Game Analysis
TENNESSEE (-27) 37 Ohio 15
Tennessee has not come close to being as good as they were ranked heading into this season. The Volunteers needed overtime to beat Appalachian State and they were outplayed 5.1 yards per play to 5.9 yppl in their deceiving 45-24 win over Virginia Tech last week. That win was courtesy of a +5 in fumble margin, which is completely random.
So far this season Tennessee has averaged 332 yards at 4.8 yards per play and they’ve allowed 360 yards at 5.2 yppl, which is not exactly worthy of the hype they were getting coming into this season.
I’m not a fan of Ohio this season and I bet them to win under 7.5 games, but the Bobcats are not a horrible team and they have a good enough run defense to keep this game close. Ohio has only allowed 3.6 yards per rushing play, which is good even when compensating for facing two poor running teams, Texas State and Kansas. I’d consider Ohio a Strong Opinion if the line gets up to +28 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
44.2
29.6
-
Run Yards
206.8
112.8
-
YPRP
4.8
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.4
21.8
-
Pass Att
36.8
33.2
-
Comp %
55.4%
65.7%
-
Pass Yards
231.0
241.0
-
Sacks
1.2
4.0
-
Sack Yards
7.4
26.4
-
Sack %
3.2%
10.8%
-
Pass Plays
38.0
37.2
-
Net Pass Yards
223.6
214.6
-
YPPP
5.9
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
82.2
66.8
-
Total Yards
437.8
353.8
-
YPPL
5.3
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.2
-
Int %
1.6%
3.6%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.2
-
Turnovers
1.0
2.4
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.6
37.0
-
Run Yards
178.8
155.4
-
YPRP
4.8
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.2
19.6
-
Pass Att
26.6
32.8
-
Comp %
57.1%
59.8%
-
Pass Yards
198.4
211.0
-
Sacks
2.0
1.6
-
Sack Yards
17.0
8.4
-
Sack %
7.0%
4.7%
-
Pass Plays
28.6
34.4
-
Net Pass Yards
181.4
202.6
-
YPPP
6.3
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
69.2
71.4
-
Total Yards
377.2
366.4
-
YPPL
5.5
5.1
TO
-
Int
1.2
0.6
-
Int %
4.5%
1.8%
-
Fumbles
0.6
1.4
-
Turnovers
1.8
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Texas State |
54-56 |
-21.0
L
|
51/36 |
236/142 |
4.6/3.9 |
2/1 |
28/41 |
46/56 |
392/399 |
0/2 |
0/6 |
8.5/6.4 |
628/541 |
6.5/5.5 |
09/10/16 @ Kansas |
37-21 |
+2.5
W
|
53/13 |
344/33 |
6.5/2.5 |
0/2 |
19/18 |
36/29 |
167/200 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
4.6/6.7 |
511/233 |
5.7/5.4 |
09/17/16 @ Tennessee |
19-28 |
+27.0
W
|
30/39 |
88/227 |
2.9/5.8 |
0/0 |
23/19 |
46/27 |
230/176 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
5.0/5.9 |
318/403 |
4.2/5.8 |
09/24/16 Gardner-Webb |
37-21 |
0.0
W
|
43/35 |
235/203 |
5.5/5.8 |
0/1 |
25/13 |
38/20 |
298/134 |
1/0 |
2/4 |
7.5/5.6 |
533/337 |
6.4/5.7 |
10/01/16 @ Miami Ohio |
17-7 |
-3.0
W
|
44/25 |
168/91 |
3.8/3.6 |
0/2 |
7/18 |
18/34 |
31/164 |
1/2 |
4/6 |
1.4/4.1 |
199/255 |
3.0/3.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/16 Appalachian State |
20-13 |
-21.5
L
|
41/43 |
156/186 |
3.8/4.3 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
29/23 |
173/108 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
5.6/4.7 |
329/294 |
4.6/4.5 |
09/10/16 Virginia Tech |
45-24 |
-11.5
W
|
44/41 |
253/230 |
5.8/5.6 |
0/5 |
10/20 |
19/28 |
81/195 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
3.9/6.3 |
334/425 |
5.1/5.9 |
09/17/16 Ohio |
28-19 |
-27.0
L
|
39/30 |
227/88 |
5.8/2.9 |
0/0 |
19/23 |
27/46 |
176/230 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
5.9/5.0 |
403/318 |
5.8/4.2 |
09/24/16 Florida |
38-28 |
-6.0
W
|
44/29 |
192/112 |
4.4/3.9 |
0/1 |
16/23 |
33/39 |
311/290 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
9.1/7.1 |
503/402 |
6.4/5.7 |
10/01/16 @ Georgia |
34-31 |
-4.0
L
|
35/42 |
151/203 |
4.3/4.8 |
2/1 |
15/17 |
25/28 |
166/190 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
6.1/6.1 |
317/393 |
5.1/5.4 |