Game Analysis
Lean – WYOMING (+3) 22 San Jose State 20
Wyoming looked terrible to open the season, losing at Illinois 6-38. However, the Illini are much better than expected and Wyoming has since recorded upset wins over Tulsa (6.5-point dog) and Air Force (16.5-point dog) and are now 3-2 for the season. San Jose State’s opener against Portland State was also bad (won by just 4 as a 22 point favorite) and the Spartans have looked as expected in their other two games, a competitive 8 point loss as a 24-point dog at Auburn and a 28 point win as a 7-point favorite versus Western Michigan last week.
If I throw out San Jose State’s bad performance in their opener but numbers still like Wyoming, as the Cowboys have a solid defense and should limit a Spartans’ attack that’s been 0.9 yards per play worse than average (0.4 yppl worse than average excluding their opener).
The line on this game opened with Wyoming favored by 1.5 points and I agree with that assessment.
Rush
-
Run Plays
23.3
38.7
-
Run Yards
104.3
171.0
-
YPRP
4.5
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
15.3
-
Pass Att
33.0
24.3
-
Comp %
57.6%
63.0%
-
Pass Yards
261.0
169.7
-
Sacks
3.7
1.3
-
Sack Yards
27.3
7.7
-
Sack %
10.0%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
36.7
25.7
-
Net Pass Yards
233.7
162.0
-
YPPP
6.4
6.3
Total
-
Total Plays
60.0
64.3
-
Total Yards
338.0
333.0
-
YPPL
5.6
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.0
1.7
-
Int %
0.0%
6.9%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.3
-
Turnovers
0.3
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.6
30.4
-
Run Yards
169.0
156.8
-
YPRP
4.9
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.2
21.8
-
Pass Att
26.0
34.8
-
Comp %
58.5%
62.6%
-
Pass Yards
141.8
249.0
-
Sacks
0.8
2.2
-
Sack Yards
7.6
12.6
-
Sack %
3.0%
5.9%
-
Pass Plays
26.8
37.0
-
Net Pass Yards
134.2
236.4
-
YPPP
5.0
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
61.4
67.4
-
Total Yards
303.2
393.2
-
YPPL
4.9
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.4
-
Int %
1.5%
1.1%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/22 Portland State |
21-17 |
0.0
W
|
22/34 |
106/138 |
4.8/4.1 |
0/1 |
15/24 |
30/37 |
182/270 |
0/2 |
7/0 |
4.9/7.3 |
288/408 |
4.9/5.7 |
09/10/22 @ Auburn |
16-24 |
+24.0
W
|
26/35 |
71/219 |
2.7/6.3 |
0/0 |
24/14 |
40/23 |
258/165 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
6.0/6.9 |
329/384 |
4.8/6.5 |
09/24/22 Western Mich |
34-6 |
-7.0
W
|
22/47 |
136/156 |
6.2/3.3 |
1/0 |
18/8 |
29/13 |
261/51 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
8.7/3.2 |
397/207 |
7.6/3.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/27/22 @ Illinois |
6-38 |
+14.0
L
|
31/39 |
182/262 |
5.9/6.7 |
1/0 |
5/30 |
20/40 |
30/217 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
1.5/5.4 |
212/479 |
4.2/6.1 |
09/03/22 Tulsa |
40-37 |
+6.5
W
|
35/27 |
147/99 |
4.2/3.7 |
1/2 |
20/30 |
30/52 |
256/439 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
8.5/7.8 |
403/538 |
6.2/6.5 |
09/10/22 Northern Colorado |
33-10 |
0.0
W
|
42/19 |
176/54 |
4.2/2.8 |
0/1 |
19/16 |
30/36 |
130/97 |
0/2 |
2/5 |
4.1/2.4 |
306/151 |
4.1/2.5 |
09/16/22 Air Force |
17-14 |
+16.5
W
|
33/39 |
187/173 |
5.7/4.4 |
0/0 |
18/7 |
23/14 |
162/99 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
7.0/6.6 |
349/272 |
6.2/5.0 |
09/24/22 @ BYU |
24-38 |
+21.5
W
|
32/28 |
153/196 |
4.8/7.0 |
0/0 |
14/26 |
27/32 |
93/330 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
3.2/10.0 |
246/526 |
4.0/8.6 |