Kentucky @

(1) Alabama

Sat, Oct 1
ESPN
4:00 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 175
Odds: Alabama -35.5, Total: 57.5

Game Analysis

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ALABAMA (-35 ½)  48   Kentucky  13

Kentucky has a very strong rushing attack (221 yards at 6.2 yards per rushing play) but Alabama’s run defense is even better and Kentucky would need to continue hitting on big pass plays to stay competitive in this game. The Wildcats have averaged 17.0 yards per completion so far this season, but that is unsustainable and Alabama’s pass rush won’t give Kentucky quarterback Stephen Johnson enough time to look downfield.

On the other side of the ball the Crimson Tide attack (1.2 yards per play better than average) should move the ball at well against a porous Kentucky defense that’s been 0.7 yppl worse than average (5.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team). The Bama offense would take a little bit of a hit if leading rusher Damien Harris did not play on his injured ankle but there is plenty of depth at the running back position in Tuscaloosa. My math model favors Alabama by 35 points so I have no opinion on this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Kentucky
  • Alabama
KY
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 35.0 44.0
  • Run Yards 173.6 200.6
  • YPRP 5.7 4.9




Pass





  • Pass Comp 12.0 18.8
  • Pass Att 20.4 32.6
  • Comp % 58.8% 57.7%
  • Pass Yards 179.8 269.4
  • Sacks 3.4 2.0
  • Sack Yards 24.8 15.6
  • Sack % 14.3% 5.8%
  • Pass Plays 23.8 34.6
  • Net Pass Yards 155.0 253.8
  • YPPP 6.5 7.3

Total

  • Total Plays 58.8 78.6
  • Total Yards 353.4 470.0
  • YPPL 6.0 6.0

TO


  • Int 1.2 1.2
  • Int % 5.9% 3.7%
  • Fumbles 1.6 0.2
  • Turnovers 2.8 1.4
 
  • Points 25.4 35.0
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