Illinois @ Iowa Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Lean – IOWA (-3) 20 Illinois 13

My math favors Iowa by 4.5 points and the Illini apply to a negative 24-73-2 ATS road dog letdown situation while Iowa applies to a 133-55-7 ATS home team momentum situation that is based on last week’s 22-0 win over Rutgers. Lean on Iowa at -3 or less.

Team Stats
Game Log

Illinois
Iowa

ILL

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 30.1 35.9
Run Yards 153.7 169.7
YPRP 5.1 4.7

Pass

Pass Comp 21.3 19.8
Pass Att 33.1 33.6
Comp % 64.4% 58.9%
Pass Yards 259.9 235.2
Sacks 3.6 1.9
Sack Yards 18.7 14.4
Sack % 9.8% 5.4%
Pass Plays 36.7 35.5
Net Pass Yards 241.2 220.8
YPPP 6.6 6.2

Total

Total Plays 66.8 71.4
Total Yards 394.9 390.5
YPPL 5.9 5.5

Int 1.1 0.5
Int % 3.3% 1.5%
Fumbles 0.7 0.7
Turnovers 1.8 1.2

Points 23.8 29.3

IOWA

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 32.2 33.3
Run Yards 139.7 126.0
YPRP 4.3 3.8

Pass

Pass Comp 11.4 19.4
Pass Att 23.4 34.6
Comp % 48.7% 56.1%
Pass Yards 121.5 168.7
Sacks 1.9 1.9
Sack Yards 15.4 11.0
Sack % 7.5% 5.2%
Pass Plays 25.3 36.5
Net Pass Yards 106.1 157.7
YPPP 4.2 4.3

Total

Total Plays 57.5 69.8
Total Yards 245.8 283.7
YPPL 4.3 4.1

Int 0.8 0.9
Int % 3.4% 2.6%
Fumbles 0.7 0.3
Turnovers 1.5 1.2

Points 18.8 12.3

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/23 Toledo	30-28	-9.5 L	32/41	172/202	5.4/4.9	0/0	18/19	26/35	203/215	1/1	2/1	7.3/6.0	375/417	6.3/5.4
09/08/23 @ Kansas	23-34	+3.0 L	21/40	167/280	8.0/7.0	0/1	19/21	28/29	174/255	2/1	6/2	5.1/8.2	341/535	6.2/7.5
09/16/23 Penn St.	13-30	+14.5 L	27/39	103/158	3.8/4.1	1/0	23/18	44/37	232/229	4/0	2/1	5.0/6.0	335/387	4.6/5.0
09/23/23 Florida Atl.	23-17	-16.0 L	36/23	232/104	6.4/4.5	2/0	25/28	36/49	280/257	0/1	4/1	7.0/5.1	512/361	6.7/4.9
09/30/23 @ Purdue	19-44	0.0 L	29/42	172/213	5.9/5.1	1/1	19/18	31/26	210/192	0/0	5/3	5.8/6.6	382/405	5.9/5.7
10/06/23 Nebraska	7-20	-3.5 L	16/45	30/178	1.9/4.0	1/2	29/12	47/24	278/150	1/1	3/1	5.6/6.0	308/328	4.7/4.7
10/14/23 @ Maryland	27-24	+13.5 W	34/25	156/116	4.6/4.6	0/1	16/28	28/40	181/266	1/0	5/3	5.5/6.2	337/382	5.0/5.6
10/21/23 Wisconsin	21-25	+3.0 L	42/33	235/143	5.6/4.3	0/1	13/21	21/41	88/229	0/0	3/2	3.7/5.3	323/372	4.9/4.9
11/04/23 @ Minnesota	27-26	+3.0 W	30/32	105/110	3.5/3.4	2/1	27/11	34/22	267/152	1/0	5/2	6.8/6.3	372/262	5.4/4.7
11/11/23 Indiana	48-45	-4.5 L	34/39	165/193	4.9/4.9	0/0	24/22	36/33	499/263	1/1	1/3	13.5/7.3	664/456	9.4/6.1

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/23 Utah St.	24-14	-24.0 L	34/23	100/126	2.9/5.5	0/0	19/32	33/48	195/203	0/1	1/1	5.7/4.1	295/329	4.3/4.6
09/09/23 @ Iowa St.	20-13	-4.0 W	26/31	117/87	4.5/2.8	0/0	12/23	22/44	120/203	1/1	1/0	5.2/4.6	237/290	4.8/3.9
09/16/23 Western Mich	41-10	-28.5 W	39/34	283/138	7.3/4.1	0/1	11/7	22/18	78/107	2/0	4/2	3.0/5.4	361/245	5.6/4.5
09/23/23 @ Penn St.	0-31	+14.0 L	14/57	45/187	3.2/3.3	4/0	6/26	16/40	34/181	0/0	3/0	1.8/4.5	79/368	2.4/3.8
09/30/23 Michigan St.	26-16	-12.0 L	25/32	72/156	2.9/4.9	1/1	14/25	32/44	152/193	1/3	1/0	4.6/4.4	224/349	3.9/4.6
10/07/23 Purdue	20-14	-2.5 W	32/34	212/143	6.6/4.2	0/0	6/25	21/40	100/204	1/2	1/6	4.5/4.4	312/347	5.8/4.3
10/14/23 @ Wisconsin	15-6	+10.0 W	45/27	220/112	4.9/4.1	0/1	6/27	14/50	20/220	0/1	2/1	1.3/4.3	240/332	3.9/4.3
10/21/23 Minnesota	10-12	-3.5 L	24/40	42/132	1.8/3.3	2/0	10/10	28/25	86/113	1/0	4/3	2.7/4.0	128/245	2.3/3.6
11/04/23 @ Northwestern	10-7	-5.0 L	38/35	117/120	3.1/3.4	0/0	10/12	15/19	53/67	1/0	2/5	3.1/2.8	170/187	3.1/3.2
11/11/23 Rutgers	22-0	-1.5 W	45/20	189/59	4.2/3.0	0/0	20/7	31/18	223/86	1/1	0/1	7.2/4.5	412/145	5.4/3.7

Illinois @

Iowa

Sat, Nov 18

Fox Sports 1

12:30 PM Pacific

Game Analysis