James Madison @

Utah St.

Sat, Sep 23
MW Network
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 363
Odds: Utah St. +5, Total: 52.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Over (52.5) – James Madison (-5/-4.5)  31   UTAH STATE  28

James Madison once again has one of the nation’s best run defenses (2.3 yprp allowed) but the Dukes have struggled to defend the pass relative to the quarterbacks that they have faced (0.8 yppp worse than average). Utah State will go with McCrae Hillstead in place of Cooper Legas at quarterback and Hillstead performed pretty well against a good Air Force defense last week (18 of 27 for 27 for 202 yards with 3 TD and zero interceptions). The Aggies are well-equipped to take advantage of JMU’s defensive weakness and they’ve run the ball just 44 times with 89 pass plays in two games against FBS opponents and will probably throw it more than 70% of the time in this game. I project over 400 yards at 6.2 yppl for the Aggies while James Madison also projects to gain over 4oo yards.

The total looks low to me and I’ll lean over 54 points or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • James Madison
  • Utah St.
JMU
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 35.3 25.0
  • Run Yards 191.3 57.7
  • YPRP 5.4 2.3




Pass





  • Pass Comp 18.0 20.0
  • Pass Att 27.3 31.7
  • Comp % 65.9% 63.2%
  • Pass Yards 217.0 285.0
  • Sacks 1.7 4.3
  • Sack Yards 11.0 33.0
  • Sack % 5.8% 12.0%
  • Pass Plays 29.0 36.0
  • Net Pass Yards 206.0 252.0
  • YPPP 7.1 7.0

Total

  • Total Plays 64.3 61.0
  • Total Yards 397.3 309.7
  • YPPL 6.2 5.1

TO


  • Int 0.3 0.7
  • Int % 1.2% 2.1%
  • Fumbles 0.0 0.3
  • Turnovers 0.3 1.0
 
  • Points 30.0 17.3
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