Game Analysis
Tennessee (-14) 30 SOUTH CAROLINA 20
I would have taken South Carolina as a Best Bet at this number if Perry Orth were starting at quarterback for the Gamecocks, but it will be freshman Jake Bentley instead. Bentley’s numbers from his first start last week look good (65% completions and 6.8 yards per pass play). but they’re actually not given that he was facing a U Mass defense that would allow 8.2 yppp on the road to an average FBS quarterback. But, my math model still likes South Carolina to cover.
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.7
40.0
-
Run Yards
170.4
224.4
-
YPRP
4.8
5.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.6
18.9
-
Pass Att
30.3
32.1
-
Comp %
58.0%
58.7%
-
Pass Yards
217.6
207.1
-
Sacks
2.4
1.6
-
Sack Yards
21.6
10.0
-
Sack %
7.4%
4.7%
-
Pass Plays
32.7
33.7
-
Net Pass Yards
196.0
197.1
-
YPPP
6.0
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
72.4
73.7
-
Total Yards
388.0
431.6
-
YPPL
5.4
5.9
TO
-
Int
1.3
0.9
-
Int %
4.3%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
1.1
1.3
-
Turnovers
2.4
2.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.3
40.0
-
Run Yards
108.7
209.7
-
YPRP
4.4
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.7
18.7
-
Pass Att
31.9
32.7
-
Comp %
58.7%
57.2%
-
Pass Yards
205.4
182.3
-
Sacks
2.6
1.7
-
Sack Yards
18.7
13.0
-
Sack %
7.5%
5.0%
-
Pass Plays
34.4
34.4
-
Net Pass Yards
186.7
169.3
-
YPPP
5.4
4.9
Total
-
Total Plays
63.7
74.4
-
Total Yards
314.1
392.0
-
YPPL
4.9
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.1
-
Int %
1.3%
3.5%
-
Fumbles
1.1
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.6
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/16 Appalachian State |
20-13 |
-21.5
L
|
41/43 |
156/186 |
3.8/4.3 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
29/23 |
173/108 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
5.6/4.7 |
329/294 |
4.6/4.5 |
| 09/10/16 Virginia Tech |
45-24 |
-11.5
W
|
44/41 |
253/230 |
5.8/5.6 |
0/5 |
10/20 |
19/28 |
81/195 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
3.9/6.3 |
334/425 |
5.1/5.9 |
| 09/17/16 Ohio |
28-19 |
-27.0
L
|
39/30 |
227/88 |
5.8/2.9 |
0/0 |
19/23 |
27/46 |
176/230 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
5.9/5.0 |
403/318 |
5.8/4.2 |
| 09/24/16 Florida |
38-28 |
-6.0
W
|
44/29 |
192/112 |
4.4/3.9 |
0/1 |
16/23 |
33/39 |
311/290 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
9.1/7.1 |
503/402 |
6.4/5.7 |
| 10/01/16 @ Georgia |
34-31 |
-4.0
L
|
35/42 |
151/203 |
4.3/4.8 |
2/1 |
15/17 |
25/28 |
166/190 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
6.1/6.1 |
317/393 |
5.1/5.4 |
| 10/08/16 @ Texas A&M |
38-45 |
+7.0
T
|
46/48 |
296/365 |
6.4/7.6 |
5/1 |
29/17 |
48/34 |
371/230 |
2/2 |
4/1 |
7.1/6.6 |
667/595 |
6.8/7.2 |
| 10/15/16 Alabama |
10-49 |
+13.5
L
|
29/47 |
69/457 |
2.4/9.7 |
0/1 |
18/17 |
31/27 |
94/137 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
2.8/4.7 |
163/594 |
2.6/7.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/16 @ Vanderbilt |
13-10 |
+5.5
W
|
31/41 |
126/179 |
4.1/4.4 |
2/0 |
16/8 |
30/23 |
187/63 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
6.2/2.6 |
313/242 |
5.1/3.7 |
| 09/10/16 @ Mississippi St. |
14-27 |
+7.5
L
|
27/44 |
69/287 |
2.6/6.5 |
1/0 |
20/20 |
39/30 |
176/195 |
1/1 |
4/0 |
4.1/6.5 |
245/482 |
3.5/6.5 |
| 09/17/16 East Carolina |
20-15 |
-3.0
W
|
23/29 |
121/147 |
5.3/5.1 |
0/2 |
16/44 |
28/58 |
195/369 |
0/2 |
0/4 |
7.0/6.0 |
316/516 |
6.2/5.7 |
| 09/24/16 @ Kentucky |
10-17 |
+2.5
L
|
31/44 |
121/253 |
3.9/5.8 |
0/1 |
15/11 |
30/19 |
147/99 |
0/1 |
4/4 |
4.3/4.3 |
268/352 |
4.1/5.3 |
| 10/01/16 Texas A&M |
13-24 |
+17.5
W
|
32/38 |
184/212 |
5.8/5.6 |
1/1 |
21/23 |
34/40 |
158/204 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
4.3/5.0 |
342/416 |
5.0/5.3 |
| 10/09/16 Georgia |
14-28 |
+7.0
L
|
21/48 |
62/331 |
3.0/6.9 |
2/0 |
26/5 |
36/17 |
255/25 |
1/1 |
5/1 |
6.2/1.4 |
317/356 |
5.1/5.4 |
| 10/22/16 Massachusetts |
34-28 |
-20.5
L
|
40/36 |
209/150 |
5.2/4.2 |
2/2 |
17/20 |
26/42 |
189/230 |
0/2 |
2/1 |
6.8/5.3 |
398/380 |
5.9/4.8 |
South Carolina