Game Analysis
COLORADO (-11.5) 35 Stanford 22
Colorado has come back down to earth a bit since since starting the season with an upset win at TCU, followed by victories over Nebraska and Colorado State. What the Buffaloes are is a barely better than average that has been 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average offense) and average defensively (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 6.4 yppl against an average team).
Average should be good enough to win comfortably at home against a struggling Stanford squad that’s been outscored by an average of 19.2 to 34.6 points and has been 0.6 yppl worse than average offensively against 0.4 yppl worse than average on defense.
My math model favors the Buffs by 13.2 points and 57.4 total points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.2
26.0
-
Run Yards
173.0
151.6
-
YPRP
4.9
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.0
25.4
-
Pass Att
28.2
37.0
-
Comp %
53.2%
68.6%
-
Pass Yards
186.4
305.8
-
Sacks
3.8
1.6
-
Sack Yards
21.0
9.8
-
Sack %
11.9%
4.1%
-
Pass Plays
32.0
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
165.4
296.0
-
YPPP
5.2
7.7
Total
-
Total Plays
67.2
64.6
-
Total Yards
338.4
447.6
-
YPPL
5.0
6.9
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.4
-
Int %
2.1%
1.1%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.0
-
Turnovers
1.0
0.4
Rush
-
Run Plays
26.7
31.8
-
Run Yards
127.2
180.5
-
YPRP
4.8
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
31.2
27.2
-
Pass Att
43.0
39.3
-
Comp %
72.5%
69.1%
-
Pass Yards
331.5
304.5
-
Sacks
5.0
2.3
-
Sack Yards
44.8
13.0
-
Sack %
10.4%
5.6%
-
Pass Plays
48.0
41.7
-
Net Pass Yards
286.7
291.5
-
YPPP
6.0
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
74.7
73.5
-
Total Yards
413.8
472.0
-
YPPL
5.5
6.4
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.3
-
Int %
0.8%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.7
-
Turnovers
0.8
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/23 @ Hawaii |
37-24 |
+3.0
W
|
32/10 |
162/36 |
5.1/3.6 |
0/0 |
25/30 |
36/53 |
248/314 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
6.9/5.3 |
410/350 |
6.0/5.1 |
| 09/09/23 @ USC |
10-56 |
+29.5
L
|
39/27 |
230/183 |
5.9/6.8 |
2/0 |
7/30 |
25/36 |
87/393 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
3.2/10.9 |
317/576 |
4.8/9.1 |
| 09/16/23 Sacramento State |
23-30 |
0.0
L
|
36/34 |
202/171 |
5.6/5.0 |
0/0 |
11/21 |
24/33 |
185/279 |
2/2 |
6/0 |
6.2/8.5 |
387/450 |
5.9/6.7 |
| 09/23/23 Arizona |
20-21 |
+13.0
W
|
29/33 |
136/156 |
4.7/4.7 |
0/0 |
18/18 |
32/30 |
218/196 |
0/0 |
5/2 |
5.9/6.1 |
354/352 |
5.4/5.4 |
| 09/30/23 Oregon |
6-42 |
+27.0
L
|
40/26 |
135/212 |
3.4/8.2 |
0/0 |
14/28 |
24/33 |
89/298 |
0/0 |
6/0 |
3.0/9.0 |
224/510 |
3.2/8.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 @ TCU |
45-42 |
+20.5
W
|
29/37 |
90/262 |
3.1/7.1 |
1/0 |
38/24 |
47/42 |
478/279 |
0/2 |
4/0 |
9.4/6.6 |
568/541 |
7.1/6.8 |
| 09/09/23 Nebraska |
36-14 |
-2.5
W
|
26/39 |
128/256 |
4.9/6.6 |
1/3 |
32/12 |
44/22 |
354/117 |
0/1 |
7/2 |
6.9/4.9 |
482/373 |
6.3/5.9 |
| 09/16/23 Colorado St. |
43-35 |
-23.5
L
|
21/36 |
107/110 |
5.1/3.1 |
1/1 |
38/35 |
47/48 |
311/389 |
1/3 |
4/3 |
6.1/7.6 |
418/499 |
5.8/5.7 |
| 09/23/23 @ Oregon |
6-42 |
+21.0
L
|
17/36 |
115/252 |
6.8/7.0 |
0/0 |
23/30 |
33/35 |
86/270 |
0/1 |
7/2 |
2.2/7.3 |
201/522 |
3.5/7.2 |
| 09/30/23 USC |
41-48 |
+22.0
W
|
42/19 |
219/115 |
5.2/6.1 |
0/0 |
30/30 |
45/40 |
300/390 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
6.3/9.3 |
519/505 |
5.8/8.3 |
| 10/07/23 @ Arizona St. |
27-24 |
-3.5
L
|
25/24 |
104/88 |
4.2/3.7 |
0/0 |
26/32 |
42/49 |
191/304 |
0/0 |
5/5 |
4.1/5.6 |
295/392 |
4.1/5.0 |
Stanford
@ 
Colorado