Game Analysis
IOWA (-8) 33 Nebraska 20
Nebraska has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games against FBS opponents and my math model has at least leaned with the Cornhuskers in each of those games. That is not the case today, as the math favors Iowa by 10 points, which is where the line was early in the week. The situation also favors the Hawkeyes here, as they apply to an 86-28-2 ATS situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.2
35.4
-
Run Yards
220.7
196.4
-
YPRP
6.3
5.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.4
20.8
-
Pass Att
33.5
36.5
-
Comp %
63.9%
57.0%
-
Pass Yards
243.6
244.6
-
Sacks
2.1
2.1
-
Sack Yards
14.9
13.0
-
Sack %
5.9%
5.4%
-
Pass Plays
35.6
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
228.7
231.6
-
YPPP
6.4
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
72.8
74.0
-
Total Yards
464.3
441.0
-
YPPL
6.4
6.0
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
2.4%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
1.1
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.9
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.8
29.4
-
Run Yards
153.5
106.7
-
YPRP
4.4
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.5
17.3
-
Pass Att
31.6
30.1
-
Comp %
58.5%
57.4%
-
Pass Yards
231.7
180.1
-
Sacks
1.2
2.9
-
Sack Yards
7.2
19.6
-
Sack %
3.6%
8.8%
-
Pass Plays
32.7
33.0
-
Net Pass Yards
224.6
160.5
-
YPPP
6.9
4.9
Total
-
Total Plays
69.6
62.4
-
Total Yards
385.2
286.8
-
YPPL
5.5
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.9
1.6
-
Int %
2.9%
5.2%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.5
2.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/08/18 Colorado |
28-33 |
-3.5
L
|
52/28 |
344/87 |
6.6/3.1 |
2/0 |
19/33 |
29/50 |
224/308 |
1/0 |
2/7 |
7.2/5.4 |
568/395 |
6.8/4.6 |
09/15/18 Troy |
19-24 |
-10.0
L
|
45/27 |
210/174 |
4.7/6.4 |
1/1 |
19/14 |
27/21 |
154/91 |
2/1 |
3/3 |
5.1/3.8 |
364/265 |
4.9/5.2 |
09/22/18 @ Michigan |
10-56 |
+18.0
L
|
26/42 |
78/289 |
3.0/6.9 |
1/0 |
13/18 |
24/30 |
34/159 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
1.2/5.1 |
112/448 |
2.1/6.1 |
09/29/18 Purdue |
28-42 |
+3.0
L
|
36/36 |
277/190 |
7.7/5.3 |
0/0 |
25/25 |
42/42 |
312/326 |
1/0 |
2/1 |
7.1/7.6 |
589/516 |
7.4/6.5 |
10/06/18 @ Wisconsin |
24-41 |
+17.5
W
|
22/47 |
129/376 |
5.9/8.0 |
1/1 |
26/13 |
44/24 |
387/157 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
8.4/6.3 |
516/533 |
7.6/7.4 |
10/13/18 @ Northwestern |
31-34 |
+5.5
W
|
45/21 |
249/45 |
5.5/2.1 |
1/0 |
25/41 |
35/64 |
244/442 |
2/2 |
1/2 |
6.8/6.7 |
493/487 |
6.1/5.6 |
10/20/18 Minnesota |
53-28 |
-5.0
W
|
40/35 |
404/130 |
10.1/3.7 |
1/0 |
25/20 |
30/36 |
264/344 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
8.3/9.3 |
668/474 |
9.3/6.6 |
10/27/18 Bethune-Cookman |
45-9 |
0.0
W
|
29/36 |
255/183 |
8.8/5.1 |
0/1 |
17/13 |
31/30 |
219/172 |
2/2 |
4/4 |
6.3/5.1 |
474/355 |
7.4/5.1 |
11/03/18 @ Ohio St. |
31-36 |
+20.5
W
|
48/36 |
212/250 |
4.4/6.9 |
1/2 |
22/18 |
33/32 |
259/243 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
7.6/7.4 |
471/493 |
5.7/7.1 |
11/10/18 Illinois |
54-35 |
-17.5
W
|
31/45 |
336/400 |
10.8/8.9 |
1/3 |
24/11 |
34/25 |
270/110 |
1/2 |
3/3 |
7.3/3.9 |
606/510 |
8.9/7.0 |
11/17/18 Michigan St. |
9-6 |
-1.0
W
|
27/37 |
117/153 |
4.3/4.1 |
2/1 |
16/15 |
37/41 |
139/136 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
3.7/3.2 |
256/289 |
3.9/3.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 Northern Ill |
33-7 |
-10.5
W
|
46/31 |
216/149 |
4.7/4.8 |
0/1 |
13/15 |
25/26 |
139/67 |
1/1 |
1/5 |
5.3/2.2 |
355/216 |
4.9/3.5 |
09/08/18 Iowa St. |
13-3 |
-3.5
W
|
36/21 |
105/47 |
2.9/2.2 |
0/1 |
16/19 |
28/31 |
166/136 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
5.9/3.9 |
271/183 |
4.2/3.3 |
09/15/18 Northern Iowa |
38-14 |
0.0
W
|
47/17 |
231/36 |
4.9/2.1 |
0/1 |
25/21 |
31/38 |
314/211 |
2/1 |
3/3 |
9.2/5.1 |
545/247 |
6.7/4.3 |
09/22/18 Wisconsin |
17-28 |
+3.0
L
|
31/43 |
148/223 |
4.8/5.2 |
2/0 |
14/17 |
23/22 |
239/192 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
10.4/8.3 |
387/415 |
7.2/6.3 |
10/06/18 @ Minnesota |
48-31 |
-7.0
W
|
38/26 |
111/117 |
2.9/4.5 |
1/0 |
23/18 |
39/35 |
307/203 |
1/4 |
1/5 |
7.7/5.1 |
418/320 |
5.4/4.8 |
10/13/18 @ Indiana |
42-16 |
-4.0
W
|
31/22 |
164/85 |
5.3/3.9 |
0/0 |
21/31 |
33/42 |
315/245 |
1/2 |
1/3 |
9.3/5.4 |
479/330 |
7.4/4.9 |
10/20/18 Maryland |
23-0 |
-10.0
W
|
52/21 |
224/91 |
4.3/4.3 |
0/1 |
11/6 |
23/16 |
86/34 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
3.7/1.9 |
310/125 |
4.1/3.2 |
10/27/18 @ Penn St. |
24-30 |
+6.5
W
|
33/31 |
161/158 |
4.9/5.1 |
0/1 |
18/13 |
49/29 |
184/179 |
2/1 |
3/3 |
3.5/5.6 |
345/337 |
4.1/5.3 |
11/03/18 @ Purdue |
36-38 |
+3.0
W
|
35/30 |
129/102 |
3.7/3.4 |
1/0 |
21/23 |
32/32 |
268/332 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
8.1/10.1 |
397/434 |
5.8/6.9 |
11/10/18 Northwestern |
10-14 |
-10.0
L
|
21/41 |
65/204 |
3.1/5.0 |
2/0 |
27/15 |
41/30 |
265/109 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
6.3/3.4 |
330/313 |
5.2/4.3 |
11/17/18 @ Illinois |
63-0 |
-14.0
W
|
35/40 |
213/177 |
6.1/4.4 |
0/1 |
14/12 |
23/30 |
187/58 |
1/3 |
2/3 |
7.5/1.8 |
400/235 |
6.7/3.2 |