Game Analysis
Lean – Miami-Ohio (-8.5) 31 WESTERN MICHIGAN 17
Miami coach Chuck Martin says he thinks they’ll get star WR Gage Larvadain back this week after he missed all but one series of the last 3 games. Larvadain caught passed for 432 yards on 25 targets in the first 3 games of the season and while averaging 17 yards per target is unsustainable, it will certainly be a boost to have him back. I’ll assume he’s 75% likely to play and I’ll lean with Miami-Ohio, as I see value on the Redhawks even if Larvadain is out again. Miami-Ohio also applies to a 72-22-1 ATS road favorite momentum situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.0
32.0
-
Run Yards
132.2
159.6
-
YPRP
4.4
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.6
17.8
-
Pass Att
21.4
29.4
-
Comp %
58.9%
60.5%
-
Pass Yards
210.0
198.8
-
Sacks
2.6
3.4
-
Sack Yards
14.6
20.6
-
Sack %
10.8%
10.4%
-
Pass Plays
24.0
32.8
-
Net Pass Yards
195.4
178.2
-
YPPP
8.1
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
54.0
64.8
-
Total Yards
327.6
337.8
-
YPPL
6.1
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.0
-
Int %
2.8%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.4
33.6
-
Run Yards
159.6
200.8
-
YPRP
4.6
6.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.8
19.8
-
Pass Att
35.0
30.8
-
Comp %
59.4%
64.3%
-
Pass Yards
224.6
255.0
-
Sacks
2.4
2.4
-
Sack Yards
16.6
18.6
-
Sack %
6.4%
7.2%
-
Pass Plays
37.4
33.2
-
Net Pass Yards
208.0
236.4
-
YPPP
5.6
7.1
Total
-
Total Plays
71.8
66.8
-
Total Yards
367.6
437.2
-
YPPL
5.1
6.5
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
2.3%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/23 @ Miami Fla |
3-38 |
+17.0
L
|
22/35 |
67/251 |
3.0/7.2 |
0/0 |
13/20 |
24/25 |
148/242 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
5.5/9.3 |
215/493 |
4.4/8.1 |
| 09/09/23 @ Massachusetts |
41-28 |
-7.0
W
|
31/27 |
166/90 |
5.4/3.3 |
1/1 |
12/22 |
22/35 |
251/220 |
2/1 |
3/3 |
10.0/5.8 |
417/310 |
7.4/4.8 |
| 09/16/23 @ Cincinnati |
31-24 |
+14.0
W
|
26/55 |
132/289 |
5.1/5.3 |
1/0 |
12/18 |
20/34 |
225/256 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
10.2/7.1 |
357/545 |
7.4/6.0 |
| 09/23/23 Delaware State |
62-20 |
0.0
W
|
41/27 |
473/90 |
11.5/3.3 |
0/0 |
15/21 |
22/33 |
180/274 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
8.2/8.3 |
653/364 |
10.4/6.1 |
| 09/30/23 @ Kent State |
23-3 |
-14.5
W
|
27/28 |
102/78 |
3.8/2.8 |
0/0 |
11/18 |
23/30 |
194/128 |
0/0 |
4/7 |
7.2/3.5 |
296/206 |
5.5/3.2 |
| 10/07/23 Bowling Green |
27-0 |
-8.0
W
|
44/15 |
194/90 |
4.4/6.0 |
1/0 |
15/11 |
18/23 |
159/45 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
8.4/1.7 |
353/135 |
5.6/3.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/23 St. Francis (PA) |
35-17 |
0.0
W
|
65/19 |
348/64 |
5.4/3.4 |
0/0 |
18/14 |
26/24 |
163/217 |
1/0 |
1/3 |
6.0/8.0 |
511/281 |
5.6/6.1 |
| 09/09/23 @ Syracuse |
7-48 |
+24.0
L
|
22/34 |
130/158 |
5.9/4.6 |
0/0 |
27/25 |
47/39 |
180/351 |
1/0 |
4/2 |
3.5/8.6 |
310/509 |
4.2/6.8 |
| 09/16/23 @ Iowa |
10-41 |
+28.5
L
|
34/39 |
138/283 |
4.1/7.3 |
1/0 |
7/11 |
18/22 |
107/86 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
5.4/3.3 |
245/369 |
4.5/5.7 |
| 09/23/23 @ Toledo |
31-49 |
+21.5
W
|
52/42 |
256/273 |
4.9/6.5 |
2/2 |
13/14 |
26/24 |
143/231 |
2/2 |
3/0 |
4.9/9.6 |
399/504 |
4.9/7.6 |
| 09/30/23 Ball St. |
42-24 |
-1.0
W
|
34/20 |
146/96 |
4.3/4.8 |
0/1 |
24/26 |
39/37 |
323/268 |
0/0 |
1/6 |
8.1/6.2 |
469/364 |
6.3/5.8 |
| 10/07/23 @ Mississippi St. |
28-41 |
+21.0
W
|
30/33 |
128/194 |
4.3/5.9 |
0/1 |
33/23 |
45/32 |
287/246 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
6.1/7.7 |
415/440 |
5.4/6.8 |
Miami Ohio
@ 
Western Mich