Game Analysis
CENTRAL FLORIDA (-7) 43 Memphis 33
Both of these teams are very good offensively, as UCF averaged 48.3 points per game while Memphis averages 47.0 points. However, Memphis is 0.6 yards per play better defensively than the average defensive that UCF has faced and the Golden Knights’ defense is 1.0 yppl better than the average defense that the Tigers have faced. Neither team should reach their normal scoring output and my math model projects a 10 point win for UCF and 76.6 total points. UCF won the regular season meeting 40-13 and the posted total in that game was 68 points. The total on this game is 81 points. I lean UCF and under.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.1
41.8
-
Run Yards
192.8
198.7
-
YPRP
6.3
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.6
21.0
-
Pass Att
38.5
36.9
-
Comp %
63.9%
56.9%
-
Pass Yards
348.0
258.0
-
Sacks
1.1
1.9
-
Sack Yards
8.2
12.4
-
Sack %
2.8%
4.9%
-
Pass Plays
39.6
38.8
-
Net Pass Yards
339.8
245.6
-
YPPP
8.6
6.3
Total
-
Total Plays
71.7
80.6
-
Total Yards
540.8
456.7
-
YPPL
7.5
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.2
-
Int %
1.8%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.1
2.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.6
35.3
-
Run Yards
204.3
152.3
-
YPRP
5.7
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.1
18.5
-
Pass Att
31.7
34.7
-
Comp %
69.6%
53.1%
-
Pass Yards
324.6
236.6
-
Sacks
1.0
1.6
-
Sack Yards
5.2
8.9
-
Sack %
3.1%
4.3%
-
Pass Plays
32.7
36.3
-
Net Pass Yards
319.5
227.6
-
YPPP
9.8
6.3
Total
-
Total Plays
69.4
71.6
-
Total Yards
528.9
388.8
-
YPPL
7.6
5.4
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.6
-
Int %
1.7%
4.5%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.9
-
Turnovers
0.9
2.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/17 UL Monroe |
37-29 |
-25.5
L
|
34/47 |
335/182 |
9.9/3.9 |
0/3 |
10/21 |
25/37 |
91/255 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
3.5/6.5 |
426/437 |
7.1/5.1 |
| 09/16/17 UCLA |
48-45 |
+3.0
W
|
33/34 |
173/180 |
5.2/5.3 |
1/1 |
23/34 |
38/56 |
390/453 |
1/2 |
2/1 |
9.8/7.9 |
563/633 |
7.7/7.0 |
| 09/23/17 Southern Illinois |
44-31 |
0.0
W
|
35/37 |
183/103 |
5.2/2.8 |
0/0 |
22/30 |
36/49 |
281/290 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
7.6/5.9 |
464/393 |
6.4/4.6 |
| 09/30/17 @ UCF |
13-40 |
+4.5
L
|
22/49 |
95/353 |
4.3/7.2 |
1/0 |
27/19 |
49/31 |
285/253 |
3/1 |
2/0 |
5.6/8.2 |
380/606 |
5.2/7.6 |
| 10/06/17 @ Connecticut |
70-31 |
-14.5
W
|
43/31 |
244/180 |
5.7/5.8 |
0/2 |
39/21 |
55/35 |
468/295 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
8.4/7.8 |
712/475 |
7.2/6.9 |
| 10/14/17 Navy |
30-27 |
-3.5
L
|
24/67 |
140/322 |
5.8/4.8 |
1/3 |
24/1 |
40/7 |
259/12 |
0/2 |
2/1 |
6.2/1.5 |
399/334 |
6.0/4.5 |
| 10/19/17 @ Houston |
42-38 |
+2.5
W
|
20/53 |
45/247 |
2.3/4.7 |
1/2 |
33/29 |
53/41 |
457/304 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
8.3/7.2 |
502/551 |
6.7/5.8 |
| 10/27/17 Tulane |
56-26 |
-12.0
W
|
32/44 |
259/179 |
8.1/4.1 |
0/1 |
18/15 |
31/31 |
298/151 |
1/0 |
0/7 |
9.6/4.0 |
557/330 |
8.8/4.0 |
| 11/03/17 @ Tulsa |
41-14 |
-14.0
W
|
36/32 |
194/155 |
5.4/4.8 |
0/0 |
28/18 |
40/31 |
333/147 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
8.3/4.3 |
527/302 |
6.9/4.6 |
| 11/18/17 SMU |
66-45 |
-11.0
W
|
42/36 |
344/265 |
8.2/7.4 |
0/1 |
22/15 |
28/34 |
325/212 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
11.2/6.1 |
669/477 |
9.4/6.7 |
| 11/25/17 East Carolina |
70-13 |
-28.5
W
|
34/35 |
333/127 |
9.8/3.6 |
0/0 |
10/28 |
15/54 |
302/339 |
0/3 |
0/2 |
20.1/6.1 |
635/466 |
13.0/5.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/17 FIU |
61-17 |
-17.0
W
|
44/25 |
157/102 |
3.6/4.1 |
1/3 |
26/18 |
33/31 |
439/196 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
13.3/6.1 |
596/298 |
7.7/5.2 |
| 09/23/17 @ Maryland |
38-10 |
+4.0
W
|
39/30 |
250/93 |
6.4/3.1 |
0/0 |
18/17 |
30/28 |
178/124 |
0/2 |
0/5 |
5.9/3.8 |
428/217 |
6.2/3.4 |
| 09/30/17 Memphis |
40-13 |
-4.5
W
|
49/22 |
353/95 |
7.2/4.3 |
0/1 |
19/27 |
31/49 |
253/285 |
1/3 |
0/2 |
8.2/5.6 |
606/380 |
7.6/5.2 |
| 10/07/17 @ Cincinnati |
51-23 |
-17.0
W
|
20/25 |
150/119 |
7.5/4.8 |
0/0 |
16/23 |
19/40 |
365/272 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
18.3/6.6 |
515/391 |
12.9/5.9 |
| 10/14/17 East Carolina |
63-21 |
-34.0
W
|
39/36 |
241/181 |
6.2/5.0 |
1/0 |
25/15 |
31/33 |
359/147 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
10.9/4.3 |
600/328 |
8.3/4.7 |
| 10/21/17 @ Navy |
31-21 |
-7.5
W
|
38/59 |
272/250 |
7.2/4.2 |
0/1 |
16/5 |
24/13 |
231/171 |
1/2 |
1/0 |
9.2/13.2 |
503/421 |
8.0/5.8 |
| 10/28/17 Austin Peay |
73-33 |
-45.5
L
|
35/43 |
143/145 |
4.1/3.4 |
0/1 |
28/12 |
31/19 |
346/209 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
10.8/11.0 |
489/354 |
7.3/5.7 |
| 11/04/17 @ SMU |
31-24 |
-14.0
L
|
31/37 |
231/205 |
7.5/5.5 |
1/1 |
23/27 |
40/52 |
394/283 |
2/0 |
2/0 |
9.4/5.4 |
625/488 |
8.6/5.5 |
| 11/11/17 Connecticut |
49-24 |
-38.5
L
|
31/41 |
197/224 |
6.4/5.5 |
1/1 |
25/18 |
38/31 |
338/192 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
8.5/5.6 |
535/416 |
7.5/5.5 |
| 11/18/17 @ Temple |
45-19 |
-13.0
W
|
37/34 |
150/186 |
4.1/5.5 |
0/1 |
18/17 |
28/41 |
238/145 |
0/4 |
2/1 |
7.9/3.5 |
388/331 |
5.8/4.4 |
| 11/24/17 South Florida |
49-42 |
-9.5
L
|
40/36 |
160/173 |
4.0/4.8 |
0/1 |
29/24 |
44/45 |
373/480 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
8.5/10.0 |
533/653 |
6.3/7.8 |
