
0/0 |
7/1 |
5.3/6.3 |
439/357 |
4.8/5.4 |
| 10/05/19 @ SMU |
37-43 |
+12.5
W
|
34/46 |
159/150 |
4.7/3.3 |
0/2 |
23/24 |
41/42 |
341/287 |
3/0 |
1/3 |
8.1/6.4 |
500/437 |
6.6/4.8 |
| 10/12/19 Navy |
17-45 |
+1.0
L
|
25/56 |
93/391 |
3.7/7.0 |
0/1 |
23/3 |
49/5 |
220/35 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
4.2/7.0 |
313/426 |
4.0/7.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/29/18 @ Connecticut |
49-7 |
-17.5
W
|
50/26 |
338/94 |
6.8/3.6 |
1/0 |
23/15 |
29/36 |
299/176 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
9.6/4.8 |
637/270 |
7.9/4.3 |
| 10/06/18 Tulane |
37-21 |
-7.0
W
|
46/33 |
287/156 |
6.2/4.7 |
2/1 |
15/12 |
25/31 |
154/101 |
1/0 |
2/5 |
5.7/2.8 |
441/257 |
6.0/3.7 |
| 10/20/18 @ Temple |
17-24 |
+3.0
L
|
43/30 |
244/80 |
5.7/2.7 |
2/0 |
14/20 |
33/42 |
88/237 |
1/3 |
3/0 |
2.4/5.6 |
332/317 |
4.2/4.4 |
| 10/27/18 @ SMU |
26-20 |
-8.5
L
|
33/22 |
168/38 |
5.1/1.7 |
1/0 |
33/22 |
50/43 |
314/313 |
2/1 |
4/2 |
5.8/7.0 |
482/351 |
5.5/5.2 |
| 11/03/18 Navy |
42-0 |
-13.0
W
|
41/47 |
278/165 |
6.8/3.5 |
0/1 |
14/3 |
20/4 |
189/10 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
9.5/1.1 |
467/175 |
7.7/3.1 |
| 11/10/18 South Florida |
35-23 |
-14.0
L
|
48/24 |
264/108 |
5.5/4.5 |
2/0 |
17/14 |
24/32 |
174/205 |
0/0 |
3/5 |
6.4/5.5 |
438/313 |
5.8/5.1 |
| 11/17/18 @ UCF |
13-38 |
+7.5
L
|
51/31 |
271/163 |
5.3/5.3 |
3/1 |
11/13 |
26/25 |
109/240 |
0/0 |
4/4 |
3.6/8.3 |
380/403 |
4.7/6.7 |
| 11/23/18 East Carolina |
56-6 |
-17.0
W
|
38/29 |
244/108 |
6.4/3.7 |
1/2 |
25/10 |
40/28 |
394/189 |
0/3 |
0/3 |
9.9/6.1 |
638/297 |
8.2/5.0 |
| 12/31/18 @ Virginia Tech |
35-31 |
-6.0
L
|
34/44 |
244/238 |
7.2/5.4 |
0/1 |
15/20 |
32/31 |
206/218 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
6.4/6.8 |
450/456 |
6.8/6.0 |
| 08/29/19 UCLA |
24-14 |
-2.5
W
|
45/34 |
193/106 |
4.3/3.1 |
1/2 |
18/8 |
26/26 |
234/138 |
1/2 |
1/2 |
8.7/4.9 |
427/244 |
5.9/3.9 |
| 09/07/19 @ Ohio St. |
0-42 |
+15.5
L
|
29/44 |
83/276 |
2.9/6.3 |
1/0 |
13/22 |
23/27 |
155/240 |
1/0 |
5/1 |
5.5/8.6 |
238/516 |
4.2/7.2 |
| 09/14/19 Miami Ohio |
35-13 |
-17.5
W
|
44/34 |
257/107 |
5.8/3.1 |
0/1 |
14/10 |
30/18 |
163/102 |
1/0 |
4/5 |
4.8/4.4 |
420/209 |
5.4/3.7 |
| 09/28/19 @ Marshall |
52-14 |
-4.0
W
|
49/27 |
230/139 |
4.7/5.1 |
1/0 |
21/11 |
26/29 |
239/117 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
8.5/3.8 |
469/256 |
6.1/4.4 |
| 10/04/19 UCF |
27-24 |
+3.5
W
|
39/39 |
203/147 |
5.2/3.8 |
0/1 |
17/25 |
31/46 |
140/281 |
1/3 |
1/3 |
4.4/5.7 |
343/428 |
4.8/4.9 |
| 10/12/19 @ Houston |
38-23 |
-7.0
W
|
31/36 |
146/197 |
4.7/5.5 |
0/1 |
14/10 |
24/30 |
250/227 |
1/4 |
2/1 |
9.6/7.3 |
396/424 |
6.9/6.3 |
Tulsa
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