Game Analysis
Lean – Syracuse (+18.5) 20 FLORIDA STATE 34
The math favors Florida State by 16.9 points but Syracuse applies to an 89-32-1 ATS situation that plays on teams after losing by 28 points or more. I’d lean with Syracuse at +18 or more.
Note: I posted the prediction when the line was +17.5 and noted that I’d lean with Syracuse at +18 or more. The line has moved to +18.5 and the Orange are now a Lean.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.2
34.4
-
Run Yards
168.6
146.6
-
YPRP
5.2
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.4
24.6
-
Pass Att
29.4
40.0
-
Comp %
62.6%
61.5%
-
Pass Yards
219.8
247.6
-
Sacks
2.8
3.0
-
Sack Yards
13.6
19.2
-
Sack %
8.7%
7.0%
-
Pass Plays
32.2
43.0
-
Net Pass Yards
206.2
228.4
-
YPPP
6.4
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
64.4
77.4
-
Total Yards
374.8
375.0
-
YPPL
5.8
4.8
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.8
-
Int %
3.4%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.4
31.8
-
Run Yards
186.2
153.4
-
YPRP
6.3
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.4
18.4
-
Pass Att
30.0
34.0
-
Comp %
64.7%
54.1%
-
Pass Yards
252.6
238.6
-
Sacks
1.2
2.6
-
Sack Yards
6.2
18.4
-
Sack %
3.8%
7.1%
-
Pass Plays
31.2
36.6
-
Net Pass Yards
246.4
220.2
-
YPPP
7.9
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
60.6
68.4
-
Total Yards
432.6
373.6
-
YPPL
7.1
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.2
0.6
-
Int %
0.7%
1.8%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
0.6
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Colgate |
65-0 |
0.0
W
|
51/34 |
273/91 |
5.4/2.7 |
2/1 |
28/11 |
37/20 |
401/36 |
1/2 |
1/3 |
10.6/1.6 |
674/127 |
7.6/2.2 |
09/09/23 Western Mich |
48-7 |
-24.0
W
|
34/22 |
158/130 |
4.6/5.9 |
0/0 |
25/27 |
39/47 |
351/180 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
8.6/3.5 |
509/310 |
6.8/4.2 |
09/16/23 @ Purdue |
35-20 |
-2.5
W
|
39/30 |
290/103 |
7.4/3.4 |
0/3 |
14/32 |
28/46 |
166/304 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
5.2/6.3 |
456/407 |
6.4/5.2 |
09/23/23 Army |
29-16 |
-13.0
T
|
33/42 |
179/149 |
5.4/3.5 |
0/0 |
21/9 |
26/21 |
235/49 |
1/2 |
2/4 |
8.4/2.0 |
414/198 |
6.8/3.0 |
09/30/23 Clemson |
14-31 |
+7.0
L
|
29/32 |
116/143 |
4.0/4.5 |
2/1 |
16/23 |
31/37 |
157/249 |
1/0 |
5/3 |
4.4/6.2 |
273/392 |
4.2/5.4 |
10/07/23 @ North Carolina |
7-40 |
+9.5
L
|
26/46 |
100/208 |
3.8/4.5 |
0/1 |
16/32 |
23/49 |
122/360 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
5.1/7.1 |
222/568 |
4.4/5.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/23 LSU |
45-24 |
+2.5
W
|
33/23 |
139/139 |
4.2/6.0 |
0/1 |
24/22 |
32/37 |
359/321 |
1/1 |
0/4 |
11.2/7.8 |
498/460 |
7.7/7.2 |
09/09/23 Southern Miss |
66-13 |
-31.0
W
|
35/26 |
312/85 |
8.9/3.3 |
0/0 |
18/11 |
32/34 |
211/141 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
6.2/3.9 |
523/226 |
7.6/3.6 |
09/16/23 @ Boston College |
31-29 |
-26.0
L
|
30/39 |
145/175 |
4.8/4.5 |
2/0 |
16/20 |
24/34 |
222/282 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
9.3/7.8 |
367/457 |
6.8/6.1 |
09/23/23 @ Clemson |
31-24 |
-2.0
W
|
18/38 |
31/171 |
1.7/4.5 |
0/1 |
21/25 |
37/38 |
280/266 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
7.2/6.5 |
311/437 |
5.5/5.5 |
10/07/23 Virginia Tech |
39-17 |
-25.5
L
|
31/33 |
304/197 |
9.8/6.0 |
0/1 |
18/14 |
25/27 |
160/91 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
5.9/3.1 |
464/288 |
8.0/4.6 |