Game Analysis
Buffalo (-3) 26 Northern Illinois 21
This game will come down to how will the strong Northern Illinois defense can defend Buffalo’s big play offense featuring future high NFL draft pick WR Anthony Johnson, who has averaged 18.2 yards per catch and 11.6 yards per target. NIU has done a good job against better than average offensive teams, holding Utah, Ohio, and Toledo to a combined 5.2 yards per play, which is 1.0 yppl lower than what those teams would combine to average against an average defensive team.
Buffalo was 0.7 yards per play better than average in scoring 36 points against Temple, the only really good defense they faced this season and the Bulls averaged over 7 yards per play against the 4 mediocre defensive teams that they faced (Eastern Michigan, Rutgers, Central Michigan and Miami-Ohio). Overall, Buffalo was relatively better against better defensive teams and they should score enough to top an NIU offense that has averaged just 19.9 points and a pathetic 4.6 yards per play this season (against teams that rate the same as Buffalo’s mediocre defense).
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.8
36.3
-
Run Yards
185.5
109.7
-
YPRP
5.2
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.0
19.8
-
Pass Att
28.1
34.4
-
Comp %
57.0%
57.4%
-
Pass Yards
141.6
237.3
-
Sacks
2.5
3.8
-
Sack Yards
20.8
24.1
-
Sack %
8.2%
10.0%
-
Pass Plays
30.6
38.3
-
Net Pass Yards
120.8
213.3
-
YPPP
3.9
5.6
Total
-
Total Plays
70.3
74.6
-
Total Yards
327.1
347.0
-
YPPL
4.7
4.7
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.6
-
Int %
2.7%
1.7%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.5
36.1
-
Run Yards
209.0
167.3
-
YPRP
5.3
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.6
14.3
-
Pass Att
28.9
27.9
-
Comp %
54.1%
51.1%
-
Pass Yards
224.2
180.0
-
Sacks
0.9
2.6
-
Sack Yards
4.6
14.5
-
Sack %
3.1%
8.6%
-
Pass Plays
29.8
30.6
-
Net Pass Yards
219.5
165.6
-
YPPP
7.4
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
70.4
66.6
-
Total Yards
433.2
347.3
-
YPPL
6.2
5.2
TO
-
Int
1.1
1.1
-
Int %
3.8%
3.9%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 @ Iowa |
7-33 |
+10.5
L
|
31/46 |
149/216 |
4.8/4.7 |
1/0 |
15/13 |
26/25 |
67/139 |
1/1 |
5/1 |
2.2/5.3 |
216/355 |
3.5/4.9 |
| 09/08/18 Utah |
6-17 |
+11.0
T
|
39/31 |
176/118 |
4.5/3.8 |
1/2 |
18/20 |
33/31 |
74/239 |
1/0 |
3/7 |
2.1/6.3 |
250/357 |
3.3/5.2 |
| 09/15/18 Central Mich |
24-16 |
-14.0
L
|
46/43 |
227/185 |
4.9/4.3 |
0/1 |
11/18 |
18/33 |
96/134 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
5.1/3.7 |
323/319 |
5.0/4.0 |
| 09/22/18 @ Florida St. |
19-37 |
+10.0
L
|
16/54 |
37/160 |
2.3/3.0 |
0/3 |
20/23 |
41/31 |
189/335 |
0/1 |
4/2 |
4.2/10.2 |
226/495 |
3.7/5.7 |
| 09/29/18 @ Eastern Mich |
26-23 |
+3.5
W
|
60/29 |
246/94 |
4.1/3.2 |
1/1 |
20/17 |
35/40 |
121/163 |
2/0 |
0/3 |
3.5/3.8 |
367/257 |
3.9/3.6 |
| 10/06/18 @ Ball St. |
24-16 |
-3.0
W
|
40/38 |
253/148 |
6.3/3.9 |
0/1 |
18/32 |
29/56 |
117/245 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
3.7/4.2 |
370/393 |
5.1/4.1 |
| 10/13/18 Ohio |
24-21 |
-4.5
L
|
42/28 |
277/84 |
6.6/3.0 |
0/2 |
17/15 |
33/23 |
127/239 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
3.6/8.9 |
404/323 |
5.2/5.9 |
| 10/27/18 @ BYU |
7-6 |
+7.0
W
|
30/32 |
113/116 |
3.8/3.6 |
0/0 |
10/18 |
21/30 |
104/185 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
4.5/5.3 |
217/301 |
4.1/4.5 |
| 11/01/18 @ Akron |
36-26 |
-6.0
W
|
55/22 |
342/62 |
6.2/2.8 |
1/0 |
21/21 |
28/38 |
154/299 |
0/2 |
4/6 |
4.8/6.8 |
496/361 |
5.7/5.5 |
| 11/07/18 Toledo |
38-15 |
-3.5
W
|
43/37 |
306/187 |
7.1/5.1 |
1/0 |
13/26 |
19/47 |
122/235 |
1/0 |
1/5 |
6.1/4.5 |
428/422 |
6.8/4.7 |
| 11/14/18 Miami Ohio |
7-13 |
-7.0
L
|
36/36 |
215/104 |
6.0/2.9 |
1/0 |
15/15 |
33/24 |
151/98 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
4.4/3.8 |
366/202 |
5.2/3.3 |
| 11/20/18 @ Western Mich |
21-28 |
-6.5
L
|
39/40 |
135/131 |
3.5/3.3 |
1/1 |
14/19 |
21/35 |
127/248 |
2/0 |
4/6 |
5.1/6.0 |
262/379 |
4.1/4.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 Delaware State |
48-10 |
-44.5
L
|
37/52 |
154/216 |
4.2/4.2 |
0/3 |
19/8 |
29/18 |
200/66 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
6.9/3.5 |
354/282 |
5.4/4.0 |
| 09/08/18 @ Temple |
36-29 |
+4.5
W
|
39/27 |
165/139 |
4.2/5.1 |
0/1 |
26/17 |
45/36 |
275/227 |
1/2 |
0/2 |
6.1/6.0 |
440/366 |
5.2/5.6 |
| 09/15/18 Eastern Mich |
35-28 |
-3.5
W
|
39/37 |
164/169 |
4.2/4.6 |
1/1 |
21/25 |
26/38 |
325/306 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
12.5/7.0 |
489/475 |
7.5/5.9 |
| 09/22/18 @ Rutgers |
42-13 |
-6.0
W
|
33/36 |
186/132 |
5.6/3.7 |
0/0 |
14/18 |
28/37 |
263/152 |
2/0 |
0/2 |
9.4/3.9 |
449/284 |
7.4/3.8 |
| 09/29/18 Army |
13-42 |
-7.5
L
|
31/63 |
103/283 |
3.3/4.5 |
0/0 |
10/4 |
24/5 |
152/89 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
6.3/14.8 |
255/372 |
4.6/5.4 |
| 10/06/18 @ Central Mich |
34-24 |
-7.5
W
|
44/34 |
306/177 |
7.0/5.2 |
0/0 |
10/14 |
20/33 |
118/169 |
1/4 |
2/2 |
5.4/4.8 |
424/346 |
6.4/5.0 |
| 10/13/18 Akron |
24-6 |
-12.0
W
|
45/29 |
225/137 |
5.0/4.7 |
0/0 |
16/12 |
30/29 |
212/101 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
7.1/3.2 |
437/238 |
5.8/3.9 |
| 10/20/18 @ Toledo |
31-17 |
+2.5
W
|
42/27 |
166/167 |
4.0/6.2 |
0/2 |
25/7 |
46/21 |
303/128 |
3/2 |
5/2 |
5.9/5.6 |
469/295 |
5.0/5.9 |
| 10/30/18 Miami Ohio |
51-42 |
-7.0
W
|
34/35 |
173/158 |
5.1/4.5 |
0/1 |
20/20 |
35/35 |
339/293 |
0/0 |
3/6 |
8.9/7.1 |
512/451 |
7.1/5.9 |
| 11/06/18 Kent State |
48-14 |
-17.0
W
|
57/38 |
358/118 |
6.3/3.1 |
1/0 |
9/14 |
21/28 |
146/65 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
7.0/2.2 |
504/183 |
6.5/2.7 |
| 11/14/18 @ Ohio |
17-52 |
+2.5
L
|
22/55 |
168/442 |
7.6/8.0 |
2/0 |
9/17 |
21/27 |
116/204 |
3/1 |
0/1 |
5.5/7.3 |
284/646 |
6.6/7.8 |
| 11/23/18 @ Bowling Green |
44-14 |
-15.0
W
|
60/16 |
336/77 |
5.6/4.8 |
0/1 |
12/9 |
22/18 |
166/87 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
7.5/4.4 |
502/164 |
6.1/4.6 |
Northern Ill
vs 
Buffalo