Game Analysis
MISSISSIPPI (-14 ½) 43 Memphis 27
Ole’ Miss has the revenge motive for last year’s upset loss to Paxton Lynch and company but the Memphis may not be easily dismissed even if the Rebels are fully focused. The Tigers’ offense obviously is not as good with Lynch but I like the talent on the defensive side of the ball and so far that unit has played as well as expected in dominating 3 bad offensive teams (SE Missouri, Kansas, and Bowling Green), which they limited to an average of just 9 points and 4.2 yards per play. Ole’ Miss is too good offensively (7.1 yppl against a schedule of good defensive teams) to be held in check and my math model does call for a 16 point win by the Rebels.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.8
31.8
-
Run Yards
180.3
149.8
-
YPRP
5.7
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.5
24.8
-
Pass Att
35.8
41.8
-
Comp %
65.7%
59.3%
-
Pass Yards
305.5
225.0
-
Sacks
2.5
1.0
-
Sack Yards
17.3
6.0
-
Sack %
6.5%
2.3%
-
Pass Plays
38.3
42.8
-
Net Pass Yards
288.3
219.0
-
YPPP
7.5
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
73.0
74.5
-
Total Yards
485.8
374.8
-
YPPL
6.7
5.0
TO
-
Int
1.3
2.0
-
Int %
3.5%
4.8%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.8
3.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.0
42.0
-
Run Yards
158.2
220.4
-
YPRP
5.5
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.0
20.6
-
Pass Att
36.8
34.8
-
Comp %
65.2%
59.2%
-
Pass Yards
333.4
225.8
-
Sacks
1.8
1.6
-
Sack Yards
12.2
9.8
-
Sack %
4.7%
4.4%
-
Pass Plays
38.6
36.4
-
Net Pass Yards
321.2
216.0
-
YPPP
8.3
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
69.6
78.4
-
Total Yards
491.6
446.2
-
YPPL
7.1
5.7
TO
-
Int
1.2
0.8
-
Int %
3.3%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Southeast Missouri State |
35-17 |
0.0
W
|
29/27 |
130/122 |
4.5/4.5 |
1/0 |
26/19 |
40/34 |
285/131 |
2/1 |
3/2 |
6.6/3.6 |
415/253 |
5.8/4.0 |
| 09/17/16 Kansas |
43-7 |
-20.5
W
|
39/29 |
261/142 |
6.7/4.9 |
0/4 |
15/26 |
25/41 |
153/186 |
0/2 |
5/1 |
5.1/4.4 |
414/328 |
6.0/4.6 |
| 09/24/16 Bowling Green |
77-3 |
-16.5
W
|
42/28 |
255/91 |
6.1/3.3 |
0/0 |
23/24 |
32/48 |
384/203 |
0/4 |
1/0 |
11.6/4.2 |
639/294 |
8.5/3.9 |
| 10/01/16 @ Mississippi |
28-48 |
+14.5
L
|
29/43 |
144/268 |
5.0/6.2 |
1/0 |
30/30 |
46/44 |
331/356 |
3/1 |
1/1 |
7.0/7.9 |
475/624 |
6.3/7.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/05/16 @ Florida St. |
34-45 |
+5.5
L
|
20/38 |
105/177 |
5.3/4.7 |
1/0 |
21/33 |
39/52 |
275/403 |
3/0 |
5/3 |
6.3/7.3 |
380/580 |
5.9/6.2 |
| 09/10/16 Wofford |
38-13 |
0.0
W
|
34/57 |
174/233 |
5.1/4.1 |
0/1 |
22/5 |
30/9 |
242/72 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
8.1/8.0 |
416/305 |
6.5/4.6 |
| 09/17/16 Alabama |
43-48 |
+11.0
W
|
30/45 |
120/355 |
4.0/7.9 |
1/1 |
26/19 |
41/31 |
405/149 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
9.4/4.7 |
525/504 |
7.2/6.5 |
| 09/24/16 Georgia |
45-14 |
-7.0
W
|
28/41 |
185/242 |
6.6/5.9 |
0/1 |
21/16 |
30/36 |
328/125 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
10.6/3.2 |
513/367 |
8.7/4.6 |
| 10/01/16 Memphis |
48-28 |
-14.5
W
|
43/29 |
268/144 |
6.2/5.0 |
0/1 |
30/30 |
44/46 |
356/331 |
1/3 |
1/1 |
7.9/7.0 |
624/475 |
7.1/6.3 |
Memphis
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