Game Analysis
MIAMI-FLORIDA (-7) 36 North Carolina 25
Miami lost a heartbreaker to Florida State last week, as a missed extra point lead to a 19-20 loss to their in-state rival. If Miami can bounce back emotionally then the Hurricanes should be able to beat North Carolina.
The Tarheels are a good team with a great offense (when it’s not pouring rain) that more than makes up for a worse than average defense, but Miami is good on both sides of the ball and their defense has been particularly good. The Canes’ stop unit has yielded just 15 points per game and only 4.4 yards per play to 4 FBS opponents that would combine to average 28.0 points and 5.9 yppl against an average defensive team. Miami QB Brad Kaaya has been inconsistent so far this season but if he plays at his average level then Miami should score a good number of points while limiting UNC’s attack. I like Miami at -7 or less and would still lean slightly with the Canes if the line moves up.
Rush
-
Run Plays
26.3
46.0
-
Run Yards
128.3
238.8
-
YPRP
5.3
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
25.2
15.5
-
Pass Att
35.7
26.3
-
Comp %
70.6%
58.9%
-
Pass Yards
299.8
197.5
-
Sacks
2.0
2.2
-
Sack Yards
11.3
13.0
-
Sack %
5.3%
7.6%
-
Pass Plays
37.7
28.5
-
Net Pass Yards
288.5
184.5
-
YPPP
7.7
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
64.0
74.5
-
Total Yards
428.2
436.3
-
YPPL
6.7
5.9
TO
-
Int
0.3
0.0
-
Int %
0.9%
0.0%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.3
0.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.3
39.8
-
Run Yards
156.3
162.5
-
YPRP
5.5
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.8
15.0
-
Pass Att
27.5
27.5
-
Comp %
64.5%
54.5%
-
Pass Yards
257.8
154.0
-
Sacks
1.0
4.0
-
Sack Yards
5.5
24.5
-
Sack %
3.5%
12.7%
-
Pass Plays
28.5
31.5
-
Net Pass Yards
252.3
129.5
-
YPPP
8.9
4.1
Total
-
Total Plays
57.8
71.3
-
Total Yards
414.0
316.5
-
YPPL
7.2
4.4
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.0
-
Int %
3.6%
3.6%
-
Fumbles
0.0
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 @ Georgia |
24-33 |
+3.0
L
|
18/44 |
160/314 |
8.9/7.1 |
0/1 |
24/13 |
40/20 |
155/167 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
3.8/7.0 |
315/481 |
5.3/7.1 |
09/10/16 @ Illinois |
48-23 |
-7.5
W
|
35/33 |
204/195 |
5.8/5.9 |
1/1 |
19/17 |
24/35 |
258/117 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
9.9/3.2 |
462/312 |
7.6/4.5 |
09/17/16 James Madison |
56-28 |
0.0
W
|
32/47 |
173/222 |
5.4/4.7 |
1/0 |
29/22 |
33/36 |
462/273 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
14.0/7.0 |
635/495 |
9.8/5.8 |
09/24/16 Pittsburgh |
37-36 |
-7.0
L
|
18/54 |
54/306 |
3.0/5.7 |
1/1 |
35/14 |
46/18 |
417/140 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
8.3/7.8 |
471/446 |
6.9/6.2 |
10/01/16 @ Florida St. |
37-35 |
+11.0
W
|
29/41 |
147/241 |
5.1/5.9 |
1/0 |
31/20 |
38/32 |
393/354 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
9.6/10.4 |
540/595 |
7.7/7.9 |
10/08/16 Virginia Tech |
3-34 |
-1.5
L
|
26/57 |
100/233 |
3.8/4.1 |
2/2 |
13/7 |
33/17 |
46/56 |
2/0 |
2/2 |
1.3/2.9 |
146/289 |
2.4/3.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Florida A&M |
70-3 |
0.0
W
|
35/37 |
378/76 |
10.8/2.1 |
1/0 |
13/15 |
21/27 |
142/154 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
6.5/5.1 |
520/230 |
9.1/3.4 |
09/10/16 Florida Atl. |
38-10 |
-24.5
W
|
39/27 |
279/82 |
7.2/3.0 |
0/0 |
17/18 |
31/37 |
191/132 |
2/1 |
0/7 |
6.2/3.0 |
470/214 |
6.7/3.0 |
09/17/16 @ Appalachian State |
45-10 |
-3.5
W
|
28/43 |
174/166 |
6.2/3.9 |
0/0 |
22/10 |
28/21 |
377/92 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
13.0/3.8 |
551/258 |
9.7/3.9 |
10/01/16 @ Georgia Tech |
35-21 |
-6.5
W
|
26/50 |
116/296 |
4.5/5.9 |
0/2 |
13/11 |
19/19 |
241/75 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
12.7/3.3 |
357/371 |
7.9/5.1 |
10/08/16 Florida St. |
19-20 |
-3.0
L
|
24/39 |
78/204 |
3.3/5.2 |
0/0 |
19/21 |
32/33 |
200/219 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
5.7/6.3 |
278/423 |
4.7/5.7 |