Game Analysis
Lean – Over (44) – Miami-Florida (-6) 28 NC STATE 22
The total is low given NC State’s improvement on offense with Morris at quarterback and the perfectly still conditions expected in Raleigh on Saturday night. My points model and yardage model both project 50 points with the 3 point boost for no wind or rain.
- Miami Fla
- No Carolina St.
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.0
27.9
-
Run Yards
176.9
113.9
-
YPRP
5.4
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.4
19.7
-
Pass Att
32.4
35.6
-
Comp %
69.2%
55.4%
-
Pass Yards
261.4
249.3
-
Sacks
1.0
3.3
-
Sack Yards
6.3
19.3
-
Sack %
3.0%
8.5%
-
Pass Plays
33.4
38.9
-
Net Pass Yards
255.1
230.0
-
YPPP
7.6
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
66.4
66.7
-
Total Yards
432.0
343.9
-
YPPL
6.5
5.2
TO
-
Int
1.3
1.1
-
Int %
4.0%
3.2%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.6
-
Turnovers
2.0
1.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.7
29.1
-
Run Yards
136.4
147.9
-
YPRP
4.4
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.7
19.1
-
Pass Att
31.6
32.9
-
Comp %
52.9%
58.2%
-
Pass Yards
181.4
234.4
-
Sacks
2.3
3.0
-
Sack Yards
16.1
23.1
-
Sack %
6.8%
8.4%
-
Pass Plays
33.9
35.9
-
Net Pass Yards
165.3
211.3
-
YPPP
4.9
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
64.6
65.0
-
Total Yards
301.7
359.1
-
YPPL
4.7
5.5
TO
-
Int
1.4
1.3
-
Int %
4.5%
3.9%
-
Fumbles
0.1
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.9
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/23 Miami Ohio |
38-3 |
-17.0
W
|
35/22 |
251/67 |
7.2/3.0 |
0/0 |
20/13 |
25/24 |
242/148 |
1/0 |
1/3 |
9.3/5.5 |
493/215 |
8.1/4.4 |
| 09/09/23 Texas A&M |
48-33 |
+3.0
W
|
22/28 |
89/108 |
4.0/3.9 |
1/1 |
21/31 |
30/53 |
362/336 |
0/2 |
2/0 |
11.3/6.3 |
451/444 |
8.4/5.5 |
| 09/14/23 Bethune-Cookman |
48-7 |
0.0
W
|
35/26 |
249/66 |
7.1/2.5 |
1/1 |
28/11 |
34/17 |
340/99 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
9.7/4.7 |
589/165 |
8.4/3.5 |
| 09/23/23 @ Temple |
41-7 |
-23.0
W
|
42/13 |
323/18 |
7.7/1.4 |
0/1 |
17/23 |
25/42 |
220/254 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
8.8/5.6 |
543/272 |
8.1/4.7 |
| 10/07/23 Georgia Tech |
20-23 |
-19.0
L
|
46/26 |
174/104 |
3.8/4.0 |
2/0 |
24/12 |
36/25 |
279/146 |
3/2 |
1/1 |
7.5/5.6 |
453/250 |
5.5/4.8 |
| 10/14/23 @ North Carolina |
31-41 |
+3.5
L
|
23/38 |
116/262 |
5.0/6.9 |
2/0 |
31/17 |
48/33 |
369/242 |
2/0 |
3/5 |
7.2/6.4 |
485/504 |
6.6/6.6 |
| 10/21/23 Clemson |
28-20 |
+6.0
W
|
38/29 |
168/70 |
4.4/2.4 |
0/2 |
24/18 |
33/34 |
151/275 |
1/1 |
0/5 |
4.6/7.1 |
319/345 |
4.5/5.1 |
| 10/28/23 Virginia |
29-26 |
-18.5
L
|
25/39 |
117/168 |
4.7/4.3 |
0/0 |
20/24 |
30/38 |
163/209 |
2/1 |
0/6 |
5.4/4.8 |
280/377 |
5.1/4.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/23 @ Connecticut |
24-14 |
-15.0
L
|
44/24 |
215/170 |
4.9/7.1 |
0/0 |
17/14 |
26/27 |
151/103 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
5.6/3.6 |
366/273 |
5.2/5.2 |
| 09/09/23 Notre Dame |
24-45 |
+7.5
L
|
29/33 |
97/213 |
3.3/6.5 |
0/1 |
20/15 |
48/24 |
220/245 |
3/0 |
1/4 |
4.5/8.8 |
317/458 |
4.1/7.5 |
| 09/16/23 Virginia Military |
45-7 |
0.0
W
|
44/18 |
239/43 |
5.4/2.4 |
0/0 |
27/14 |
32/24 |
259/148 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
7.8/5.5 |
498/191 |
6.5/4.2 |
| 09/22/23 @ Virginia |
24-21 |
-9.0
L
|
34/38 |
154/127 |
4.5/3.3 |
0/0 |
15/18 |
30/30 |
165/258 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
5.2/8.1 |
319/385 |
4.8/5.5 |
| 09/29/23 Louisville |
10-13 |
+3.5
W
|
29/22 |
104/55 |
3.6/2.5 |
1/1 |
13/21 |
25/35 |
97/251 |
2/2 |
2/4 |
3.6/6.4 |
201/306 |
3.6/5.0 |
| 10/07/23 Marshall |
48-41 |
-6.5
W
|
31/31 |
155/146 |
5.0/4.7 |
0/2 |
17/29 |
32/52 |
246/272 |
3/1 |
3/6 |
7.0/4.7 |
401/418 |
6.1/4.7 |
| 10/14/23 @ Duke |
3-24 |
+3.0
L
|
26/28 |
143/199 |
5.5/7.1 |
0/0 |
24/4 |
40/12 |
162/104 |
1/1 |
4/1 |
3.7/8.0 |
305/303 |
4.4/7.4 |
| 10/28/23 Clemson |
24-17 |
+10.0
W
|
22/28 |
87/125 |
4.0/4.5 |
0/0 |
11/33 |
20/50 |
116/246 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
5.0/4.7 |
203/371 |
4.5/4.6 |
Miami Fla
@ 
No Carolina St.