Game Analysis
Lean – Oregon State (+14) 26 OREGON 36
I think Oregon is the second best team in the nation behind Georgia, but the math model still sees significant value in favor of the visiting Beavers, who only lost by 2 points to unbeaten Washington last week despite being -2 in turnover margin (outgained the Huskies by 81 yards).
I’ll lean with Oregon State at +14 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.3
26.6
-
Run Yards
207.8
122.6
-
YPRP
6.1
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.9
19.5
-
Pass Att
28.8
31.9
-
Comp %
58.7%
61.0%
-
Pass Yards
249.0
212.3
-
Sacks
1.4
3.3
-
Sack Yards
8.4
22.5
-
Sack %
4.5%
9.3%
-
Pass Plays
30.2
35.2
-
Net Pass Yards
240.6
189.8
-
YPPP
8.0
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
64.5
61.7
-
Total Yards
448.5
312.5
-
YPPL
7.0
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.1
-
Int %
1.9%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.8
24.2
-
Run Yards
188.2
118.2
-
YPRP
6.1
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
27.8
22.1
-
Pass Att
36.0
37.2
-
Comp %
77.2%
59.4%
-
Pass Yards
351.6
227.9
-
Sacks
0.7
3.2
-
Sack Yards
4.8
24.2
-
Sack %
1.9%
7.9%
-
Pass Plays
36.7
40.4
-
Net Pass Yards
346.8
203.7
-
YPPP
9.4
5.0
Total
-
Total Plays
67.5
64.6
-
Total Yards
535.0
321.9
-
YPPL
7.9
5.0
TO
-
Int
0.3
0.8
-
Int %
0.8%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.4
-
Turnovers
0.5
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/23 @ San Jose St. |
42-17 |
-16.5
W
|
34/19 |
201/73 |
5.9/3.8 |
0/1 |
22/23 |
28/42 |
256/184 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
8.8/4.1 |
457/257 |
7.3/4.0 |
09/09/23 UC Davis |
55-7 |
0.0
W
|
34/26 |
270/79 |
7.9/3.0 |
0/1 |
17/17 |
26/30 |
213/96 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
7.9/2.9 |
483/175 |
7.9/3.0 |
09/16/23 San Diego St. |
26-9 |
-24.5
L
|
31/28 |
193/120 |
6.2/4.3 |
0/0 |
14/20 |
30/32 |
284/206 |
2/1 |
0/6 |
9.5/5.4 |
477/326 |
7.8/4.9 |
09/23/23 @ Washington St. |
35-38 |
-2.5
L
|
36/26 |
263/123 |
7.3/4.7 |
0/2 |
17/29 |
34/35 |
185/408 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
5.1/11.0 |
448/531 |
6.2/8.4 |
09/29/23 Utah |
21-7 |
-4.0
W
|
32/28 |
164/100 |
5.1/3.6 |
0/0 |
15/13 |
26/31 |
205/110 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
7.1/3.2 |
369/210 |
6.0/3.4 |
10/07/23 @ California |
52-40 |
-7.5
W
|
41/33 |
205/238 |
5.0/7.2 |
1/1 |
21/21 |
28/32 |
285/207 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
10.2/6.5 |
490/445 |
7.1/6.8 |
10/14/23 UCLA |
36-24 |
-3.5
W
|
25/45 |
145/252 |
5.8/5.6 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
26/34 |
273/151 |
0/3 |
2/5 |
9.8/3.9 |
418/403 |
7.9/4.8 |
10/28/23 @ Arizona |
24-27 |
-3.0
L
|
28/25 |
145/119 |
5.2/4.8 |
0/0 |
18/25 |
33/32 |
268/245 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
7.9/6.8 |
413/364 |
6.7/6.0 |
11/04/23 @ Colorado |
26-19 |
-13.0
L
|
41/15 |
215/33 |
5.2/2.2 |
2/1 |
12/24 |
25/39 |
207/208 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
7.4/4.8 |
422/241 |
6.1/4.2 |
11/11/23 Stanford |
62-17 |
-21.0
W
|
37/26 |
288/101 |
7.8/3.9 |
0/0 |
18/14 |
28/16 |
314/111 |
0/4 |
1/6 |
10.8/5.0 |
602/212 |
9.1/4.4 |
11/18/23 Washington |
20-22 |
-1.0
L
|
38/21 |
197/111 |
5.2/5.3 |
1/1 |
16/13 |
33/28 |
157/162 |
2/0 |
1/0 |
4.6/5.8 |
354/273 |
4.9/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Portland State |
81-7 |
0.0
W
|
34/35 |
348/150 |
10.2/4.3 |
0/1 |
33/8 |
38/20 |
381/52 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
10.0/2.6 |
729/202 |
10.1/3.7 |
09/09/23 @ Texas Tech |
38-30 |
-6.0
W
|
30/28 |
116/216 |
3.9/7.7 |
0/1 |
32/24 |
44/39 |
356/252 |
0/2 |
1/4 |
7.9/5.9 |
472/468 |
6.3/6.6 |
09/16/23 Hawaii |
55-10 |
-38.0
W
|
29/17 |
224/77 |
7.7/4.5 |
0/0 |
27/24 |
35/43 |
336/101 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
9.3/2.2 |
560/178 |
8.6/2.9 |
09/23/23 Colorado |
42-6 |
-21.0
W
|
36/17 |
251/115 |
7.0/6.8 |
0/0 |
30/23 |
35/33 |
282/86 |
1/0 |
2/7 |
7.6/2.2 |
533/201 |
7.3/3.5 |
09/30/23 @ Stanford |
42-6 |
-27.0
W
|
26/40 |
212/135 |
8.2/3.4 |
0/0 |
28/14 |
33/24 |
298/89 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
9.0/3.0 |
510/224 |
8.6/3.2 |
10/14/23 @ Washington |
33-36 |
+3.0
T
|
39/22 |
212/104 |
5.4/4.7 |
0/0 |
33/23 |
44/38 |
329/311 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
7.3/8.0 |
541/415 |
6.4/6.8 |
10/21/23 Washington St. |
38-24 |
-20.0
L
|
31/16 |
251/78 |
8.1/4.9 |
0/0 |
18/34 |
25/49 |
293/417 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
11.7/7.6 |
544/495 |
9.7/7.0 |
10/28/23 @ Utah |
35-6 |
-6.5
W
|
27/34 |
142/113 |
5.3/3.3 |
1/0 |
24/16 |
31/30 |
248/128 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
8.0/4.0 |
390/241 |
6.7/3.7 |
11/04/23 California |
63-19 |
-24.5
W
|
34/28 |
172/130 |
5.1/4.6 |
1/2 |
35/18 |
46/34 |
459/169 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
9.8/4.8 |
631/299 |
7.8/4.7 |
11/11/23 USC |
36-27 |
-16.0
L
|
27/22 |
148/106 |
5.5/4.8 |
0/1 |
23/20 |
32/35 |
412/279 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
12.9/7.3 |
560/385 |
9.5/6.4 |
11/18/23 @ Arizona St. |
49-13 |
-24.5
W
|
29/18 |
154/108 |
5.3/6.0 |
0/0 |
28/25 |
35/47 |
455/205 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
12.6/4.4 |
609/313 |
9.4/4.8 |