Game Analysis
Mississippi (-7 ½) 37 ARKANSAS 27
Arkansas had a recent history of playing well as underdogs but that has not been the case this season as the Hogs have been beaten soundly by both Texas A&M and Alabama while giving up over 10 yards per play in both games. That doesn’t bode well against a very good Ole’ Miss offense that has averaged 41.6 points and 7.1 yards per play (against teams that would allow just 5.4 yppl to an average team). My math model favors the Rebels by 9 ½ points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.0
42.0
-
Run Yards
158.2
220.4
-
YPRP
5.5
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.0
20.6
-
Pass Att
36.8
34.8
-
Comp %
65.2%
59.2%
-
Pass Yards
333.4
225.8
-
Sacks
1.8
1.6
-
Sack Yards
12.2
9.8
-
Sack %
4.7%
4.4%
-
Pass Plays
38.6
36.4
-
Net Pass Yards
321.2
216.0
-
YPPP
8.3
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
69.6
78.4
-
Total Yards
491.6
446.2
-
YPPL
7.1
5.7
TO
-
Int
1.2
0.8
-
Int %
3.3%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.4
27.8
-
Run Yards
143.8
186.4
-
YPRP
4.4
7.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.2
18.2
-
Pass Att
34.0
30.4
-
Comp %
62.4%
59.9%
-
Pass Yards
285.2
230.0
-
Sacks
2.6
2.2
-
Sack Yards
19.2
16.6
-
Sack %
7.1%
6.7%
-
Pass Plays
36.6
32.6
-
Net Pass Yards
266.0
213.4
-
YPPP
7.3
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
74.0
60.4
-
Total Yards
429.0
416.4
-
YPPL
5.8
6.9
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.8
-
Int %
2.9%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
1.2
1.0
-
Turnovers
2.2
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/05/16 @ Florida St. |
34-45 |
+5.5
L
|
20/38 |
105/177 |
5.3/4.7 |
1/0 |
21/33 |
39/52 |
275/403 |
3/0 |
5/3 |
6.3/7.3 |
380/580 |
5.9/6.2 |
| 09/10/16 Wofford |
38-13 |
0.0
W
|
34/57 |
174/233 |
5.1/4.1 |
0/1 |
22/5 |
30/9 |
242/72 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
8.1/8.0 |
416/305 |
6.5/4.6 |
| 09/17/16 Alabama |
43-48 |
+11.0
W
|
30/45 |
120/355 |
4.0/7.9 |
1/1 |
26/19 |
41/31 |
405/149 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
9.4/4.7 |
525/504 |
7.2/6.5 |
| 09/24/16 Georgia |
45-14 |
-7.0
W
|
28/41 |
185/242 |
6.6/5.9 |
0/1 |
21/16 |
30/36 |
328/125 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
10.6/3.2 |
513/367 |
8.7/4.6 |
| 10/01/16 Memphis |
48-28 |
-14.5
W
|
43/29 |
268/144 |
6.2/5.0 |
0/1 |
30/30 |
44/46 |
356/331 |
1/3 |
1/1 |
7.9/7.0 |
624/475 |
7.1/6.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Louisiana Tech |
21-20 |
-24.5
L
|
35/20 |
134/99 |
3.8/5.0 |
0/0 |
20/19 |
29/31 |
165/192 |
2/1 |
4/3 |
5.0/5.6 |
299/291 |
4.4/5.4 |
| 09/10/16 @ TCU |
41-38 |
+7.5
W
|
41/29 |
187/210 |
4.6/7.2 |
0/1 |
17/36 |
29/56 |
217/359 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
7.2/6.1 |
404/569 |
5.7/6.5 |
| 09/17/16 Texas State |
42-3 |
-30.5
W
|
43/22 |
232/62 |
5.4/2.8 |
1/0 |
16/11 |
22/26 |
235/43 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
10.2/1.4 |
467/105 |
7.1/2.0 |
| 09/24/16 @ Texas A&M |
24-45 |
-6.0
L
|
38/34 |
140/380 |
3.7/11.2 |
3/2 |
28/12 |
42/22 |
362/220 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
8.4/9.6 |
502/600 |
6.2/10.5 |
| 10/01/16 Alcorn State |
52-10 |
0.0
W
|
38/35 |
360/179 |
9.5/5.1 |
1/2 |
13/13 |
18/19 |
206/139 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
11.4/6.6 |
566/318 |
10.1/5.7 |
| 10/08/16 Alabama |
30-49 |
+14.0
L
|
30/34 |
122/264 |
4.1/7.8 |
2/2 |
25/13 |
48/17 |
351/253 |
3/1 |
6/0 |
6.5/14.9 |
473/517 |
5.6/10.1 |
