Middle Tenn St @ Western Kentucky Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Middle Tennessee State (-1.5) 28 WESTERN KENTUCKY 21

My math model leans with MTS and likes the under. I like the Western Kentucky team total under 27. 5 points, which I will consider a Strong Opinion.

Team Stats
Game Log

Middle Tenn St
Western Kentucky

MTSU

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 29.0 37.0
Run Yards 132.6 146.0
YPRP 5.1 4.4

Pass

Pass Comp 21.6 18.4
Pass Att 36.2 29.6
Comp % 59.7% 62.2%
Pass Yards 249.5 190.3
Sacks 2.2 2.1
Sack Yards 15.3 15.9
Sack % 5.7% 6.6%
Pass Plays 38.4 31.7
Net Pass Yards 234.2 174.4
YPPP 6.1 5.5

Total

Total Plays 67.4 68.7
Total Yards 382.1 336.3
YPPL 5.7 4.9

Int 1.2 0.4
Int % 3.3% 1.4%
Fumbles 0.5 0.2
Turnovers 1.7 0.6

Points 21.8 24.0

WKY

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 27.4 37.7
Run Yards 74.0 175.0
YPRP 3.5 4.7

Pass

Pass Comp 28.5 16.2
Pass Att 43.3 28.6
Comp % 65.8% 56.6%
Pass Yards 313.8 186.8
Sacks 3.0 0.7
Sack Yards 21.7 3.2
Sack % 6.5% 2.4%
Pass Plays 46.3 29.3
Net Pass Yards 292.1 183.6
YPPP 6.3 6.3

Total

Total Plays 73.7 67.0
Total Yards 387.8 361.8
YPPL 5.3 5.4

Int 0.8 1.0
Int % 1.8% 3.5%
Fumbles 0.7 0.3
Turnovers 1.5 1.3

Points 25.6 24.3

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2017 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/17 Vanderbilt	6-28	+3.5 L	21/32	97/80	4.6/2.5	0/0	18/20	31/28	121/237	1/0	5/1	3.4/8.2	218/317	3.8/5.2
09/09/17 @ Syracuse	30-23	+10.0 W	30/42	122/181	4.1/4.3	2/1	22/28	36/44	260/157	1/1	2/6	6.8/3.1	382/338	5.6/3.7
09/16/17 @ Minnesota	3-34	+10.5 L	14/46	50/232	3.6/5.0	0/0	25/11	42/18	180/111	2/0	1/1	4.2/5.8	230/343	4.0/5.3
09/23/17 Bowling Green	24-13	-7.0 W	41/23	256/62	6.2/2.7	2/0	24/21	32/35	283/255	1/0	1/3	8.6/6.7	539/317	7.3/5.2
09/30/17 @ Florida Atl.	20-38	+3.0 L	22/50	89/252	4.0/5.0	0/0	32/22	52/29	365/187	3/0	2/0	6.8/6.4	454/439	6.0/5.6
10/07/17 FIU	37-17	-9.5 W	34/32	176/115	5.2/3.6	0/1	25/22	31/34	247/197	0/1	0/4	8.0/5.2	423/312	6.5/4.5
10/14/17 @ UAB	23-25	-4.0 L	29/44	162/260	5.6/5.9	0/0	24/16	44/31	251/174	2/1	2/0	5.5/5.6	413/434	5.5/5.8
10/20/17 Marshall	10-38	+2.0 L	25/43	97/202	3.9/4.7	1/0	15/16	33/24	208/168	1/0	6/0	5.3/7.0	305/370	4.8/5.5
11/04/17 UTEP	30-3	-17.5 W	35/29	217/114	6.2/3.9	0/0	13/10	30/23	183/23	1/0	1/3	5.9/0.9	400/137	6.1/2.5
11/11/17 @ Charlotte	35-21	-13.0 W	39/29	213/121	5.5/4.2	0/0	18/18	31/30	244/235	0/1	2/3	7.4/7.1	457/356	6.3/5.7

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2017 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/17 Eastern Kentucky	31-17	0.0 W	37/19	127/62	3.4/3.3	1/0	20/29	31/48	236/312	0/0	3/1	6.9/6.4	363/374	5.1/5.5
09/09/17 @ Illinois	7-20	-7.0 L	13/48	27/207	2.1/4.3	1/0	28/14	43/25	218/105	1/1	2/1	4.8/4.0	245/312	4.2/4.2
09/16/17 Louisiana Tech	22-23	-7.0 L	38/29	169/130	4.4/4.5	0/0	25/22	35/39	208/298	0/1	3/1	5.5/7.5	377/428	5.0/6.2
09/23/17 Ball St.	33-21	-11.5 W	25/30	87/108	3.5/3.6	0/1	28/18	44/36	290/266	2/2	4/1	6.0/7.2	377/374	5.2/5.6
10/07/17 @ UTEP	15-14	-17.5 L	30/35	89/170	3.0/4.9	0/0	24/12	37/22	194/124	0/0	2/0	5.0/5.6	283/294	4.1/5.2
10/14/17 Charlotte	45-14	-17.0 W	32/34	146/136	4.6/4.0	1/0	42/9	57/18	476/61	0/1	1/0	8.2/3.4	622/197	6.9/3.8
10/20/17 @ Old Dominion	35-31	-7.5 L	29/48	105/267	3.6/5.6	1/1	25/17	35/25	319/180	1/3	4/0	8.2/7.2	424/447	6.2/6.1
10/28/17 Florida Atl.	28-42	+7.0 L	31/55	114/368	3.7/6.7	2/0	32/10	56/24	355/93	2/1	2/0	6.1/3.9	469/461	5.3/5.8
11/04/17 @ Vanderbilt	17-31	+11.0 L	23/34	32/179	1.4/5.3	0/1	33/14	53/21	318/215	1/0	6/1	5.4/9.8	350/394	4.3/7.0
11/11/17 @ Marshall	23-30	+11.0 W	16/45	61/155	3.8/3.4	1/0	28/17	42/28	307/182	1/1	3/2	6.8/6.1	368/337	6.0/4.5

Middle Tenn St @

Western Kentucky

Fri, Nov 17

5:00 PM Pacific

Game Analysis