Game Analysis
South Florida (-7) 32 TEMPLE 29
Temple was lucky to win last week’s game at UCF but the Owls are good enough to stay close to what’s becoming an overrated USF team. South Florida’s great offensive numbers (518 yards at 7.1 yards per play) have come against a schedule of mostly bad defensive teams that would combine to allow 6.4 yppl to an average offensive team. The Bulls are still a good offensive team but Temple is the best defensive team that they’ve faced so far this season.
The Owls’ offense is a bit below average (5.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) but South Florida is only 0.2 yppl better than average defensively (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.7 yppl) so Temple should have some opportunities to score. The math model is picking this one closer than those that set the odds and I’d certainly prefer Temple plus the points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.0
41.3
-
Run Yards
279.5
201.0
-
YPRP
6.8
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.3
23.8
-
Pass Att
30.2
40.0
-
Comp %
60.8%
59.6%
-
Pass Yards
238.2
259.2
-
Sacks
1.0
2.8
-
Sack Yards
7.5
15.0
-
Sack %
3.2%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
31.2
42.8
-
Net Pass Yards
230.7
244.2
-
YPPP
7.4
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
73.2
84.2
-
Total Yards
517.7
460.2
-
YPPL
7.1
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.0
-
Int %
2.2%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.4
36.3
-
Run Yards
147.7
159.1
-
YPRP
5.0
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.1
13.9
-
Pass Att
31.1
26.1
-
Comp %
55.0%
53.0%
-
Pass Yards
230.9
166.9
-
Sacks
2.4
2.7
-
Sack Yards
18.1
20.1
-
Sack %
7.2%
9.4%
-
Pass Plays
33.6
28.9
-
Net Pass Yards
212.7
146.7
-
YPPP
6.3
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
67.0
65.1
-
Total Yards
378.6
326.0
-
YPPL
5.7
5.0
TO
-
Int
1.4
1.0
-
Int %
4.6%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.9
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Towson |
56-20 |
0.0
W
|
37/46 |
232/155 |
6.3/3.4 |
1/3 |
13/16 |
25/41 |
213/142 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
7.9/3.2 |
445/297 |
7.0/3.3 |
09/10/16 Northern Ill |
48-17 |
-15.0
W
|
50/39 |
293/169 |
5.9/4.3 |
1/0 |
25/22 |
39/35 |
365/149 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
9.4/4.0 |
658/318 |
7.4/4.2 |
09/17/16 @ Syracuse |
45-20 |
-14.0
W
|
31/54 |
251/207 |
8.1/3.8 |
0/1 |
14/32 |
29/50 |
209/344 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
7.0/6.7 |
460/551 |
7.5/5.2 |
09/24/16 Florida St. |
35-55 |
+5.5
L
|
38/60 |
315/495 |
8.3/8.3 |
0/1 |
5/11 |
14/19 |
135/152 |
2/0 |
3/3 |
7.9/6.9 |
450/647 |
8.2/7.9 |
10/01/16 @ Cincinnati |
45-20 |
-5.5
W
|
46/33 |
238/147 |
5.2/4.5 |
0/1 |
22/23 |
33/41 |
217/244 |
0/3 |
1/2 |
6.4/5.7 |
455/391 |
5.7/5.1 |
10/08/16 East Carolina |
38-22 |
-16.0
T
|
42/32 |
306/172 |
7.3/5.4 |
1/0 |
21/33 |
29/56 |
250/304 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
8.6/5.2 |
556/476 |
7.8/5.2 |
10/15/16 Connecticut |
42-27 |
-19.5
L
|
45/30 |
319/106 |
7.1/3.5 |
2/0 |
23/22 |
37/39 |
208/272 |
2/0 |
1/6 |
5.5/6.0 |
527/378 |
6.3/5.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/16 Army |
13-28 |
-15.0
L
|
23/63 |
103/342 |
4.5/5.4 |
0/0 |
12/2 |
26/5 |
149/8 |
3/0 |
4/1 |
5.0/1.3 |
252/350 |
4.8/5.1 |
09/10/16 Stony Brook |
38-0 |
0.0
W
|
37/31 |
196/73 |
5.3/2.4 |
0/1 |
11/8 |
25/20 |
105/63 |
1/3 |
2/3 |
3.9/2.7 |
301/136 |
4.7/2.5 |
09/17/16 @ Penn St. |
27-34 |
+8.5
W
|
25/34 |
57/147 |
2.3/4.3 |
0/2 |
25/18 |
34/24 |
267/287 |
1/1 |
3/0 |
7.2/12.0 |
324/434 |
5.2/7.5 |
09/24/16 Charlotte |
48-20 |
-27.5
W
|
34/41 |
211/245 |
6.2/6.0 |
0/1 |
17/17 |
32/42 |
297/187 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
9.3/4.3 |
508/432 |
7.7/5.1 |
10/01/16 SMU |
45-20 |
-13.0
W
|
41/28 |
271/126 |
6.6/4.5 |
1/2 |
7/22 |
18/44 |
96/163 |
2/2 |
2/4 |
4.8/3.4 |
367/289 |
6.0/3.8 |
10/06/16 @ Memphis |
27-34 |
+10.0
W
|
27/27 |
100/167 |
3.7/6.2 |
1/1 |
36/17 |
59/26 |
436/157 |
2/0 |
2/4 |
7.1/5.2 |
536/324 |
6.1/5.7 |
10/15/16 @ UCF |
26-25 |
+3.5
W
|
47/30 |
223/155 |
4.7/5.2 |
1/0 |
12/13 |
24/22 |
139/162 |
1/1 |
4/6 |
5.0/5.8 |
362/317 |
4.8/5.5 |