Illinois @

(15) Nebraska

Sat, Oct 1
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 160
Odds: Nebraska -20.5, Total: 53

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

NEBRASKA (-20 ½)  35   Illinois  19

Nebraska is 4-0 and ranked #15 in the nation but the Cornhuskers may be a bit overrated. The Huskers are a good team, they’re actually only 0.1 yards per play better than they were last season when compensating for the opponents faced. The difference is that last year they lost close games and were -12 in turnovers and this season they have already won a close game (Oregon) and they’re +6 in turnover margin after just 4 games. Nebraska wasn’t as bad as their record last season and they’re not as good as their record this season.

Illinois is worse than average on both sides of the ball under first year coach Lovie Smith, rating at 0.5 yards per play worse than average offensively and 0.4 yppl worse than average defensively, but my math model thinks that’s good enough to stay within the inflated number.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Illinois
  • Nebraska
ILL
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 21.3 44.0
  • Run Yards 104.0 229.3
  • YPRP 5.7 5.4




Pass





  • Pass Comp 20.0 14.7
  • Pass Att 33.3 20.0
  • Comp % 60.0% 73.4%
  • Pass Yards 195.0 211.7
  • Sacks 2.3 2.3
  • Sack Yards 16.7 7.7
  • Sack % 6.5% 10.4%
  • Pass Plays 35.7 22.3
  • Net Pass Yards 178.3 204.0
  • YPPP 5.0 9.1

Total

  • Total Plays 57.0 66.3
  • Total Yards 299.0 441.0
  • YPPL 5.2 6.6

TO


  • Int 0.3 0.3
  • Int % 1.0% 1.7%
  • Fumbles 0.7 0.7
  • Turnovers 1.0 1.0
 
  • Points 25.3 29.0
Share This