Game Analysis
Georgia (+1) 24 Auburn 23
Auburn beat Georgia 40-17 as a 2 ½ point home underdog just 3 weeks ago and the Tigers handily beat Alabama last week. However, my math still favors Georgia by 2 points in this game even if I toss out Auburn’s horrible early season offensive performance against Clemson. Auburn’s two marquee wins were both at home but the Tigers lost their two road games to good teams (Clemson and LSU). Georgia’s only slip up all season was to Auburn and they did beat a very good Notre Dame team in South Bend and are capable of getting their revenge in this game. I actually do think Auburn probably is the better team but I’ll stick with my math model and call for a 1-point Georgia win. But, I certainly don’t recommend a bet on this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
43.3
30.3
-
Run Yards
268.8
117.0
-
YPRP
6.4
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
11.2
15.4
-
Pass Att
18.3
28.1
-
Comp %
60.9%
54.9%
-
Pass Yards
169.0
155.4
-
Sacks
1.2
2.0
-
Sack Yards
7.2
13.0
-
Sack %
6.0%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
19.5
30.1
-
Net Pass Yards
161.8
142.4
-
YPPP
8.3
4.7
Total
-
Total Plays
62.8
60.4
-
Total Yards
437.8
272.4
-
YPPL
7.0
4.5
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.8
-
Int %
3.2%
3.0%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
44.5
34.0
-
Run Yards
226.9
130.1
-
YPRP
5.4
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.4
17.7
-
Pass Att
24.4
32.9
-
Comp %
67.2%
53.8%
-
Pass Yards
227.4
192.8
-
Sacks
2.3
2.6
-
Sack Yards
13.8
17.1
-
Sack %
8.6%
7.3%
-
Pass Plays
26.7
35.5
-
Net Pass Yards
213.6
175.7
-
YPPP
8.0
4.9
Total
-
Total Plays
71.2
69.5
-
Total Yards
454.3
322.9
-
YPPL
6.4
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.2
0.5
-
Int %
0.8%
1.5%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.2
-
Turnovers
0.7
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/17 Appalachian State |
31-10 |
-14.5
W
|
42/30 |
224/159 |
5.3/5.3 |
0/0 |
11/21 |
20/32 |
146/138 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
7.0/4.1 |
370/297 |
5.9/4.6 |
| 09/09/17 @ Notre Dame |
20-19 |
+5.5
W
|
38/34 |
203/82 |
5.3/2.4 |
1/2 |
16/20 |
29/40 |
133/186 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
4.3/4.3 |
336/268 |
4.9/3.5 |
| 09/16/17 Samford |
42-14 |
0.0
W
|
54/20 |
289/57 |
5.4/2.9 |
1/1 |
9/24 |
15/35 |
175/145 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
11.7/3.8 |
464/202 |
6.7/3.5 |
| 09/23/17 Mississippi St. |
31-3 |
-4.5
W
|
42/37 |
203/177 |
4.8/4.8 |
1/0 |
9/15 |
12/33 |
201/103 |
0/2 |
0/0 |
16.8/3.1 |
404/280 |
7.5/4.0 |
| 09/30/17 @ Tennessee |
41-0 |
-7.0
W
|
51/25 |
307/83 |
6.0/3.3 |
0/2 |
7/11 |
17/23 |
71/92 |
1/2 |
2/3 |
3.7/3.5 |
378/175 |
5.4/3.4 |
| 10/07/17 @ Vanderbilt |
45-14 |
-17.0
W
|
51/22 |
440/64 |
8.6/2.9 |
1/0 |
10/17 |
14/31 |
111/172 |
0/0 |
2/0 |
6.9/5.5 |
551/236 |
8.2/4.5 |
| 10/14/17 Missouri |
53-28 |
-29.5
L
|
47/23 |
380/77 |
8.1/3.3 |
0/0 |
18/15 |
26/25 |
327/253 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
12.1/10.1 |
707/330 |
9.6/6.9 |
| 10/28/17 @ Florida |
42-7 |
-13.5
W
|
34/36 |
294/224 |
8.6/6.2 |
0/1 |
4/10 |
7/25 |
101/30 |
1/1 |
0/5 |
14.4/1.0 |
395/254 |
9.6/3.8 |
| 11/04/17 South Carolina |
24-10 |
-23.5
L
|
50/15 |
252/54 |
5.0/3.6 |
1/0 |
16/21 |
22/36 |
186/216 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
8.1/5.7 |
438/270 |
6.0/5.1 |
| 11/11/17 @ Auburn |
17-40 |
-2.0
L
|
28/44 |
83/252 |
3.0/5.7 |
1/0 |
13/17 |
28/25 |
147/218 |
0/0 |
4/2 |
4.6/8.1 |
230/470 |
3.8/6.6 |
| 11/18/17 Kentucky |
42-13 |
-21.5
W
|
40/34 |
389/137 |
9.7/4.0 |
0/0 |
9/12 |
14/23 |
120/125 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
8.0/4.8 |
509/262 |
9.3/4.4 |
| 11/25/17 @ Georgia Tech |
38-7 |
-10.5
W
|
43/44 |
247/194 |
5.7/4.4 |
0/0 |
12/2 |
16/9 |
224/31 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
14.0/3.1 |
471/225 |
8.0/4.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/17 Georgia Southern |
41-7 |
-34.0
T
|
49/42 |
366/107 |
7.5/2.5 |
2/0 |
14/4 |
24/8 |
174/-29 |
1/1 |
3/5 |
6.4/-2.2 |
540/78 |
7.1/1.4 |
| 09/09/17 @ Clemson |
6-14 |
+5.0
L
|
31/31 |
110/123 |
3.5/4.0 |
0/2 |
13/20 |
24/31 |
7/162 |
0/0 |
11/3 |
0.2/4.8 |
117/285 |
1.8/4.4 |
| 09/16/17 Mercer |
24-10 |
0.0
W
|
40/35 |
156/100 |
3.9/2.9 |
4/0 |
32/18 |
37/32 |
361/126 |
1/0 |
1/0 |
9.5/3.9 |
517/226 |
6.6/3.4 |
| 09/23/17 @ Missouri |
51-14 |
-18.0
W
|
51/29 |
275/133 |
5.4/4.6 |
0/3 |
16/23 |
21/39 |
260/162 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
11.8/4.0 |
535/295 |
7.3/4.2 |
| 09/30/17 Mississippi St. |
49-10 |
-8.0
W
|
37/46 |
210/188 |
5.7/4.1 |
2/0 |
14/14 |
17/37 |
247/170 |
0/2 |
2/1 |
13.0/4.5 |
457/358 |
8.2/4.3 |
| 10/07/17 Mississippi |
44-23 |
-22.5
L
|
50/29 |
332/67 |
6.6/2.3 |
0/0 |
14/34 |
21/51 |
229/311 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
10.4/6.0 |
561/378 |
7.8/4.7 |
| 10/14/17 @ LSU |
23-27 |
-6.5
L
|
41/34 |
193/174 |
4.7/5.1 |
0/1 |
9/13 |
26/25 |
161/191 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
5.6/6.6 |
354/365 |
5.1/5.8 |
| 10/21/17 @ Arkansas |
52-20 |
-15.5
W
|
47/36 |
295/195 |
6.3/5.4 |
1/3 |
21/15 |
30/26 |
284/129 |
1/0 |
0/6 |
9.5/4.0 |
579/324 |
7.5/4.8 |
| 11/04/17 @ Texas A&M |
42-27 |
-15.0
T
|
50/33 |
237/153 |
4.7/4.6 |
0/0 |
20/16 |
27/33 |
259/195 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
8.9/5.7 |
496/348 |
6.3/5.2 |
| 11/11/17 Georgia |
40-17 |
+2.0
W
|
44/28 |
252/83 |
5.7/3.0 |
0/1 |
17/13 |
25/28 |
218/147 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
8.1/4.6 |
470/230 |
6.6/3.8 |
| 11/18/17 UL Monroe |
42-14 |
-36.5
L
|
46/39 |
326/129 |
7.1/3.3 |
1/1 |
18/16 |
24/36 |
235/124 |
1/2 |
0/2 |
9.8/3.3 |
561/253 |
8.0/3.3 |
| 11/25/17 Alabama |
26-14 |
+4.5
W
|
48/35 |
177/227 |
3.7/6.5 |
1/1 |
22/13 |
29/23 |
236/166 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.9/6.6 |
413/393 |
5.3/6.6 |
