Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – COLORADO STATE (+3.5) 33 Nevada 31
Colorado State is just 3-8 but the Rams have outgained their opponents 416 yards at 5.6 yards per play to 368 yards at 5.3 yppl and rate as average offensively and just 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively after adjusting for their schedule. Nevada is 7-4 but the Wolf Pack aren’t any better than CSU from the line of scrimmage, as they’ve been 0.2 yppl better than average offensively and 0.3 yppl worse than average defensively.
These teams are dead-even from the line of scrimmage and I project the Rams to outgain Nevada on their home field tonight. Nevada does have an advantage in special teams but there’s enough value here to make Colorado State a Strong Opinion at +3.5 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
20.4
33.7
-
Run Yards
83.1
194.9
-
YPRP
4.1
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
33.3
21.9
-
Pass Att
47.5
35.7
-
Comp %
70.1%
61.3%
-
Pass Yards
376.9
227.6
-
Sacks
3.3
2.8
-
Sack Yards
21.6
20.6
-
Sack %
6.4%
7.3%
-
Pass Plays
50.7
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
355.3
207.1
-
YPPP
7.0
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
71.1
72.3
-
Total Yards
438.4
402.0
-
YPPL
6.2
5.6
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.0
-
Int %
1.5%
2.8%
-
Fumbles
0.1
0.9
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.9
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.7
37.6
-
Run Yards
170.5
190.1
-
YPRP
4.3
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.9
15.7
-
Pass Att
33.1
28.1
-
Comp %
60.2%
56.0%
-
Pass Yards
257.5
198.8
-
Sacks
1.9
3.2
-
Sack Yards
9.7
20.5
-
Sack %
5.5%
10.2%
-
Pass Plays
35.0
31.3
-
Net Pass Yards
247.7
178.4
-
YPPP
7.1
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
74.7
68.8
-
Total Yards
418.2
368.5
-
YPPL
5.6
5.4
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.6
-
Int %
2.5%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/04/21 @ California |
22-17 |
+3.5
W
|
22/25 |
77/171 |
3.5/6.8 |
0/0 |
22/25 |
39/38 |
301/159 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
7.3/4.0 |
378/330 |
6.0/5.1 |
09/11/21 Idaho State |
49-10 |
0.0
W
|
17/33 |
150/184 |
8.8/5.6 |
0/2 |
37/16 |
46/28 |
414/142 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
9.0/4.3 |
564/326 |
9.0/4.9 |
09/18/21 @ Kansas St. |
17-38 |
-2.0
L
|
19/47 |
49/271 |
2.6/5.8 |
0/0 |
28/9 |
41/13 |
284/129 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
6.5/9.9 |
333/400 |
5.3/6.7 |
10/02/21 @ Boise St. |
41-31 |
+5.0
W
|
25/26 |
150/119 |
6.0/4.6 |
0/2 |
25/34 |
38/47 |
245/342 |
0/1 |
4/6 |
5.8/6.5 |
395/461 |
5.9/5.8 |
10/09/21 New Mexico St. |
55-28 |
-28.5
L
|
18/23 |
85/67 |
4.7/2.9 |
0/1 |
37/36 |
47/62 |
533/326 |
1/0 |
3/6 |
10.7/4.8 |
618/393 |
9.1/4.3 |
10/16/21 Hawaii |
34-17 |
-14.0
W
|
33/25 |
116/229 |
3.5/9.2 |
0/1 |
34/22 |
54/39 |
363/164 |
0/4 |
3/4 |
6.4/3.8 |
479/393 |
5.3/5.8 |
10/23/21 @ Fresno St. |
32-34 |
+3.5
W
|
16/28 |
71/217 |
4.4/7.8 |
1/1 |
49/26 |
61/38 |
451/256 |
1/0 |
5/2 |
6.8/6.4 |
522/473 |
6.4/7.0 |
10/29/21 UNLV |
51-20 |
-20.0
W
|
17/19 |
23/43 |
1.4/2.3 |
0/0 |
37/27 |
49/41 |
416/250 |
1/3 |
1/5 |
8.3/5.4 |
439/293 |
6.6/4.5 |
11/06/21 San Jose St. |
27-24 |
-11.0
L
|
27/27 |
79/168 |
2.9/6.2 |
0/1 |
36/24 |
55/48 |
288/312 |
2/2 |
3/0 |
5.0/6.5 |
367/480 |
4.3/6.4 |
11/13/21 @ San Diego St. |
21-23 |
+3.0
W
|
11/37 |
32/196 |
2.9/5.3 |
0/0 |
34/21 |
48/34 |
326/175 |
0/0 |
4/1 |
6.3/5.0 |
358/371 |
5.7/5.2 |
11/19/21 Air Force |
39-41 |
+1.0
L
|
19/81 |
82/479 |
4.3/5.9 |
0/2 |
27/1 |
44/5 |
287/23 |
1/0 |
8/0 |
5.5/4.6 |
369/502 |
5.2/5.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/21 South Dakota State |
23-42 |
0.0
L
|
37/33 |
137/245 |
3.7/7.4 |
1/0 |
34/18 |
49/28 |
353/224 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
6.8/8.0 |
490/469 |
5.5/7.7 |
09/11/21 Vanderbilt |
21-24 |
-6.5
L
|
33/34 |
207/120 |
6.3/3.5 |
0/1 |
20/27 |
38/42 |
238/223 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
6.3/5.0 |
445/343 |
6.3/4.3 |
09/18/21 @ Toledo |
22-6 |
+14.5
W
|
48/22 |
211/69 |
4.4/3.1 |
1/1 |
11/25 |
28/43 |
110/228 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
3.9/4.7 |
321/297 |
4.2/4.2 |
09/25/21 @ Iowa |
14-24 |
+23.5
W
|
45/28 |
122/90 |
2.7/3.2 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
30/23 |
140/203 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
4.2/7.8 |
262/293 |
3.4/5.4 |
10/09/21 San Jose St. |
32-14 |
-2.5
W
|
52/28 |
222/130 |
4.3/4.6 |
0/2 |
19/10 |
23/22 |
227/95 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
9.5/3.8 |
449/225 |
5.9/4.2 |
10/16/21 @ New Mexico |
36-7 |
-11.5
W
|
48/30 |
190/115 |
4.0/3.8 |
0/1 |
16/4 |
25/20 |
266/-7 |
0/2 |
4/5 |
9.2/-0.3 |
456/108 |
5.9/2.0 |
10/22/21 @ Utah St. |
24-26 |
-3.0
L
|
40/39 |
203/167 |
5.1/4.3 |
1/0 |
18/17 |
29/31 |
275/181 |
1/1 |
1/8 |
9.2/4.6 |
478/348 |
6.8/4.5 |
10/30/21 Boise St. |
19-28 |
+3.0
L
|
34/46 |
110/195 |
3.2/4.2 |
0/0 |
23/21 |
36/32 |
271/236 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.3/6.9 |
381/431 |
5.4/5.4 |
11/06/21 @ Wyoming |
17-31 |
-3.0
L
|
33/54 |
180/396 |
5.5/7.3 |
0/1 |
20/9 |
36/16 |
177/83 |
2/0 |
2/2 |
4.7/4.6 |
357/479 |
5.0/6.7 |
11/13/21 Air Force |
21-35 |
+2.5
L
|
36/66 |
136/394 |
3.8/6.0 |
0/0 |
13/4 |
22/11 |
172/121 |
2/1 |
1/0 |
7.5/11.0 |
308/515 |
5.2/6.7 |
11/20/21 @ Hawaii |
45-50 |
-2.5
L
|
31/33 |
157/170 |
5.1/5.2 |
1/2 |
29/23 |
48/41 |
496/375 |
2/0 |
5/3 |
9.4/8.5 |
653/545 |
7.8/7.1 |