Game Analysis
MISSISSIPPI STATE (-14) 41 Mississippi 25
I understand that this game will be treated like a bowl game by Ole’ Miss and the that the Rebels will give a great effort, but this is a rivalry game for Mississippi State too so it’s not exactly like the Bulldogs are going to lay down. My math model agrees with the opening line of 16 ½ points and now there is a bit of value on Miss State – although not enough for me to have any interest in betting this game.
- Mississippi
- Mississippi St.
Rush
-
Run Plays
28.1
41.0
-
Run Yards
136.2
242.8
-
YPRP
5.5
6.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.6
16.8
-
Pass Att
37.4
28.4
-
Comp %
66.0%
59.3%
-
Pass Yards
332.9
214.8
-
Sacks
2.6
2.4
-
Sack Yards
18.7
15.5
-
Sack %
6.4%
7.7%
-
Pass Plays
39.9
30.7
-
Net Pass Yards
314.2
199.4
-
YPPP
7.9
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
68.0
71.7
-
Total Yards
469.1
457.6
-
YPPL
6.9
6.4
TO
-
Int
1.1
0.6
-
Int %
2.9%
1.9%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.5
0.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
45.0
30.9
-
Run Yards
238.9
142.2
-
YPRP
5.4
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
14.6
13.2
-
Pass Att
26.4
24.8
-
Comp %
55.3%
53.2%
-
Pass Yards
158.3
183.6
-
Sacks
0.7
2.6
-
Sack Yards
4.1
14.4
-
Sack %
2.6%
9.5%
-
Pass Plays
27.1
27.4
-
Net Pass Yards
154.2
169.2
-
YPPP
5.7
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
58.3
-
Total Yards
397.2
325.8
-
YPPL
5.5
5.6
TO
-
Int
1.1
0.8
-
Int %
4.2%
3.2%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/17 South Alabama |
47-27 |
-23.5
L
|
27/35 |
120/186 |
4.4/5.3 |
1/0 |
28/19 |
35/31 |
411/189 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
11.1/5.9 |
531/375 |
8.3/5.6 |
09/09/17 Tennessee-Martin |
45-23 |
0.0
W
|
17/42 |
58/231 |
3.4/5.5 |
0/0 |
32/10 |
43/17 |
488/105 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
11.1/5.8 |
546/336 |
9.0/5.6 |
09/16/17 @ California |
16-27 |
-3.5
L
|
24/38 |
100/168 |
4.2/4.4 |
0/0 |
26/24 |
44/47 |
325/232 |
3/2 |
5/1 |
6.6/4.8 |
425/400 |
5.8/4.7 |
09/30/17 @ Alabama |
3-66 |
+28.0
L
|
21/48 |
121/373 |
5.8/7.8 |
0/0 |
14/15 |
29/24 |
135/248 |
2/0 |
5/0 |
4.0/10.3 |
256/621 |
4.7/8.6 |
10/07/17 @ Auburn |
23-44 |
+22.5
W
|
29/50 |
67/332 |
2.3/6.6 |
0/0 |
34/14 |
51/21 |
311/229 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
6.0/10.4 |
378/561 |
4.7/7.8 |
10/14/17 Vanderbilt |
57-35 |
-3.0
W
|
39/30 |
267/224 |
6.8/7.5 |
0/1 |
22/18 |
35/37 |
336/175 |
0/1 |
2/7 |
9.1/4.0 |
603/399 |
7.9/5.4 |
10/21/17 LSU |
24-40 |
+7.0
L
|
25/51 |
172/416 |
6.9/8.2 |
0/0 |
17/9 |
34/13 |
175/178 |
3/0 |
3/3 |
4.7/11.1 |
347/594 |
5.6/8.9 |
10/28/17 Arkansas |
37-38 |
-3.0
L
|
27/49 |
215/287 |
8.0/5.9 |
2/1 |
20/19 |
30/30 |
354/175 |
1/1 |
1/4 |
11.4/5.1 |
569/462 |
9.8/5.6 |
11/04/17 @ Kentucky |
37-34 |
+3.5
W
|
23/41 |
114/241 |
5.0/5.9 |
0/0 |
31/20 |
40/25 |
359/214 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
8.3/7.4 |
473/455 |
7.2/6.5 |
11/11/17 UL Lafayette |
50-22 |
-20.0
W
|
41/28 |
238/249 |
5.8/8.9 |
0/0 |
28/18 |
36/35 |
403/180 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
10.6/4.7 |
641/429 |
8.1/6.5 |
11/18/17 Texas A&M |
24-31 |
-2.5
L
|
36/39 |
232/134 |
6.4/3.4 |
1/0 |
19/19 |
34/32 |
159/268 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
4.3/8.1 |
391/402 |
5.4/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/17 Charleston Southern |
49-0 |
0.0
W
|
50/37 |
281/67 |
5.6/1.8 |
0/0 |
20/3 |
36/8 |
274/4 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
7.6/0.4 |
555/71 |
6.5/1.5 |
09/09/17 @ Louisiana Tech |
57-21 |
-9.5
W
|
39/45 |
328/272 |
8.4/6.0 |
0/2 |
13/13 |
20/29 |
132/138 |
1/1 |
0/4 |
6.6/4.2 |
460/410 |
7.8/5.3 |
09/16/17 LSU |
37-7 |
+7.5
W
|
45/27 |
289/141 |
6.4/5.2 |
0/0 |
15/13 |
23/29 |
178/129 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.4/4.2 |
467/270 |
6.8/4.7 |
09/23/17 @ Georgia |
3-31 |
+4.5
L
|
37/42 |
177/203 |
4.8/4.8 |
0/1 |
15/9 |
33/12 |
103/201 |
2/0 |
0/0 |
3.1/16.8 |
280/404 |
4.0/7.5 |
09/30/17 @ Auburn |
10-49 |
+8.0
L
|
46/37 |
188/210 |
4.1/5.7 |
0/2 |
14/14 |
37/17 |
170/247 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
4.5/13.0 |
358/457 |
4.3/8.2 |
10/14/17 BYU |
35-10 |
-23.5
W
|
53/15 |
306/34 |
5.8/2.3 |
1/1 |
19/16 |
30/26 |
241/141 |
2/1 |
0/1 |
8.0/5.2 |
547/175 |
6.6/4.2 |
10/21/17 Kentucky |
45-7 |
-11.5
W
|
45/26 |
250/129 |
5.6/5.0 |
0/0 |
19/14 |
27/30 |
159/128 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
5.9/3.9 |
409/257 |
5.7/4.4 |
10/28/17 @ Texas A&M |
35-14 |
-2.5
W
|
48/25 |
242/109 |
5.0/4.4 |
0/0 |
12/16 |
21/41 |
134/176 |
1/3 |
2/3 |
5.8/4.0 |
376/285 |
5.3/4.1 |
11/04/17 Massachusetts |
34-23 |
-31.5
L
|
44/31 |
256/143 |
5.8/4.6 |
0/0 |
14/15 |
26/28 |
139/213 |
3/1 |
0/1 |
5.3/7.3 |
395/356 |
5.6/5.9 |
11/11/17 Alabama |
24-31 |
+13.5
W
|
47/32 |
184/228 |
3.9/7.1 |
0/0 |
13/10 |
24/18 |
148/216 |
0/0 |
1/6 |
5.9/9.0 |
332/444 |
4.6/7.9 |
11/18/17 @ Arkansas |
28-21 |
-13.0
L
|
46/29 |
210/97 |
4.6/3.3 |
2/1 |
12/12 |
23/18 |
138/103 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
5.5/4.7 |
348/200 |
4.9/3.9 |