Game Analysis
Lean – Illinois (+17.5) 14 MICHIGAN 27
We have a big dog with a great defense in a bad weather game with low scoring expected. Big road dogs with low totals are historically good bets and Illinois applies to a 238-138-12 ATS situation that is based on that premise. My math favors Michigan by just 14.6 points if Illini RB Brown and WR Bryant both play and I’d lean with the defensively strong big underdog regardless.
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.5
25.4
-
Run Yards
199.0
106.5
-
YPRP
4.8
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.7
15.0
-
Pass Att
31.1
30.7
-
Comp %
69.8%
48.9%
-
Pass Yards
220.3
168.2
-
Sacks
1.8
2.5
-
Sack Yards
12.4
17.9
-
Sack %
5.5%
7.5%
-
Pass Plays
32.9
33.2
-
Net Pass Yards
207.9
150.3
-
YPPP
6.3
4.5
Total
-
Total Plays
74.4
58.6
-
Total Yards
406.9
256.8
-
YPPL
5.5
4.4
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.7
-
Int %
1.3%
5.5%
-
Fumbles
1.1
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.5
2.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.6
24.4
-
Run Yards
262.3
89.9
-
YPRP
6.2
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.5
15.9
-
Pass Att
25.8
30.5
-
Comp %
67.8%
52.1%
-
Pass Yards
211.7
153.8
-
Sacks
1.2
3.0
-
Sack Yards
8.1
19.9
-
Sack %
4.4%
9.0%
-
Pass Plays
27.0
33.5
-
Net Pass Yards
203.6
133.9
-
YPPP
7.5
4.0
Total
-
Total Plays
69.6
57.9
-
Total Yards
465.9
223.8
-
YPPL
6.7
3.9
TO
-
Int
0.3
0.8
-
Int %
1.2%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.3
-
Turnovers
0.5
1.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/27/22 Wyoming |
38-6 |
-14.0
W
|
39/31 |
262/182 |
6.7/5.9 |
0/1 |
30/5 |
40/20 |
217/30 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
5.4/1.5 |
479/212 |
6.1/4.2 |
| 09/02/22 @ Indiana |
20-23 |
+1.5
L
|
49/24 |
246/52 |
5.0/2.2 |
3/1 |
20/28 |
35/52 |
193/311 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
4.9/5.8 |
439/363 |
5.0/4.7 |
| 09/10/22 Virginia |
24-3 |
-4.0
W
|
40/23 |
224/84 |
5.6/3.7 |
3/1 |
17/15 |
25/36 |
173/165 |
1/2 |
3/5 |
6.2/4.0 |
397/249 |
5.8/3.9 |
| 09/22/22 Chattanooga |
31-0 |
0.0
W
|
34/29 |
181/120 |
5.3/4.1 |
1/0 |
25/6 |
34/19 |
344/25 |
0/2 |
3/4 |
9.3/1.1 |
525/145 |
7.4/2.8 |
| 10/01/22 @ Wisconsin |
34-10 |
+7.0
W
|
36/19 |
154/31 |
4.3/1.6 |
0/1 |
18/17 |
24/33 |
156/177 |
0/2 |
2/5 |
6.0/4.7 |
310/208 |
5.0/3.6 |
| 10/08/22 Iowa |
9-6 |
-4.0
L
|
44/25 |
205/90 |
4.7/3.6 |
2/0 |
19/17 |
30/35 |
123/136 |
1/1 |
0/5 |
4.1/3.4 |
328/226 |
4.4/3.5 |
| 10/15/22 Minnesota |
26-14 |
+4.5
W
|
53/21 |
222/158 |
4.2/7.5 |
0/0 |
25/7 |
32/19 |
252/47 |
0/3 |
0/1 |
7.9/2.4 |
474/205 |
5.6/5.0 |
| 10/29/22 @ Nebraska |
26-9 |
-7.0
W
|
45/22 |
202/87 |
4.5/4.0 |
1/1 |
20/11 |
22/24 |
172/199 |
0/3 |
1/2 |
7.5/7.7 |
374/286 |
5.5/6.0 |
| 11/05/22 Michigan St. |
15-23 |
-16.0
L
|
44/28 |
166/118 |
3.8/4.2 |
1/0 |
25/19 |
37/29 |
270/176 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
6.8/5.9 |
436/294 |
5.2/5.1 |
| 11/12/22 Purdue |
24-31 |
-6.5
L
|
31/32 |
128/143 |
4.1/4.5 |
0/0 |
18/25 |
32/40 |
179/237 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
5.3/5.9 |
307/380 |
4.7/5.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 Colorado St. |
51-7 |
-30.5
W
|
39/32 |
242/121 |
6.2/3.8 |
0/1 |
18/16 |
28/20 |
198/54 |
0/1 |
1/7 |
6.8/2.0 |
440/175 |
6.5/3.0 |
| 09/10/22 Hawaii |
56-10 |
-52.0
L
|
31/31 |
285/77 |
9.2/2.5 |
0/0 |
17/12 |
22/37 |
305/60 |
1/0 |
2/1 |
12.7/1.6 |
590/137 |
10.7/2.0 |
| 09/17/22 Connecticut |
59-0 |
-47.5
W
|
40/33 |
201/122 |
5.0/3.7 |
0/1 |
21/5 |
25/20 |
292/24 |
0/0 |
2/0 |
10.8/1.2 |
493/146 |
7.4/2.8 |
| 09/24/22 Maryland |
34-27 |
-17.0
L
|
36/31 |
262/121 |
7.3/3.9 |
1/1 |
18/27 |
26/40 |
208/276 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
7.4/6.6 |
470/397 |
7.3/5.4 |
| 10/01/22 @ Iowa |
27-14 |
-10.5
W
|
40/20 |
195/66 |
4.9/3.3 |
0/0 |
18/21 |
24/31 |
145/215 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
5.8/6.1 |
340/281 |
5.2/5.1 |
| 10/08/22 @ Indiana |
31-10 |
-22.5
L
|
37/18 |
168/80 |
4.5/4.4 |
0/0 |
28/25 |
36/49 |
304/142 |
1/1 |
0/7 |
8.4/2.5 |
472/222 |
6.5/3.0 |
| 10/15/22 Penn St. |
41-17 |
-7.0
W
|
54/19 |
423/121 |
7.8/6.4 |
0/0 |
17/12 |
24/29 |
140/148 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
5.6/4.8 |
563/269 |
7.1/5.4 |
| 10/29/22 Michigan St. |
29-7 |
-22.5
L
|
52/20 |
276/68 |
5.3/3.4 |
1/0 |
15/17 |
26/30 |
167/205 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
6.4/6.4 |
443/273 |
5.7/5.3 |
| 11/05/22 @ Rutgers |
52-17 |
-26.0
W
|
50/16 |
296/31 |
5.9/1.9 |
0/0 |
13/14 |
27/29 |
140/149 |
0/3 |
1/3 |
5.0/4.7 |
436/180 |
5.6/3.8 |
| 11/12/22 Nebraska |
34-3 |
-30.5
W
|
47/24 |
275/92 |
5.9/3.8 |
0/0 |
10/10 |
20/20 |
137/66 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
6.2/3.0 |
412/158 |
6.0/3.4 |
Illinois
@ 
Michigan