Game Analysis
Houston (-21) 38 SMU 17
The math favors Houston by 21 points but there is some value in the under (62.5 or 63 points). Houston’s offense is not as good as you’d think it is, as the Cougars have been just 0.4 yards per play better than average with Greg Ward III in the game (6.3 yppl against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team) while SMU’s defense is surprisingly only 0.1 yppl worse than average (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense). Houston is actually just as good defensively (5.1 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl) as they are only offense and SMU’s offense is 0.8 yppl worse than average. The tempo is higher than normal by about 12 plays but the math does not justify a total over 60 points. In fact, I get 55 points scored in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.0
30.3
-
Run Yards
177.5
102.3
-
YPRP
4.6
3.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
28.3
18.7
-
Pass Att
40.2
33.0
-
Comp %
70.5%
56.6%
-
Pass Yards
334.2
237.3
-
Sacks
1.8
2.7
-
Sack Yards
9.3
15.3
-
Sack %
4.4%
7.5%
-
Pass Plays
42.0
35.7
-
Net Pass Yards
324.8
222.0
-
YPPP
7.7
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
83.0
66.0
-
Total Yards
511.7
339.7
-
YPPL
6.2
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
2.1%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.7
1.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.0
39.2
-
Run Yards
172.5
192.5
-
YPRP
5.1
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.8
23.3
-
Pass Att
39.0
40.3
-
Comp %
50.8%
57.8%
-
Pass Yards
227.3
263.0
-
Sacks
2.2
2.7
-
Sack Yards
12.7
21.5
-
Sack %
5.3%
6.2%
-
Pass Plays
41.2
43.0
-
Net Pass Yards
214.7
241.5
-
YPPP
5.2
5.6
Total
-
Total Plays
77.2
82.2
-
Total Yards
399.8
455.5
-
YPPL
5.2
5.5
TO
-
Int
1.7
2.2
-
Int %
4.3%
5.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.3
-
Turnovers
2.2
2.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Oklahoma |
33-23 |
+12.0
W
|
38/21 |
102/102 |
2.7/4.9 |
1/2 |
23/24 |
40/34 |
308/303 |
0/0 |
2/5 |
7.3/7.8 |
410/405 |
5.1/6.8 |
09/10/16 Lamar |
42-0 |
0.0
W
|
69/25 |
381/43 |
5.5/1.7 |
0/1 |
15/7 |
26/13 |
130/30 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
5.0/1.9 |
511/73 |
5.4/1.8 |
09/15/16 @ Cincinnati |
40-16 |
-7.0
W
|
50/22 |
222/51 |
4.4/2.3 |
1/0 |
24/22 |
36/39 |
300/256 |
2/3 |
3/3 |
7.7/6.1 |
522/307 |
5.9/4.8 |
09/24/16 @ Texas State |
64-3 |
-33.5
W
|
47/19 |
254/58 |
5.4/3.1 |
0/0 |
25/20 |
32/33 |
314/88 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
9.5/2.4 |
568/146 |
7.1/2.7 |
09/29/16 Connecticut |
42-14 |
-27.5
W
|
27/23 |
125/83 |
4.6/3.6 |
0/0 |
40/16 |
49/36 |
418/252 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
8.0/6.3 |
543/335 |
6.9/5.3 |
10/08/16 @ Navy |
40-46 |
-17.5
L
|
30/63 |
148/309 |
4.9/4.9 |
1/0 |
32/3 |
50/5 |
355/76 |
2/0 |
2/0 |
6.8/15.2 |
503/385 |
6.1/5.7 |
10/15/16 Tulsa |
38-31 |
-21.5
L
|
54/34 |
270/103 |
5.0/3.0 |
2/1 |
26/27 |
34/51 |
254/357 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
7.5/6.9 |
524/460 |
6.0/5.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 @ North Texas |
34-21 |
-9.5
W
|
42/24 |
262/114 |
6.2/4.8 |
0/0 |
13/32 |
27/50 |
216/281 |
1/3 |
2/5 |
7.4/5.1 |
478/395 |
6.7/5.0 |
09/10/16 @ Baylor |
13-40 |
+32.0
W
|
36/55 |
178/278 |
4.9/5.1 |
1/1 |
17/26 |
44/48 |
227/260 |
3/2 |
1/0 |
5.0/5.4 |
405/538 |
5.0/5.2 |
09/17/16 Liberty |
29-14 |
0.0
W
|
45/33 |
295/122 |
6.6/3.7 |
0/0 |
19/18 |
32/36 |
200/158 |
2/4 |
2/3 |
5.9/4.1 |
495/280 |
6.3/3.9 |
09/23/16 TCU |
3-33 |
+21.0
L
|
30/28 |
96/159 |
3.2/5.7 |
0/0 |
19/32 |
35/46 |
224/430 |
2/1 |
4/2 |
5.7/9.0 |
320/589 |
4.6/7.8 |
10/01/16 @ Temple |
20-45 |
+13.0
L
|
28/41 |
126/271 |
4.5/6.6 |
2/1 |
22/7 |
44/18 |
163/96 |
2/2 |
4/2 |
3.4/4.8 |
289/367 |
3.8/6.0 |
10/07/16 @ Tulsa |
40-43 |
+15.0
W
|
35/54 |
154/340 |
4.4/6.3 |
0/0 |
29/25 |
52/44 |
258/224 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
5.0/4.7 |
412/564 |
4.7/5.5 |