Game Analysis
Lean – BAYLOR (-2.5) 33 Oklahoma State 26
Oklahoma State’s defense was among the best in the nation last season but the star players from that unit, and the star defensive coordinator, are gone and the Cowboys have allowed 6.1 yards per play in two games against FBS opponents Central Michigan and Arizona State, who would combine to average only 5.2 yppl against an average defense. I assume that the Oklahoma State’s defense is much better than they’ve shown but my math likes Baylor here even after blending in the Cowboys’ prior (i.e. their preseason rating).
Baylor has been consistently good so far this season with last week’s win at Iowa State being their most impressive showing (and their only loss was in OT on the road against a ranked BYU team). I’ll lean with Baylor at -3 or less.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.0
35.0
-
Run Yards
166.5
144.5
-
YPRP
4.5
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.5
24.0
-
Pass Att
39.5
36.0
-
Comp %
62.0%
66.7%
-
Pass Yards
337.0
323.5
-
Sacks
0.5
2.5
-
Sack Yards
3.5
17.5
-
Sack %
1.3%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
40.0
38.5
-
Net Pass Yards
333.5
306.0
-
YPPP
8.3
7.9
Total
-
Total Plays
77.0
73.5
-
Total Yards
500.0
450.5
-
YPPL
6.5
6.1
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.5
-
Int %
1.3%
1.4%
-
Fumbles
0.0
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.5
1.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.0
28.3
-
Run Yards
215.5
94.8
-
YPRP
5.4
3.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
21.0
-
Pass Att
27.3
35.5
-
Comp %
69.7%
59.2%
-
Pass Yards
224.3
226.3
-
Sacks
2.0
2.5
-
Sack Yards
10.0
14.8
-
Sack %
6.8%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
29.3
38.0
-
Net Pass Yards
214.3
211.5
-
YPPP
7.3
5.6
Total
-
Total Plays
69.3
66.3
-
Total Yards
429.8
306.3
-
YPPL
6.2
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.3
0.5
-
Int %
0.9%
1.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/22 Central Mich |
58-44 |
-21.5
L
|
28/37 |
136/137 |
4.9/3.7 |
0/0 |
28/36 |
41/49 |
399/409 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
9.5/8.0 |
535/546 |
7.6/6.2 |
09/10/22 Arizona St. |
34-17 |
-11.5
W
|
46/33 |
197/152 |
4.3/4.6 |
0/1 |
21/12 |
38/23 |
268/203 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
7.1/7.8 |
465/355 |
5.5/6.0 |
09/17/22 Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
63-7 |
0.0
W
|
24/27 |
179/97 |
7.5/3.6 |
1/0 |
25/16 |
38/41 |
361/133 |
1/0 |
2/4 |
9.0/3.0 |
540/230 |
8.4/3.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Albany |
69-10 |
0.0
W
|
39/28 |
265/97 |
6.8/3.5 |
0/1 |
22/13 |
27/30 |
308/142 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
10.6/4.4 |
573/239 |
8.4/4.0 |
09/10/22 @ BYU |
20-26 |
+2.5
L
|
46/31 |
176/94 |
3.8/3.0 |
0/0 |
18/24 |
28/40 |
115/272 |
0/0 |
4/2 |
3.6/6.5 |
291/366 |
3.7/5.0 |
09/17/22 Texas State |
42-7 |
-30.0
W
|
37/31 |
282/102 |
7.6/3.3 |
2/1 |
17/24 |
28/36 |
208/168 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
7.4/4.4 |
490/270 |
7.5/3.9 |
09/24/22 @ Iowa St. |
31-24 |
+2.5
W
|
38/23 |
139/86 |
3.7/3.7 |
0/0 |
19/23 |
26/36 |
226/264 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
8.1/6.6 |
365/350 |
5.5/5.6 |