Game Analysis
NEBRASKA (+1.5) 25 Michigan 24
I expected Nebraska to be better this season in coach Matt Rhule’s third season as head coach, as his third season at Temple and at Baylor resulted in significant improvements. Thus far the jury is still out, as beating up on Akron and Houston Christian the last two weeks doesn’t detract from the less than impressive 20-17 win over Cincinnati to open the season.
However, Michigan hasn’t proven anything either, as they were handled pretty easy by Oklahoma, getting outgained by 131 yards in that 13-24 loss. Beating New Mexico by just 17 points and blowing out a bad Central Michigan team doesn’t tell us much about the Wolverines but this game will tell us a lot more about both teams.
My ratings favor Michigan by 3 points but Nebraska applies to a very good 107-43-3 ATS situation and Matt Rhule’s teams are 68-41-1 ATS in his college coaching career.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.7
30.0
-
Run Yards
253.3
106.3
-
YPRP
6.7
3.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.3
21.3
-
Pass Att
26.7
34.0
-
Comp %
57.5%
62.7%
-
Pass Yards
209.3
182.3
-
Sacks
1.0
2.7
-
Sack Yards
3.3
17.7
-
Sack %
3.6%
7.3%
-
Pass Plays
27.7
36.7
-
Net Pass Yards
206.0
164.7
-
YPPP
7.4
4.5
Total
-
Total Plays
65.3
66.7
-
Total Yards
459.3
271.0
-
YPPL
7.0
4.1
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.7
-
Int %
1.2%
4.9%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
-
Turnovers
0.7
2.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.0
32.0
-
Run Yards
179.5
172.0
-
YPRP
5.6
5.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
32.0
11.0
-
Pass Att
41.0
24.5
-
Comp %
78.0%
44.9%
-
Pass Yards
356.5
67.5
-
Sacks
1.5
0.5
-
Sack Yards
6.5
3.0
-
Sack %
3.5%
2.0%
-
Pass Plays
42.5
25.0
-
Net Pass Yards
350.0
64.5
-
YPPP
8.2
2.6
Total
-
Total Plays
74.5
57.0
-
Total Yards
529.5
236.5
-
YPPL
7.1
4.1
TO
-
Int
0.0
0.5
-
Int %
0.0%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.0
-
Turnovers
0.5
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2025 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/30/25 New Mexico |
34-17 |
-34.5
L
|
30/25 |
206/75 |
6.9/3.0 |
1/0 |
21/32 |
31/48 |
246/192 |
0/3 |
2/3 |
7.5/3.8 |
452/267 |
7.2/3.5 |
09/06/25 @ Oklahoma |
13-24 |
+5.0
L
|
31/37 |
141/143 |
4.5/3.9 |
0/1 |
9/21 |
24/34 |
137/266 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
5.5/7.4 |
278/409 |
5.0/5.6 |
09/13/25 Central Mich |
63-3 |
-27.5
W
|
52/28 |
413/101 |
7.9/3.6 |
0/1 |
16/11 |
25/20 |
235/36 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
9.4/1.6 |
648/137 |
8.4/2.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2025 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/28/25 @ Cincinnati |
20-17 |
-6.5
L
|
32/29 |
123/202 |
3.8/7.0 |
0/1 |
33/13 |
42/25 |
230/65 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
5.1/2.6 |
353/267 |
4.6/4.9 |
09/06/25 Akron |
68-0 |
-34.0
W
|
32/35 |
236/142 |
7.4/4.1 |
1/1 |
31/9 |
40/24 |
470/64 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
11.8/2.6 |
706/206 |
9.8/3.4 |
09/13/25 Houston Christian |
59-7 |
0.0
W
|
37/31 |
194/129 |
5.2/4.2 |
0/2 |
23/11 |
29/18 |
362/38 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
12.5/1.8 |
556/167 |
8.4/3.2 |