Game Analysis
Lean – Tennessee (-22) 47 SOUTH CAROLINA 20
Tennessee is averaging 45.4 points per game and South Carolina’s defense is 0.4 yards per play worse than the average defense that the Vols have faced this season. Tennessee is only giving up 21.7 points per game and the Gamecocks’ are much worse offensively than the teams that the Volunteers have faced. A points based model favors Tennessee by 27.6 points and my model favors the Vols by 26 points. UT also applies to a 90-29-1 ATS situation that plays on road favorites of more than 21 points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.7
30.8
-
Run Yards
209.9
124.7
-
YPRP
5.3
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.7
25.0
-
Pass Att
31.6
39.8
-
Comp %
71.8%
62.8%
-
Pass Yards
331.9
284.7
-
Sacks
2.4
2.3
-
Sack Yards
12.2
16.2
-
Sack %
7.2%
5.5%
-
Pass Plays
34.0
42.1
-
Net Pass Yards
319.7
268.5
-
YPPP
9.4
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
73.7
72.9
-
Total Yards
529.6
393.1
-
YPPL
7.2
5.4
TO
-
Int
0.2
0.9
-
Int %
0.7%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.9
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.3
38.4
-
Run Yards
139.0
210.0
-
YPRP
4.7
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
16.0
-
Pass Att
29.2
29.1
-
Comp %
65.1%
55.0%
-
Pass Yards
212.6
189.8
-
Sacks
2.2
1.6
-
Sack Yards
15.0
10.6
-
Sack %
7.0%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
31.4
30.7
-
Net Pass Yards
197.6
179.2
-
YPPP
6.3
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
60.7
69.1
-
Total Yards
336.6
389.2
-
YPPL
5.5
5.6
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.1
-
Int %
3.4%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
1.2
0.5
-
Turnovers
2.2
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/22 Ball St. |
59-10 |
-35.0
W
|
50/27 |
245/74 |
4.9/2.7 |
1/1 |
27/27 |
35/43 |
350/267 |
0/2 |
1/0 |
9.7/6.2 |
595/341 |
6.9/4.9 |
| 09/10/22 @ Pittsburgh |
34-27 |
-6.0
W
|
32/34 |
107/176 |
3.3/5.2 |
2/1 |
27/23 |
42/44 |
310/240 |
0/1 |
3/4 |
6.9/5.0 |
417/416 |
5.4/5.1 |
| 09/17/22 Akron |
63-6 |
-47.5
W
|
44/20 |
241/55 |
5.5/2.8 |
0/1 |
20/32 |
25/45 |
435/216 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
16.7/4.4 |
676/271 |
9.7/3.9 |
| 09/24/22 Florida |
38-33 |
-10.5
L
|
39/41 |
242/145 |
6.2/3.5 |
2/1 |
22/24 |
28/44 |
334/449 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
10.8/10.0 |
576/594 |
8.2/6.9 |
| 10/08/22 @ LSU |
40-13 |
-2.5
W
|
47/23 |
259/89 |
5.5/3.9 |
0/1 |
17/32 |
27/45 |
232/266 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
8.3/5.3 |
491/355 |
6.5/4.9 |
| 10/15/22 Alabama |
52-49 |
+9.0
W
|
38/30 |
195/128 |
5.1/4.3 |
1/1 |
21/35 |
31/52 |
378/441 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
11.8/8.3 |
573/569 |
8.2/6.9 |
| 10/22/22 Tennessee-Martin |
65-24 |
0.0
W
|
44/27 |
211/89 |
4.8/3.3 |
0/1 |
26/28 |
37/47 |
485/304 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
12.4/6.2 |
696/393 |
8.4/5.2 |
| 10/29/22 Kentucky |
44-6 |
-12.0
W
|
38/31 |
193/131 |
5.1/4.2 |
0/0 |
19/16 |
25/27 |
229/75 |
0/3 |
2/4 |
8.5/2.4 |
422/206 |
6.5/3.3 |
| 11/05/22 @ Georgia |
13-27 |
+9.0
L
|
36/36 |
127/140 |
3.5/3.9 |
1/2 |
23/17 |
33/25 |
165/257 |
1/0 |
6/0 |
4.2/10.3 |
292/397 |
3.9/6.5 |
| 11/12/22 Missouri |
66-24 |
-19.5
W
|
33/35 |
280/184 |
8.5/5.3 |
0/1 |
28/19 |
38/33 |
444/205 |
0/0 |
4/2 |
10.6/5.9 |
724/389 |
9.7/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 Georgia St. |
35-14 |
-12.5
W
|
29/40 |
97/200 |
3.3/5.0 |
0/0 |
23/7 |
37/29 |
209/111 |
2/1 |
3/0 |
5.2/3.8 |
306/311 |
4.4/4.5 |
| 09/10/22 @ Arkansas |
30-44 |
+8.5
L
|
23/62 |
91/312 |
4.0/5.0 |
2/0 |
24/18 |
39/21 |
325/150 |
1/0 |
6/2 |
7.2/6.5 |
416/462 |
6.1/5.4 |
| 09/17/22 Georgia |
7-48 |
+25.0
L
|
29/33 |
82/212 |
2.8/6.4 |
0/0 |
17/21 |
33/30 |
155/339 |
3/0 |
0/0 |
4.7/11.3 |
237/551 |
3.8/8.7 |
| 09/24/22 Charlotte |
56-20 |
-22.5
W
|
39/28 |
281/108 |
7.2/3.9 |
1/0 |
19/20 |
26/35 |
208/178 |
0/3 |
1/1 |
7.7/4.9 |
489/286 |
7.4/4.5 |
| 09/29/22 South Carolina State |
50-10 |
0.0
W
|
31/38 |
180/154 |
5.8/4.1 |
1/0 |
24/7 |
30/18 |
236/74 |
2/3 |
0/1 |
7.9/3.9 |
416/228 |
6.8/4.0 |
| 10/08/22 @ Kentucky |
24-14 |
+5.0
W
|
39/30 |
191/175 |
4.9/5.8 |
1/1 |
14/15 |
19/27 |
166/124 |
1/1 |
2/6 |
7.9/3.8 |
357/299 |
6.0/4.7 |
| 10/22/22 Texas A&M |
30-24 |
+3.0
W
|
33/27 |
127/129 |
3.8/4.8 |
2/1 |
12/25 |
25/47 |
160/269 |
0/1 |
2/0 |
5.9/5.7 |
287/398 |
4.8/5.4 |
| 10/29/22 Missouri |
10-23 |
-4.0
L
|
19/38 |
58/168 |
3.1/4.4 |
1/0 |
20/17 |
30/26 |
143/222 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
4.2/8.2 |
201/390 |
3.8/6.0 |
| 11/05/22 @ Vanderbilt |
38-27 |
-6.5
W
|
31/39 |
215/239 |
6.9/6.1 |
1/2 |
19/18 |
27/33 |
266/215 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
9.5/6.1 |
481/454 |
8.2/6.1 |
| 11/12/22 @ Florida |
6-38 |
+8.5
L
|
20/49 |
68/403 |
3.4/8.2 |
3/1 |
18/12 |
26/25 |
108/110 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
3.7/3.9 |
176/513 |
3.6/6.7 |
Tennessee
@ 
South Carolina