Game Analysis
Oklahoma (-7) 34 Tcu 27
Oklahoma beat TCU 38-20 at home just 3 weeks ago as Baker Mayfield and the Sooners’ incredible offense racked up 538 yards at 8.2 yards per play against a very good Horned Frogs’ defense that rates at 1.1 yppl better than average despite that bad game. Oklahoma has averaged an amazing 8.6 yards per play this season and the Sooners have been really good against the 3 very good defensive units that they’ve faced – averaging 33 points and 7.6 yppl against Ohio State, Texas, and TCU. My math model projects 7.5 yppl for Oklahoma in this game but TCU should have offensive success as well and the Horned Frogs have an advantage in special teams. Overall the math favors Oklahoma by 7 points so I’ll pass this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.5
28.9
-
Run Yards
184.6
99.6
-
YPRP
5.3
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.8
17.5
-
Pass Att
29.3
33.8
-
Comp %
64.3%
51.6%
-
Pass Yards
232.4
244.5
-
Sacks
1.6
3.3
-
Sack Yards
12.2
20.2
-
Sack %
5.3%
8.8%
-
Pass Plays
30.9
37.1
-
Net Pass Yards
220.2
224.3
-
YPPP
7.1
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
68.4
66.0
-
Total Yards
417.0
344.1
-
YPPL
6.1
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.9
-
Int %
1.2%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.6
34.4
-
Run Yards
217.3
149.9
-
YPRP
6.4
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.5
18.3
-
Pass Att
31.2
31.6
-
Comp %
72.2%
58.0%
-
Pass Yards
373.2
241.2
-
Sacks
1.7
2.0
-
Sack Yards
11.0
15.6
-
Sack %
5.1%
6.0%
-
Pass Plays
32.8
33.6
-
Net Pass Yards
362.2
225.6
-
YPPP
11.0
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
68.4
68.0
-
Total Yards
590.4
391.1
-
YPPL
8.6
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.6
-
Int %
1.3%
1.8%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/17 Jackson State |
63-0 |
0.0
W
|
36/35 |
244/63 |
6.8/1.8 |
0/1 |
23/7 |
30/14 |
300/7 |
1/1 |
0/5 |
10.0/0.4 |
544/70 |
8.2/1.3 |
| 09/09/17 @ Arkansas |
28-7 |
-3.0
W
|
39/28 |
204/139 |
5.2/5.0 |
1/1 |
21/9 |
31/23 |
161/128 |
1/0 |
1/3 |
5.0/4.9 |
365/267 |
5.1/4.9 |
| 09/16/17 SMU |
56-36 |
-19.5
W
|
44/29 |
287/130 |
6.5/4.5 |
3/0 |
24/18 |
30/38 |
351/333 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
10.6/8.5 |
638/463 |
8.3/6.8 |
| 09/23/17 @ Oklahoma St. |
44-31 |
+11.5
W
|
47/28 |
260/120 |
5.5/4.3 |
0/1 |
22/22 |
33/42 |
206/380 |
1/3 |
2/3 |
5.9/8.4 |
466/500 |
5.7/6.8 |
| 10/07/17 West Virginia |
31-24 |
-12.5
L
|
35/37 |
171/164 |
4.9/4.4 |
0/1 |
16/25 |
29/45 |
236/347 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
8.1/7.4 |
407/511 |
6.4/6.1 |
| 10/14/17 @ Kansas St. |
26-6 |
-7.0
W
|
34/27 |
110/94 |
3.2/3.5 |
1/1 |
27/11 |
37/30 |
288/131 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.6/4.1 |
398/225 |
5.5/3.8 |
| 10/21/17 Kansas |
43-0 |
-39.0
W
|
39/25 |
210/8 |
5.4/0.3 |
0/0 |
20/8 |
28/18 |
276/22 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
9.5/1.0 |
486/30 |
7.1/0.6 |
| 10/28/17 @ Iowa St. |
7-14 |
-7.0
L
|
33/29 |
187/78 |
5.7/2.7 |
1/0 |
12/21 |
25/35 |
128/187 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
4.9/5.1 |
315/265 |
5.3/4.0 |
| 11/04/17 Texas |
24-7 |
-7.0
W
|
41/19 |
193/59 |
4.7/3.1 |
0/0 |
19/21 |
27/44 |
154/204 |
0/0 |
2/7 |
5.3/4.0 |
347/263 |
5.0/3.8 |
| 11/11/17 @ Oklahoma |
20-38 |
+6.5
L
|
30/38 |
174/215 |
5.8/5.7 |
0/0 |
14/18 |
29/27 |
250/323 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
8.1/11.5 |
424/538 |
7.0/8.2 |
| 11/18/17 @ Texas Tech |
27-3 |
-6.5
W
|
37/37 |
239/193 |
6.5/5.2 |
1/1 |
6/18 |
17/36 |
65/137 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
3.4/3.5 |
304/330 |
5.4/4.3 |
| 11/24/17 Baylor |
45-22 |
-24.5
L
|
33/21 |
130/118 |
3.9/5.6 |
0/1 |
26/21 |
36/34 |
307/275 |
0/2 |
3/8 |
7.9/6.5 |
437/393 |
6.1/6.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/17 UTEP |
56-7 |
-43.0
W
|
37/20 |
190/83 |
5.1/4.2 |
0/1 |
32/16 |
36/27 |
486/84 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
13.1/3.0 |
676/167 |
9.1/3.5 |
| 09/09/17 @ Ohio St. |
31-16 |
+7.5
W
|
35/31 |
121/182 |
3.5/5.9 |
2/0 |
27/19 |
35/35 |
373/168 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
10.1/4.4 |
494/350 |
6.9/5.1 |
| 09/16/17 Tulane |
56-14 |
-34.0
W
|
31/57 |
203/256 |
6.5/4.5 |
2/1 |
20/6 |
30/12 |
375/31 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
12.1/2.1 |
578/287 |
9.3/4.0 |
| 09/23/17 @ Baylor |
49-41 |
-27.5
L
|
35/31 |
324/88 |
9.3/2.8 |
1/1 |
13/33 |
19/50 |
266/438 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
12.7/8.3 |
590/526 |
10.5/6.3 |
| 10/07/17 Iowa St. |
31-38 |
-30.0
L
|
32/29 |
204/99 |
6.4/3.4 |
1/0 |
25/20 |
34/27 |
312/361 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
8.7/12.9 |
516/460 |
7.6/8.1 |
| 10/14/17 @ Texas |
29-24 |
-9.0
L
|
37/36 |
183/160 |
4.9/4.4 |
0/0 |
18/21 |
28/41 |
335/267 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
11.2/6.1 |
518/427 |
7.7/5.3 |
| 10/21/17 @ Kansas St. |
42-35 |
-14.0
L
|
35/41 |
258/287 |
7.4/7.0 |
1/1 |
32/12 |
41/14 |
393/132 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
9.1/8.8 |
651/419 |
8.3/7.5 |
| 10/28/17 Texas Tech |
49-27 |
-20.5
W
|
44/32 |
344/134 |
7.8/4.2 |
0/0 |
22/22 |
34/36 |
277/303 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
7.9/8.0 |
621/437 |
7.9/6.2 |
| 11/04/17 @ Oklahoma St. |
62-52 |
+1.5
W
|
35/31 |
220/229 |
6.3/7.4 |
0/1 |
24/28 |
36/54 |
565/423 |
2/2 |
5/3 |
13.8/7.4 |
785/652 |
10.3/7.4 |
| 11/11/17 TCU |
38-20 |
-6.5
W
|
38/30 |
215/174 |
5.7/5.8 |
0/0 |
18/14 |
27/29 |
323/250 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
11.5/8.1 |
538/424 |
8.2/7.0 |
| 11/18/17 @ Kansas |
41-3 |
-37.5
W
|
33/24 |
164/44 |
5.0/1.8 |
0/1 |
23/19 |
35/34 |
308/113 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
8.6/3.1 |
472/157 |
6.8/2.6 |
| 11/25/17 West Virginia |
59-31 |
-23.0
W
|
35/51 |
313/250 |
8.9/4.9 |
0/2 |
16/10 |
19/20 |
333/137 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
17.5/6.9 |
646/387 |
12.0/5.5 |
