Game Analysis
BYU (-7) 33 Mississippi State 24
BYU is better than their 3-3 record, as their 3 losses have all been by 3 points or fewer to good teams Utah, UCLA and West Virginia. The Cougars’ 3 wins have all been against better than average teams too (Arizona, Toledo, and Michigan State) and they ought to be able to beat a pretty mediocre Mississippi State squad.
The Bulldogs are not a bad team, as they’ve been 0.3 yppl better than average offensively (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team) and 0.1 yppl better than average defensively (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl) but that’s probably not good enough to beat a good BYU team. My math model favors the Cougars by 9 points, so I’ll lean slightly with BYU.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.8
33.6
-
Run Yards
197.4
138.4
-
YPRP
6.1
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.2
20.2
-
Pass Att
33.4
32.6
-
Comp %
60.5%
62.0%
-
Pass Yards
208.6
237.2
-
Sacks
2.0
2.2
-
Sack Yards
13.4
16.0
-
Sack %
5.6%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
35.4
34.8
-
Net Pass Yards
195.2
221.2
-
YPPP
5.5
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
70.2
68.4
-
Total Yards
406.0
375.6
-
YPPL
5.8
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.0
-
Int %
1.2%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.7
32.2
-
Run Yards
210.7
128.7
-
YPRP
6.1
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.2
22.3
-
Pass Att
33.3
32.0
-
Comp %
60.5%
69.8%
-
Pass Yards
210.7
277.2
-
Sacks
1.8
1.8
-
Sack Yards
11.5
11.0
-
Sack %
5.2%
5.4%
-
Pass Plays
35.2
33.8
-
Net Pass Yards
199.2
266.2
-
YPPP
5.7
7.9
Total
-
Total Plays
71.8
66.0
-
Total Yards
421.3
405.8
-
YPPL
5.9
6.1
TO
-
Int
1.2
1.7
-
Int %
3.5%
5.2%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 South Alabama |
20-21 |
-28.0
L
|
32/25 |
249/118 |
7.8/4.7 |
0/0 |
20/24 |
31/34 |
135/263 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
4.2/7.1 |
384/381 |
6.0/6.1 |
| 09/10/16 South Carolina |
27-14 |
-7.5
W
|
44/27 |
287/69 |
6.5/2.6 |
0/1 |
20/20 |
30/39 |
195/176 |
1/1 |
0/4 |
6.5/4.1 |
482/245 |
6.5/3.5 |
| 09/17/16 @ LSU |
20-23 |
+13.5
W
|
26/38 |
84/181 |
3.2/4.8 |
1/1 |
17/19 |
32/32 |
184/215 |
0/0 |
5/0 |
5.0/6.7 |
268/396 |
4.3/5.7 |
| 09/24/16 @ Massachusetts |
47-35 |
-22.5
L
|
43/25 |
302/152 |
7.0/6.1 |
1/0 |
26/24 |
39/40 |
297/258 |
0/3 |
1/2 |
7.4/6.1 |
599/410 |
7.2/6.1 |
| 10/08/16 Auburn |
14-38 |
+2.5
L
|
29/53 |
132/252 |
4.6/4.8 |
2/1 |
18/14 |
35/18 |
165/194 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
4.3/9.7 |
297/446 |
4.4/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Arizona |
18-16 |
-1.0
W
|
46/22 |
218/145 |
4.7/6.6 |
0/0 |
21/20 |
29/30 |
197/183 |
0/2 |
1/4 |
6.6/5.4 |
415/328 |
5.5/5.9 |
| 09/10/16 @ Utah |
19-20 |
+3.5
W
|
25/41 |
159/171 |
6.4/4.2 |
0/3 |
22/14 |
40/23 |
173/185 |
3/3 |
2/0 |
4.1/8.0 |
332/356 |
5.0/5.6 |
| 09/17/16 UCLA |
14-17 |
+3.0
T
|
21/31 |
52/60 |
2.5/1.9 |
0/0 |
26/26 |
48/40 |
224/299 |
1/1 |
4/1 |
4.3/7.3 |
276/359 |
3.8/5.0 |
| 09/24/16 @ West Virginia |
32-35 |
+7.0
W
|
39/32 |
282/154 |
7.2/4.8 |
1/1 |
23/31 |
35/40 |
235/331 |
3/1 |
1/1 |
6.5/8.1 |
517/485 |
6.9/6.6 |
| 09/30/16 Toledo |
55-53 |
-4.0
L
|
42/39 |
358/199 |
8.5/5.1 |
0/0 |
11/30 |
21/38 |
228/493 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
9.5/12.3 |
586/692 |
8.9/8.8 |
| 10/08/16 @ Michigan St. |
31-14 |
+6.0
W
|
47/28 |
264/109 |
5.6/3.9 |
0/0 |
18/13 |
27/21 |
138/106 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
5.1/4.4 |
402/215 |
5.4/4.1 |
Mississippi St.
@ 
BYU