Game Analysis
VIRGINIA (-7) 28 Pittsburgh 16
Pittsburgh is a mediocre team that has been incredibly inconsistent on both sides of the ball. One week they’re scoring 14 points and the next week they score 45 or 50 points. One week they allow less than 20 points and the next week they’re giving up 38 or 45 points. The Panthers are coming off a wild 54-45 win over Duke after putting a scare into unbeaten Notre Dame in a 14-19 contest but teams coming off high scoring wins tend to struggle on the road in their next game (Pitt applies to a 66-130-3 ATS situation) and Virginia has been consistently good this season (7-1 ATS). My math model favors the Cavaliers by 10.5 points and the situation is favorable.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.7
38.4
-
Run Yards
228.7
207.9
-
YPRP
6.5
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.9
18.9
-
Pass Att
23.9
31.9
-
Comp %
58.1%
59.2%
-
Pass Yards
138.3
245.0
-
Sacks
2.1
1.6
-
Sack Yards
17.3
12.0
-
Sack %
8.2%
4.7%
-
Pass Plays
26.0
33.4
-
Net Pass Yards
121.0
233.0
-
YPPP
4.7
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
63.7
71.9
-
Total Yards
367.0
452.9
-
YPPL
5.8
6.3
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.7
-
Int %
2.4%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.3
27.5
-
Run Yards
185.8
112.5
-
YPRP
5.6
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.4
17.8
-
Pass Att
27.8
31.3
-
Comp %
62.6%
56.8%
-
Pass Yards
204.8
215.5
-
Sacks
2.6
2.0
-
Sack Yards
16.1
13.3
-
Sack %
8.7%
6.0%
-
Pass Plays
30.4
33.3
-
Net Pass Yards
188.6
202.3
-
YPPP
6.2
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
66.6
60.8
-
Total Yards
390.5
328.0
-
YPPL
5.9
5.4
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.3
-
Int %
3.6%
4.0%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 Albany |
33-7 |
-26.0
T
|
37/23 |
235/93 |
6.4/4.0 |
1/0 |
17/18 |
23/29 |
169/232 |
1/2 |
0/4 |
7.3/7.0 |
404/325 |
6.7/5.8 |
| 09/08/18 Penn St. |
6-51 |
+7.5
L
|
47/32 |
283/219 |
6.0/6.8 |
2/2 |
9/15 |
18/31 |
24/149 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
1.1/4.7 |
307/368 |
4.4/5.8 |
| 09/15/18 Georgia Tech |
24-19 |
+3.5
W
|
31/55 |
138/330 |
4.5/6.0 |
0/1 |
16/6 |
23/15 |
197/58 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
8.6/3.6 |
335/388 |
6.2/5.5 |
| 09/22/18 @ North Carolina |
35-38 |
-3.5
L
|
32/36 |
265/192 |
8.3/5.3 |
1/1 |
18/22 |
33/31 |
150/299 |
0/0 |
3/1 |
4.2/9.3 |
415/491 |
6.1/7.2 |
| 09/29/18 @ UCF |
14-45 |
+14.5
L
|
30/44 |
124/245 |
4.1/5.6 |
0/0 |
16/18 |
26/34 |
102/323 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
3.5/9.2 |
226/568 |
3.8/7.2 |
| 10/06/18 Syracuse |
44-37 |
+3.5
W
|
44/38 |
297/200 |
6.8/5.3 |
2/1 |
11/18 |
20/38 |
113/186 |
1/2 |
3/2 |
4.9/4.7 |
410/386 |
6.1/4.9 |
| 10/13/18 @ Notre Dame |
14-19 |
+21.5
W
|
29/32 |
130/118 |
4.5/3.7 |
0/0 |
19/26 |
29/32 |
112/232 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
3.7/6.6 |
242/350 |
4.1/5.2 |
| 10/27/18 Duke |
54-45 |
+2.5
W
|
51/32 |
485/235 |
9.5/7.3 |
0/1 |
8/27 |
18/42 |
149/384 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.8/8.7 |
634/619 |
9.1/8.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 Richmond |
42-13 |
-14.0
W
|
45/16 |
315/49 |
7.0/3.1 |
0/0 |
14/12 |
26/29 |
179/185 |
1/2 |
3/2 |
6.2/6.0 |
494/234 |
6.7/5.0 |
| 09/08/18 @ Indiana |
16-20 |
+5.0
W
|
38/44 |
193/237 |
5.1/5.4 |
1/0 |
12/16 |
24/22 |
105/150 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
4.2/6.8 |
298/387 |
4.7/5.9 |
| 09/15/18 Ohio |
45-31 |
-3.5
W
|
26/27 |
207/150 |
8.0/5.6 |
3/2 |
25/16 |
30/31 |
354/218 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
10.7/6.4 |
561/368 |
9.5/6.0 |
| 09/22/18 Louisville |
27-3 |
-5.0
W
|
38/25 |
188/73 |
4.9/2.9 |
0/1 |
17/16 |
26/28 |
190/132 |
1/2 |
1/4 |
7.0/4.1 |
378/205 |
5.8/3.6 |
| 09/29/18 @ No Carolina St. |
21-35 |
+6.0
L
|
25/37 |
123/178 |
4.9/4.8 |
0/0 |
20/22 |
35/32 |
228/257 |
2/0 |
4/0 |
5.8/8.0 |
351/435 |
5.5/6.3 |
| 10/13/18 Miami Fla |
16-13 |
+7.0
W
|
36/27 |
171/165 |
4.8/6.1 |
0/0 |
12/15 |
21/29 |
66/174 |
3/3 |
4/2 |
2.6/5.6 |
237/339 |
3.9/5.8 |
| 10/20/18 @ Duke |
28-14 |
+7.0
W
|
42/23 |
187/83 |
4.5/3.6 |
0/0 |
21/23 |
33/41 |
189/237 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
5.4/5.3 |
376/320 |
4.9/4.7 |
| 10/27/18 North Carolina |
31-21 |
-9.0
W
|
40/21 |
231/71 |
5.8/3.4 |
0/1 |
18/22 |
27/38 |
198/265 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
6.6/6.8 |
429/336 |
6.1/5.6 |
Pittsburgh
@ 