Game Analysis
Lean – Over (69) – SOUTH FLORIDA (-7) 41 Temple 34
Temple’s two games without EJ Warner, in which they scored a total of just 14 points, has dragged down the total on this game. Warner returned last week and the Owls offense had their best game of the season, averaging 8.1 yards per play with Warner accumulating 400 passing yards at 12.1 yards per pass play against Navy. Temple throws the ball more than 50 times per game when Warner is behind center and South Florida’s pass defense is among the worst in the nation (8.1 yppp allowed to quarterback that would average just 5.8 yppp against an average defense).
Temple’s defense, meanwhile, is 1.5 yppl worse than average and South Florida, while 0.4 yppl worse than average offensively, has shown the ability to score points against bad defensive teams. The Bulls have scored 35 points or more in 5 of their 9 games, including 50 points on 595 yards last week against Memphis, which has a defense that is just as bad as Temple’s defense.
I lean over 70 points or less.
Rush
-
Run Plays
24.6
40.4
-
Run Yards
87.3
219.6
-
YPRP
3.5
5.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.9
17.8
-
Pass Att
43.1
27.5
-
Comp %
55.4%
64.5%
-
Pass Yards
263.6
248.9
-
Sacks
2.0
1.6
-
Sack Yards
13.3
8.6
-
Sack %
4.4%
5.6%
-
Pass Plays
45.1
29.1
-
Net Pass Yards
250.4
240.3
-
YPPP
5.5
8.2
Total
-
Total Plays
69.8
69.5
-
Total Yards
337.6
459.9
-
YPPL
4.8
6.6
TO
-
Int
1.4
0.1
-
Int %
3.2%
0.5%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.3
-
Turnovers
2.1
0.4
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.9
31.1
-
Run Yards
222.1
161.1
-
YPRP
5.3
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.8
23.5
-
Pass Att
36.0
37.0
-
Comp %
63.2%
63.5%
-
Pass Yards
269.3
328.1
-
Sacks
3.1
1.9
-
Sack Yards
19.4
11.5
-
Sack %
8.0%
4.8%
-
Pass Plays
39.1
38.9
-
Net Pass Yards
249.9
316.6
-
YPPP
6.4
8.1
Total
-
Total Plays
81.0
70.0
-
Total Yards
472.0
477.8
-
YPPL
5.8
6.8
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
2.1%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.8
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Akron |
24-21 |
-10.0
L
|
25/26 |
73/94 |
2.9/3.6 |
0/0 |
28/17 |
49/29 |
292/187 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
6.0/6.0 |
365/281 |
4.9/4.9 |
09/09/23 @ Rutgers |
7-36 |
+8.5
L
|
23/50 |
76/261 |
3.3/5.2 |
0/1 |
20/10 |
48/21 |
218/190 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
4.4/8.6 |
294/451 |
4.1/6.3 |
09/16/23 Norfolk State |
41-9 |
0.0
W
|
41/37 |
290/138 |
7.1/3.7 |
1/0 |
15/11 |
23/22 |
248/76 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
10.8/3.3 |
538/214 |
8.4/3.6 |
09/23/23 Miami Fla |
7-41 |
+23.0
L
|
13/42 |
18/323 |
1.4/7.7 |
1/0 |
23/17 |
42/25 |
254/220 |
2/0 |
3/0 |
5.6/8.8 |
272/543 |
4.7/8.1 |
09/28/23 @ Tulsa |
26-48 |
+3.5
L
|
20/51 |
54/295 |
2.7/5.8 |
1/0 |
26/14 |
49/17 |
227/238 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
4.5/12.5 |
281/533 |
4.0/7.6 |
10/07/23 UTSA |
34-49 |
+14.0
L
|
28/29 |
85/173 |
3.0/6.0 |
2/0 |
42/25 |
65/33 |
462/326 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.0/9.3 |
547/499 |
5.8/7.8 |
10/14/23 @ North Texas |
14-45 |
+5.0
L
|
46/33 |
265/239 |
5.8/7.2 |
0/0 |
12/25 |
30/39 |
82/288 |
3/0 |
4/4 |
2.4/6.7 |
347/527 |
4.3/6.9 |
10/20/23 SMU |
0-55 |
+24.0
L
|
18/46 |
65/219 |
3.6/4.8 |
0/1 |
13/28 |
29/42 |
68/358 |
1/0 |
6/0 |
1.9/8.5 |
133/577 |
2.5/6.6 |
11/04/23 Navy |
32-18 |
+7.0
W
|
24/46 |
62/153 |
2.6/3.3 |
2/0 |
27/6 |
33/14 |
400/115 |
2/0 |
0/2 |
12.1/7.2 |
462/268 |
8.1/4.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 @ Western Kentucky |
24-41 |
+11.5
L
|
56/23 |
403/129 |
7.2/5.6 |
1/0 |
15/29 |
34/50 |
137/336 |
2/0 |
5/0 |
3.5/6.7 |
540/465 |
5.7/6.4 |
09/09/23 Florida A&M |
38-24 |
0.0
W
|
39/25 |
144/44 |
3.7/1.8 |
0/2 |
21/24 |
36/43 |
174/349 |
0/3 |
6/4 |
4.1/7.4 |
318/393 |
3.9/5.5 |
09/16/23 Alabama |
3-17 |
+32.0
W
|
41/37 |
198/235 |
4.8/6.4 |
1/1 |
14/10 |
28/23 |
64/75 |
1/0 |
5/5 |
1.9/2.7 |
262/310 |
3.5/4.8 |
09/23/23 Rice |
42-29 |
+2.5
W
|
36/16 |
183/28 |
5.1/1.8 |
1/0 |
22/34 |
29/50 |
418/464 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
13.1/8.6 |
601/492 |
8.8/7.0 |
09/30/23 @ Navy |
44-30 |
+3.5
W
|
39/46 |
129/245 |
3.3/5.3 |
3/1 |
26/5 |
34/11 |
306/87 |
0/0 |
4/1 |
8.1/7.3 |
435/332 |
5.6/5.7 |
10/07/23 @ UAB |
35-56 |
-3.0
L
|
34/46 |
223/279 |
6.6/6.1 |
1/0 |
20/22 |
43/29 |
201/367 |
2/1 |
3/2 |
4.4/11.8 |
424/646 |
5.3/8.4 |
10/14/23 Florida Atl. |
14-56 |
-2.5
L
|
35/37 |
189/212 |
5.4/5.7 |
1/0 |
20/31 |
34/38 |
208/382 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
5.6/10.1 |
397/594 |
5.5/7.9 |
10/21/23 @ Connecticut |
24-21 |
-1.0
W
|
48/31 |
268/201 |
5.6/6.5 |
0/3 |
27/18 |
39/33 |
198/176 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
5.0/5.2 |
466/377 |
5.3/5.8 |
11/04/23 @ Memphis |
50-59 |
+13.5
W
|
48/25 |
238/151 |
5.0/6.0 |
1/0 |
31/25 |
39/42 |
357/372 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
9.2/8.3 |
595/523 |
6.8/7.5 |