Toledo
@ 
Akron
Game Analysis
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Toledo (-8.5) 26 AKRON 19
My model favors Toledo by 9.7 points but last game home underdogs of more than 7 points that are out of bowl game contention (win percentage less than 0.400) are 53-21-2 ATS against a .500 or better team coming off a loss. I’ll pass.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Toledo
- Akron
TOL
Offense
Defense
Rush
- Run Plays 31.1 36.4
- Run Yards 121.6 159.2
- YPRP 3.9 4.4
Pass
- Pass Comp 19.8 19.8
- Pass Att 32.8 33.9
- Comp % 60.4% 58.4%
- Pass Yards 237.1 215.4
- Sacks 1.5 2.5
- Sack Yards 8.6 15.0
- Sack % 4.4% 6.9%
- Pass Plays 34.3 36.4
- Net Pass Yards 228.5 200.4
- YPPP 6.7 5.5
Total
- Total Plays 65.4 72.8
- Total Yards 350.1 359.6
- YPPL 5.4 4.9
TO
- Int 0.7 0.9
- Int % 2.1% 2.7%
- Fumbles 0.9 0.5
- Turnovers 1.6 1.4
- Points 27.8 20.1
AKR
Offense
Defense
Rush
- Run Plays 24.6 36.7
- Run Yards 117.6 193.2
- YPRP 4.8 5.3
Pass
- Pass Comp 20.1 17.4
- Pass Att 36.1 27.2
- Comp % 55.7% 63.9%
- Pass Yards 234.6 223.8
- Sacks 2.9 1.5
- Sack Yards 19.2 8.8
- Sack % 7.5% 5.1%
- Pass Plays 39.0 28.6
- Net Pass Yards 215.4 215.0
- YPPP 5.5 7.5
Total
- Total Plays 63.6 65.4
- Total Yards 333.0 408.2
- YPPL 5.2 6.2
TO
- Int 0.8 0.3
- Int % 2.3% 1.0%
- Fumbles 0.9 0.6
- Turnovers 1.7 0.8
- Points 20.4 33.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | |||||||||||
| Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl |
| 08/29/24 Duquesne | 49-10 | 0.0 W | 35/26 | 202/132 | 5.8/5.1 | 0/2 | 21/17 | 29/29 | 239/151 | 0/1 | 2/1 | 7.7/5.0 | 441/283 | 6.7/5.1 |
| 09/07/24 Massachusetts | 38-23 | -18.0 L | 19/43 | 92/154 | 4.8/3.6 | 0/0 | 8/26 | 23/40 | 175/230 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 7.6/5.1 | 267/384 | 6.4/4.4 |
| 09/14/24 @ Mississippi St. | 41-17 | +9.5 W | 45/22 | 166/92 | 3.7/4.2 | 1/1 | 23/28 | 28/39 | 285/288 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 10.2/6.5 | 451/380 | 6.2/5.8 |
| 09/21/24 @ Western Kentucky | 21-12 | -2.5 W | 40/25 | 135/74 | 3.4/3.0 | 2/1 | 19/20 | 33/30 | 188/241 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 5.4/7.5 | 323/315 | 4.3/5.5 |
| 10/05/24 Miami Ohio | 30-20 | -6.5 W | 36/21 | 101/64 | 2.8/3.0 | 0/0 | 27/23 | 38/46 | 307/286 | 2/1 | 1/2 | 7.9/6.0 | 408/350 | 5.4/5.1 |
| 10/12/24 @ Buffalo | 15-30 | -10.5 L | 22/47 | 74/253 | 3.4/5.4 | 2/0 | 30/11 | 49/20 | 352/117 | 0/0 | 3/1 | 6.8/5.6 | 426/370 | 5.8/5.4 |
| 10/19/24 @ Northern Ill | 13-6 | +3.0 W | 34/44 | 139/183 | 4.1/4.2 | 0/0 | 15/22 | 28/46 | 147/209 | 0/0 | 2/1 | 4.9/4.4 | 286/392 | 4.5/4.3 |
| 10/26/24 Bowling Green | 26-41 | -2.5 L | 27/35 | 110/229 | 4.1/6.5 | 0/0 | 30/18 | 45/28 | 312/173 | 2/0 | 1/2 | 6.8/5.8 | 422/402 | 5.8/6.2 |
| 11/02/24 @ Eastern Mich | 29-28 | -9.5 L | 31/40 | 167/183 | 5.4/4.6 | 1/0 | 18/23 | 34/44 | 228/215 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 6.5/4.7 | 395/398 | 6.0/4.6 |
| 11/12/24 Central Mich | 37-10 | -14.5 W | 35/32 | 191/129 | 5.5/4.0 | 0/3 | 14/16 | 24/27 | 130/116 | 0/2 | 2/5 | 5.0/3.6 | 321/245 | 5.3/3.8 |
| 11/20/24 Ohio | 7-24 | -1.5 L | 22/55 | 41/231 | 1.9/4.2 | 3/0 | 14/11 | 26/19 | 161/129 | 0/1 | 3/0 | 5.6/6.8 | 202/360 | 4.0/4.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | |||||||||||
| Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl |
| 08/31/24 @ Ohio St. | 6-52 | +50.0 W | 29/32 | 84/190 | 2.9/5.9 | 1/0 | 18/19 | 29/31 | 105/252 | 1/0 | 5/0 | 3.1/8.1 | 189/442 | 3.0/7.0 |
| 09/07/24 @ Rutgers | 17-49 | +23.0 L | 22/44 | 108/285 | 4.9/6.5 | 0/0 | 16/14 | 34/23 | 134/230 | 1/1 | 2/0 | 3.7/10.0 | 242/515 | 4.2/7.7 |
| 09/14/24 Colgate | 31-20 | 0.0 W | 25/27 | 92/92 | 3.7/3.4 | 1/1 | 29/18 | 45/31 | 324/139 | 1/1 | 6/2 | 6.4/4.2 | 416/231 | 5.5/3.9 |
| 09/21/24 @ South Carolina | 7-50 | +27.0 L | 18/49 | 53/298 | 2.9/6.1 | 0/1 | 16/19 | 30/27 | 120/263 | 1/0 | 2/3 | 3.8/8.8 | 173/561 | 3.5/7.1 |
| 09/28/24 @ Ohio | 10-30 | +10.0 L | 14/49 | 25/245 | 1.8/5.0 | 0/2 | 25/12 | 38/18 | 162/165 | 2/0 | 5/2 | 3.8/8.3 | 187/410 | 3.3/5.9 |
| 10/05/24 Bowling Green | 20-27 | +16.0 W | 18/29 | 145/146 | 8.1/5.0 | 0/1 | 21/24 | 32/30 | 183/243 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 5.2/7.1 | 328/389 | 6.2/6.2 |
| 10/12/24 @ Western Mich | 24-34 | +9.5 L | 26/37 | 94/208 | 3.6/5.6 | 3/0 | 26/17 | 38/25 | 413/191 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 10.6/7.6 | 507/399 | 7.8/6.4 |
| 10/26/24 Eastern Mich | 25-21 | +3.0 W | 31/32 | 220/110 | 7.1/3.4 | 0/1 | 14/29 | 26/48 | 158/328 | 1/0 | 0/0 | 6.1/6.8 | 378/438 | 6.6/5.5 |
| 11/02/24 Buffalo | 30-41 | 0.0 L | 24/42 | 101/183 | 4.2/4.4 | 3/0 | 23/17 | 43/29 | 351/210 | 1/0 | 3/0 | 7.6/7.2 | 452/393 | 6.5/5.5 |
| 11/13/24 @ Northern Ill | 16-29 | +14.5 W | 19/38 | 90/290 | 4.7/7.6 | 1/0 | 19/10 | 52/17 | 174/141 | 0/0 | 4/2 | 3.1/7.4 | 264/431 | 3.5/7.6 |
| 11/19/24 @ Kent State | 38-17 | -10.0 W | 45/25 | 282/78 | 6.3/3.1 | 1/0 | 14/12 | 30/20 | 245/203 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 7.9/8.8 | 527/281 | 6.9/5.9 |