Game Analysis
Lean – Liberty (-6.5) 35 JACKSONVILLE STATE 24
Jacksonville State took advantage of a +3 turnover margin to win at Middle Tennessee State last Wednesday despite being outgained by more than 150 yards. The Gamecocks have been lucky with turnovers all season (+1.7 per game), which is why they’re 5-1 despite outgaining their opponents by only 16 yards per game.
Liberty has faced a slightly tougher schedule and the Flames have outgained their opponents by nearly 180 yards per game and 7.3 yppl to 5.0 yppl. I would have made Liberty a Best Bet in this game if not for a 54-8-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation that applies to JV State.
- Liberty
- Jacksonville State
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.0
25.2
-
Run Yards
261.6
127.2
-
YPRP
6.2
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.8
18.4
-
Pass Att
22.8
34.8
-
Comp %
56.1%
52.9%
-
Pass Yards
235.2
199.4
-
Sacks
1.2
2.2
-
Sack Yards
5.8
12.4
-
Sack %
5.0%
5.9%
-
Pass Plays
24.0
37.0
-
Net Pass Yards
229.4
187.0
-
YPPP
9.6
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
66.0
62.2
-
Total Yards
491.0
314.2
-
YPPL
7.4
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.4
2.2
-
Int %
1.8%
6.3%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.4
-
Turnovers
1.2
2.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
43.7
38.3
-
Run Yards
233.2
137.0
-
YPRP
5.3
3.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.3
19.0
-
Pass Att
24.7
31.7
-
Comp %
54.0%
60.0%
-
Pass Yards
155.3
240.3
-
Sacks
1.7
3.3
-
Sack Yards
13.3
22.7
-
Sack %
6.3%
9.5%
-
Pass Plays
26.3
35.0
-
Net Pass Yards
142.0
217.7
-
YPPP
5.4
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
70.0
73.3
-
Total Yards
375.2
354.7
-
YPPL
5.4
4.8
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.7
-
Int %
1.3%
5.3%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.8
-
Turnovers
0.8
2.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Bowling Green |
34-24 |
-9.5
W
|
45/29 |
254/207 |
5.6/7.1 |
1/0 |
11/11 |
20/31 |
136/121 |
0/5 |
2/2 |
6.2/3.7 |
390/328 |
5.8/5.3 |
| 09/09/23 New Mexico St. |
33-17 |
-10.0
W
|
49/21 |
256/171 |
5.2/8.1 |
1/1 |
15/14 |
25/26 |
270/163 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
10.4/5.8 |
526/334 |
7.0/6.8 |
| 09/16/23 @ Buffalo |
55-27 |
-3.5
W
|
32/29 |
232/94 |
7.3/3.2 |
0/0 |
16/29 |
29/51 |
341/269 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
11.4/5.2 |
573/363 |
9.2/4.5 |
| 09/23/23 @ FIU |
38-6 |
-10.0
W
|
44/27 |
361/89 |
8.2/3.3 |
2/1 |
11/11 |
21/25 |
156/127 |
1/1 |
0/5 |
7.4/4.2 |
517/216 |
8.0/3.8 |
| 10/05/23 Sam Houston State |
21-16 |
-21.0
L
|
40/20 |
205/75 |
5.1/3.8 |
0/0 |
11/27 |
19/41 |
244/255 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
11.6/6.1 |
449/330 |
7.4/5.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/26/23 UTEP |
17-14 |
+1.0
W
|
41/41 |
215/172 |
5.2/4.2 |
0/1 |
10/17 |
20/29 |
62/192 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
3.0/6.2 |
277/364 |
4.5/5.1 |
| 09/02/23 E Tennessee State |
49-3 |
0.0
W
|
54/35 |
268/110 |
5.0/3.1 |
0/2 |
13/12 |
18/20 |
126/139 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
6.6/6.6 |
394/249 |
5.4/4.4 |
| 09/09/23 @ Coastal Carolina |
16-30 |
+13.0
L
|
41/39 |
217/170 |
5.3/4.4 |
1/0 |
16/21 |
28/29 |
176/240 |
0/0 |
4/3 |
5.5/7.5 |
393/410 |
5.4/5.8 |
| 09/23/23 Eastern Mich |
21-0 |
-7.0
W
|
51/29 |
300/98 |
5.9/3.4 |
0/0 |
9/13 |
19/29 |
93/54 |
0/3 |
0/6 |
4.9/1.5 |
393/152 |
5.6/2.4 |
| 09/28/23 @ Sam Houston State |
35-28 |
-7.0
T
|
32/55 |
203/136 |
6.3/2.5 |
2/0 |
16/23 |
32/39 |
190/299 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
5.8/7.7 |
393/435 |
6.0/4.6 |
| 10/04/23 @ Middle Tenn St |
45-30 |
+3.0
W
|
43/31 |
196/136 |
4.6/4.4 |
0/2 |
16/28 |
31/44 |
205/382 |
1/2 |
3/8 |
6.0/7.3 |
401/518 |
5.2/6.2 |
Liberty
@ 
Jacksonville State