Game Analysis
HOUSTON (-7.5) 38 Tulane 34
Possible first overall NFL draft pick DT Ed Oliver is out again this week and the Houston run defense, which was among the best in the nation with Oliver (0.9 yards per rushing play better than average after compensating for opposition), has been 0.5 yprp worse than average in 3 games without Oliver (5.8 yprp allowed to 3 teams that would combine to average 5.3 yprp against an average team). That’s quite a significant difference and facing a Tulane team that runs the ball over 60% of the team will magnify Oliver’s absence. Fellow DT Jerard Carter is also out and Temple ran all over the Cougars last week without those two big men anchoring the defensive line.
Tulane quarterback Jonathan Banks is probably going to be out again, which is not really a problem given how well Justin McMillan has played so far. I’ll lean with Tulane plus the points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.7
33.7
-
Run Yards
218.0
145.0
-
YPRP
5.7
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
11.2
20.3
-
Pass Att
22.5
38.6
-
Comp %
49.8%
52.6%
-
Pass Yards
179.2
280.7
-
Sacks
3.5
2.9
-
Sack Yards
20.3
16.3
-
Sack %
13.5%
7.0%
-
Pass Plays
26.0
41.5
-
Net Pass Yards
158.9
264.4
-
YPPP
6.1
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
67.7
75.2
-
Total Yards
397.2
425.7
-
YPPL
5.9
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.2
1.0
-
Int %
0.9%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.9
44.6
-
Run Yards
221.7
190.1
-
YPRP
5.9
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.7
25.0
-
Pass Att
35.4
40.3
-
Comp %
61.1%
62.0%
-
Pass Yards
311.6
309.0
-
Sacks
1.3
2.1
-
Sack Yards
7.4
12.8
-
Sack %
3.6%
5.0%
-
Pass Plays
36.8
42.4
-
Net Pass Yards
304.1
296.2
-
YPPP
8.3
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
75.7
87.0
-
Total Yards
533.2
499.1
-
YPPL
7.0
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.0
-
Int %
1.6%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.9
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/30/18 Wake Forest |
17-23 |
+6.0
T
|
39/42 |
166/172 |
4.3/4.1 |
1/1 |
18/31 |
37/51 |
270/376 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
6.8/7.2 |
436/548 |
5.5/5.8 |
09/08/18 Nicholls State |
42-17 |
0.0
W
|
37/37 |
307/178 |
8.3/4.8 |
1/0 |
12/17 |
16/32 |
158/237 |
0/2 |
4/2 |
7.9/7.0 |
465/415 |
8.2/5.8 |
09/15/18 @ UAB |
24-31 |
-3.5
L
|
33/56 |
205/269 |
6.2/4.8 |
2/0 |
7/12 |
24/27 |
145/180 |
1/2 |
6/0 |
4.8/6.7 |
350/449 |
5.6/5.4 |
09/22/18 @ Ohio St. |
6-49 |
+37.0
L
|
35/35 |
145/162 |
4.1/4.6 |
0/0 |
10/31 |
16/38 |
118/407 |
0/0 |
6/3 |
5.4/9.9 |
263/569 |
4.6/7.5 |
09/28/18 Memphis |
40-24 |
+14.5
W
|
50/14 |
343/78 |
6.9/5.6 |
0/0 |
13/14 |
22/30 |
160/199 |
0/0 |
3/7 |
6.4/5.4 |
503/277 |
6.7/5.4 |
10/06/18 @ Cincinnati |
21-37 |
+7.0
L
|
33/46 |
156/287 |
4.7/6.2 |
1/2 |
12/15 |
31/25 |
101/154 |
0/1 |
5/2 |
2.8/5.7 |
257/441 |
3.7/6.0 |
10/20/18 SMU |
23-27 |
-7.0
L
|
41/24 |
196/76 |
4.8/3.2 |
2/0 |
14/21 |
22/40 |
125/270 |
1/1 |
5/3 |
4.6/6.3 |
321/346 |
4.7/5.2 |
10/27/18 @ Tulsa |
24-17 |
-1.0
W
|
51/33 |
321/150 |
6.3/4.5 |
1/1 |
10/12 |
19/26 |
92/165 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
4.8/5.9 |
413/315 |
5.9/5.2 |
11/03/18 @ South Florida |
41-15 |
+6.0
W
|
51/29 |
374/120 |
7.3/4.1 |
1/2 |
4/29 |
10/49 |
55/327 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
5.0/6.2 |
429/447 |
6.9/5.5 |
11/10/18 East Carolina |
24-18 |
-11.5
L
|
47/21 |
170/121 |
3.6/5.8 |
1/0 |
12/21 |
28/68 |
365/329 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
12.2/4.5 |
535/450 |
6.9/4.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 @ Rice |
45-27 |
-25.5
L
|
36/40 |
257/158 |
7.1/4.0 |
2/0 |
18/24 |
25/39 |
325/281 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
13.0/6.7 |
582/439 |
9.5/5.4 |
09/08/18 Arizona |
45-18 |
-3.5
W
|
40/49 |
297/161 |
7.4/3.3 |
0/0 |
19/28 |
40/50 |
282/379 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
7.1/7.4 |
579/540 |
7.2/5.4 |
09/15/18 @ Texas Tech |
49-63 |
-1.0
L
|
39/37 |
174/121 |
4.5/3.3 |
0/1 |
31/43 |
52/59 |
461/596 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
8.7/9.9 |
635/717 |
6.9/7.4 |
09/22/18 Texas Southern |
70-14 |
0.0
W
|
41/26 |
302/68 |
7.4/2.6 |
0/1 |
32/19 |
48/43 |
385/270 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
8.0/6.1 |
687/338 |
7.7/4.8 |
10/04/18 Tulsa |
41-26 |
-18.5
L
|
39/53 |
314/224 |
8.1/4.2 |
1/2 |
19/13 |
27/31 |
165/200 |
2/1 |
0/4 |
6.1/5.7 |
479/424 |
7.3/4.8 |
10/13/18 @ East Carolina |
42-20 |
-16.0
W
|
40/29 |
174/41 |
4.4/1.4 |
0/1 |
16/38 |
28/63 |
232/323 |
0/3 |
3/2 |
7.5/5.0 |
406/364 |
5.7/3.9 |
10/20/18 @ Navy |
49-36 |
-11.5
W
|
24/64 |
161/372 |
6.7/5.8 |
1/0 |
25/10 |
38/15 |
405/104 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
10.7/5.8 |
566/476 |
9.1/5.8 |
10/27/18 South Florida |
57-36 |
-8.5
W
|
48/40 |
265/213 |
5.5/5.3 |
0/1 |
28/26 |
40/39 |
417/253 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
10.2/6.2 |
682/466 |
7.7/5.8 |
11/03/18 @ SMU |
31-45 |
-14.0
L
|
43/36 |
190/211 |
4.4/5.9 |
2/1 |
11/28 |
22/44 |
155/313 |
0/0 |
4/1 |
6.0/7.0 |
345/524 |
5.0/6.5 |
11/10/18 Temple |
49-59 |
-4.5
L
|
41/53 |
230/325 |
5.6/6.1 |
2/1 |
28/15 |
47/23 |
295/217 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
5.9/8.7 |
525/542 |
5.8/6.9 |