Game Analysis
MISSISSIPPI STATE (-7.5/-7) 25 Kansas State 22
Kansas State players have reportedly really embraced new head coach Chris Klieman after the retirement of Hall Of Fame coach Bill Snyder. Klieman might find himself in the HOF one day if he comes close to the success that he had in leading North Dakota State to four FCS championships in five seasons as their head coach. The early returns for Klieman’s Kansas State team have been good, as the offense looks much improved (50.5 points per game and 7.3 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.7 yppl to an average offense) while the defense has allowed just 14 total points in two games.
Mississippi State, meanwhile, lost more defensive talent than any team in the nation from last year’s team, including 3 1st-Round NFL draft picks, and the Bulldogs have been struggling on that side of the ball so far – allowing 6.2 yards per play to Louisiana-Lafayette and Southern Miss. I still rate that defense as solidly better than average based on talent grades but so far they’ve been much worse than expected.
My updated ratings favor Miss State by just 5.7 points and Kansas State applies to a 66-22-2 ATS early season momentum situation and I’ll side with the Wildcats plus the points.
- Kansas St.
- Mississippi St.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.1
29.9
-
Run Yards
220.2
154.7
-
YPRP
5.7
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
14.2
19.1
-
Pass Att
23.0
31.5
-
Comp %
61.9%
60.6%
-
Pass Yards
158.5
235.5
-
Sacks
2.2
1.7
-
Sack Yards
17.8
11.9
-
Sack %
8.7%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
25.2
33.2
-
Net Pass Yards
140.7
223.6
-
YPPP
5.6
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
67.2
63.1
-
Total Yards
378.7
390.1
-
YPPL
5.6
6.2
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.0
-
Int %
1.5%
3.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.9
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.8
28.3
-
Run Yards
213.6
96.6
-
YPRP
6.1
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.4
18.2
-
Pass Att
23.2
31.7
-
Comp %
53.5%
57.4%
-
Pass Yards
149.3
188.0
-
Sacks
2.2
2.6
-
Sack Yards
15.1
22.0
-
Sack %
8.8%
7.6%
-
Pass Plays
25.5
34.3
-
Net Pass Yards
134.2
166.1
-
YPPP
5.3
4.8
Total
-
Total Plays
63.3
62.6
-
Total Yards
362.9
284.6
-
YPPL
5.7
4.5
TO
-
Int
0.8
1.0
-
Int %
3.3%
3.0%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.2
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 10/06/18 @ Baylor |
34-37 |
+4.5
W
|
32/44 |
351/282 |
11.0/6.4 |
1/0 |
15/30 |
26/45 |
122/271 |
2/2 |
3/4 |
4.2/5.5 |
473/553 |
7.8/5.9 |
| 10/13/18 Oklahoma St. |
31-12 |
+6.5
W
|
52/26 |
310/146 |
6.0/5.6 |
0/0 |
11/17 |
22/35 |
113/165 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
4.7/4.5 |
423/311 |
5.6/4.9 |
| 10/27/18 @ Oklahoma |
14-51 |
+23.5
L
|
31/37 |
112/329 |
3.6/8.9 |
1/0 |
13/22 |
21/29 |
108/380 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
5.1/13.1 |
220/709 |
4.2/10.7 |
| 11/03/18 @ TCU |
13-14 |
+8.0
W
|
43/23 |
174/73 |
4.0/3.2 |
2/1 |
16/17 |
27/33 |
127/218 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
4.1/6.6 |
301/291 |
4.1/5.2 |
| 11/10/18 Kansas |
21-17 |
-10.5
L
|
37/33 |
194/146 |
5.2/4.4 |
0/2 |
11/21 |
17/34 |
109/218 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
5.7/6.1 |
303/364 |
5.4/5.3 |
| 11/17/18 Texas Tech |
21-6 |
+6.5
W
|
46/20 |
179/63 |
3.9/3.2 |
0/2 |
17/19 |
26/30 |
190/141 |
1/1 |
3/4 |
6.6/4.1 |
369/204 |
4.9/3.8 |
| 11/24/18 @ Iowa St. |
38-42 |
+12.0
W
|
44/29 |
269/188 |
6.1/6.5 |
1/1 |
18/20 |
27/27 |
160/333 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
5.3/11.9 |
429/521 |
5.8/9.1 |
| 08/31/19 Nicholls State |
49-14 |
0.0
W
|
58/23 |
361/101 |
6.2/4.4 |
0/1 |
16/10 |
22/18 |
212/126 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
9.6/7.0 |
573/227 |
7.2/5.5 |
| 09/07/19 Bowling Green |
52-0 |
-25.0
W
|
54/19 |
350/72 |
6.5/3.8 |
1/1 |
14/11 |
19/24 |
208/85 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
9.9/3.4 |
558/157 |
7.4/3.6 |
| 09/14/19 @ Mississippi St. |
31-24 |
+7.5
W
|
33/42 |
158/204 |
4.8/4.9 |
3/1 |
10/11 |
18/27 |
113/138 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
5.9/4.8 |
271/342 |
5.2/4.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/29/18 Florida |
6-13 |
-7.0
L
|
26/31 |
143/136 |
5.5/4.4 |
0/0 |
11/23 |
26/32 |
59/229 |
0/1 |
6/1 |
1.8/6.9 |
202/365 |
3.5/5.7 |
| 10/06/18 Auburn |
23-9 |
+3.5
W
|
56/18 |
353/115 |
6.3/6.4 |
0/2 |
9/19 |
17/38 |
69/187 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
4.1/4.6 |
422/302 |
5.8/5.1 |
| 10/20/18 @ LSU |
3-19 |
+5.5
L
|
36/41 |
209/124 |
5.8/3.0 |
0/0 |
8/16 |
24/28 |
51/116 |
4/1 |
1/2 |
2.0/3.9 |
260/240 |
4.3/3.4 |
| 10/27/18 Texas A&M |
28-13 |
-1.0
W
|
27/19 |
172/90 |
6.4/4.7 |
0/0 |
14/23 |
22/46 |
215/203 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
8.6/4.1 |
387/293 |
7.4/4.3 |
| 11/03/18 Louisiana Tech |
45-3 |
-23.5
W
|
32/31 |
295/146 |
9.2/4.7 |
0/0 |
17/14 |
28/30 |
225/92 |
0/0 |
3/1 |
7.3/3.0 |
520/238 |
8.3/3.8 |
| 11/10/18 @ Alabama |
0-24 |
+22.0
L
|
23/41 |
87/181 |
3.8/4.4 |
1/1 |
11/17 |
20/27 |
90/164 |
0/1 |
5/4 |
3.6/5.3 |
177/345 |
3.7/4.8 |
| 11/17/18 Arkansas |
52-6 |
-22.5
W
|
47/30 |
287/124 |
6.1/4.1 |
1/2 |
12/19 |
18/34 |
188/149 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
10.4/3.9 |
475/273 |
7.3/4.0 |
| 11/22/18 @ Mississippi |
35-3 |
-12.5
W
|
50/24 |
309/81 |
6.2/3.4 |
0/1 |
11/13 |
18/25 |
105/118 |
0/2 |
1/4 |
5.5/4.1 |
414/199 |
6.0/3.8 |
| 01/01/19 @ Iowa |
22-27 |
-7.0
L
|
41/16 |
196/7 |
4.8/0.4 |
1/1 |
14/21 |
32/31 |
145/193 |
2/1 |
1/3 |
4.4/5.7 |
341/200 |
4.6/4.0 |
| 08/31/19 @ UL Lafayette |
38-28 |
-19.0
L
|
38/35 |
268/192 |
7.1/5.5 |
2/3 |
20/24 |
30/39 |
229/250 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
7.2/6.1 |
497/442 |
7.1/5.8 |
| 09/07/19 Southern Miss |
38-15 |
-16.5
W
|
38/25 |
230/132 |
6.1/5.3 |
0/1 |
16/18 |
21/26 |
156/222 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
6.5/7.9 |
386/354 |
6.2/6.7 |
| 09/14/19 Kansas St. |
24-31 |
-7.5
L
|
42/33 |
204/158 |
4.9/4.8 |
1/3 |
11/10 |
27/18 |
138/113 |
2/0 |
2/1 |
4.8/5.9 |
342/271 |
4.8/5.2 |
Kansas St.
@ 
Mississippi St.