Oregon St. @

Washington St.

Sat, Sep 23
FOX
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 375
Odds: Washington St. +2.5, Total: 58.5

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – Oregon State (-2.5)  33   WASHINGTON STATE  24

Washington State has averaged 48.3 points in their 3 games, but they’ve been just 0.4 yards per play better than average (6.9 yppl against teams that would allow 6.5 yppl to an average team) and today the Cougars face an Oregon State defense that’s been 0.8 yppl better than average in 2 games against FBS opponents. My math is calling for a modest 5.7 yppl for Washington State in this game.

Oregon State’s offense should easily top WSU’s offensive production, as the Beavers are clicking on all cylinders right now. The OSU rush attack is as strong as ever, averaging 221 yards at 6.7 yards per rushing play (against teams that would allow 5.5 yprp to an average team) while former Clemson QB DJ Ulagalelei is in a better offensive system and has averaged 8.9 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 6.7 yppp to an average QB). I don’t expect Ulagalelei to continue to average 15.0 yards per completion but he’s still likely to be at least as good as the quarterbacks the Beavers have had the last two seasons, who combined to be 1.1 yppp better than average. Washington State’s defense has looked pretty good (4.7 yppl allowed) but they’ve faced 2 below average offensive teams (CSU with Millen starting at QB and Northern Colorado) and a Wisconsin attack that has been below average offensively so far this season. Oregon State has averaged 7.2 yppl or more in all 3 of their games and I project them at 6.4 yppl in this game.

In addition to the advantage from the line of scrimmage the Beavers are also better in special teams and field position matters in close games. The Beavers don’t quite qualify as a Best Bet but Oregon State is a Strong Opinion at -3 -110 or better.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Oregon St.
  • Washington St.
OSU
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 33.0 24.3
  • Run Yards 221.3 90.7
  • YPRP 6.7 3.7




Pass





  • Pass Comp 17.7 20.0
  • Pass Att 28.0 34.7
  • Comp % 63.1% 57.7%
  • Pass Yards 253.7 192.0
  • Sacks 0.7 4.0
  • Sack Yards 2.7 30.0
  • Sack % 2.3% 10.3%
  • Pass Plays 28.7 38.7
  • Net Pass Yards 251.0 162.0
  • YPPP 8.8 4.2

Total

  • Total Plays 61.7 63.0
  • Total Yards 472.3 252.7
  • YPPL 7.7 4.0

TO


  • Int 0.7 0.7
  • Int % 2.4% 1.9%
  • Fumbles 0.0 0.7
  • Turnovers 0.7 1.3
 
  • Points 41.0 11.0
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