Game Analysis
Michigan (-4.5) 23 PENN STATE 20
This is Michigan’s first game against a good team and beating Penn State on the road will be a challenge. The Nittany Lions aren’t good offensively, as they’ve averaged just 5.1 yards per play, and they’ll struggle to move the ball against Michigan’s defense. However, Penn State’s defense is also elite and they’re capable of at least slowing down the Michigan offense enough to keep this game close. My math favors Michigan by 5 points but good defensive teams are very good against the number getting points at home (an 86-39-4 ATS situation applies) so I’d rather take the points if I had to be this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.0
26.9
-
Run Yards
181.7
93.9
-
YPRP
5.2
3.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.7
12.6
-
Pass Att
25.9
24.8
-
Comp %
76.0%
50.7%
-
Pass Yards
266.1
133.8
-
Sacks
1.2
2.4
-
Sack Yards
10.1
16.1
-
Sack %
4.5%
9.0%
-
Pass Plays
27.1
27.2
-
Net Pass Yards
256.0
117.7
-
YPPP
9.4
4.3
Total
-
Total Plays
62.1
54.1
-
Total Yards
437.7
211.6
-
YPPL
7.0
3.9
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.3
-
Int %
1.3%
5.4%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.3
-
Turnovers
0.6
1.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.0
25.7
-
Run Yards
183.3
89.0
-
YPRP
4.6
3.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.4
16.0
-
Pass Att
34.1
28.3
-
Comp %
62.9%
56.5%
-
Pass Yards
224.1
173.7
-
Sacks
1.2
3.9
-
Sack Yards
9.4
24.9
-
Sack %
3.5%
12.1%
-
Pass Plays
35.3
32.2
-
Net Pass Yards
214.7
148.8
-
YPPP
6.1
4.6
Total
-
Total Plays
75.3
57.9
-
Total Yards
398.0
237.8
-
YPPL
5.3
4.1
TO
-
Int
0.1
1.0
-
Int %
0.3%
3.5%
-
Fumbles
0.3
1.1
-
Turnovers
0.4
2.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 East Carolina |
30-3 |
-36.0
L
|
31/26 |
150/103 |
4.8/4.0 |
0/0 |
26/15 |
31/29 |
290/112 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
9.4/3.9 |
440/215 |
7.1/3.9 |
09/09/23 UNLV |
35-7 |
-37.5
L
|
33/26 |
184/77 |
5.6/3.0 |
0/0 |
24/13 |
28/26 |
313/117 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
11.2/3.8 |
497/194 |
8.1/3.4 |
09/16/23 Bowling Green |
31-6 |
-40.5
L
|
29/32 |
184/95 |
6.3/3.0 |
1/1 |
8/14 |
13/21 |
130/105 |
3/2 |
1/3 |
9.3/4.4 |
314/200 |
7.3/3.6 |
09/23/23 Rutgers |
31-7 |
-24.0
T
|
38/22 |
210/84 |
5.5/3.8 |
0/0 |
15/11 |
21/21 |
205/180 |
0/1 |
2/0 |
8.9/8.6 |
415/264 |
6.8/6.1 |
09/30/23 @ Nebraska |
45-7 |
-18.0
W
|
51/17 |
249/66 |
4.9/3.9 |
0/0 |
17/14 |
23/25 |
214/175 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
9.3/6.0 |
463/241 |
6.3/5.2 |
10/07/23 @ Minnesota |
52-10 |
-18.5
W
|
32/37 |
186/132 |
5.8/3.6 |
0/0 |
16/5 |
23/15 |
252/37 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
11.0/2.2 |
438/169 |
8.0/3.1 |
10/14/23 Indiana |
52-7 |
-33.0
W
|
38/28 |
186/100 |
4.9/3.6 |
0/2 |
19/14 |
22/29 |
245/111 |
0/2 |
4/4 |
9.4/3.4 |
431/211 |
6.7/3.5 |
10/21/23 @ Michigan St. |
49-0 |
-24.5
W
|
33/26 |
140/71 |
4.2/2.7 |
0/0 |
28/16 |
35/29 |
354/111 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
9.8/3.5 |
494/182 |
7.2/3.1 |
11/04/23 Purdue |
41-13 |
-32.5
L
|
30/28 |
146/117 |
4.9/4.2 |
1/0 |
24/11 |
37/28 |
301/111 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
7.5/3.8 |
447/228 |
6.4/4.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 West Virginia |
38-15 |
-20.5
W
|
34/36 |
152/165 |
4.5/4.6 |
0/0 |
22/16 |
30/27 |
326/156 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
10.5/5.4 |
478/321 |
7.4/4.9 |
09/09/23 Delaware |
63-7 |
0.0
W
|
60/19 |
314/114 |
5.2/6.0 |
0/1 |
26/6 |
31/17 |
249/34 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
8.0/1.6 |
563/148 |
6.2/3.7 |
09/16/23 @ Illinois |
30-13 |
-14.5
W
|
39/27 |
158/103 |
4.1/3.8 |
0/1 |
18/23 |
37/44 |
229/232 |
0/4 |
1/2 |
6.0/5.0 |
387/335 |
5.0/4.6 |
09/23/23 Iowa |
31-0 |
-14.0
W
|
57/14 |
187/45 |
3.3/3.2 |
0/4 |
26/6 |
40/16 |
181/34 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
4.5/1.8 |
368/79 |
3.8/2.4 |
09/30/23 @ Northwestern |
41-13 |
-26.5
W
|
38/25 |
143/60 |
3.8/2.4 |
1/0 |
19/18 |
34/32 |
187/114 |
0/1 |
1/6 |
5.3/3.0 |
330/174 |
4.5/2.8 |
10/14/23 Massachusetts |
63-0 |
-41.5
W
|
35/32 |
258/106 |
7.4/3.3 |
2/0 |
16/9 |
23/23 |
152/5 |
0/1 |
1/7 |
6.3/0.2 |
410/111 |
6.9/1.8 |
10/21/23 @ Ohio St. |
12-20 |
+4.5
L
|
22/37 |
85/93 |
3.9/2.5 |
0/1 |
18/22 |
42/35 |
155/276 |
0/0 |
4/2 |
3.4/7.5 |
240/369 |
3.5/5.0 |
10/28/23 Indiana |
33-24 |
-32.0
L
|
39/31 |
162/117 |
4.2/3.8 |
0/1 |
20/13 |
31/19 |
187/233 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
5.5/10.6 |
349/350 |
4.8/6.6 |
11/04/23 @ Maryland |
51-15 |
-8.5
W
|
36/10 |
191/-2 |
5.3/-0.2 |
0/2 |
28/31 |
39/42 |
266/255 |
0/1 |
0/6 |
6.8/5.3 |
457/253 |
6.1/4.4 |