Florida @

LSU

Sat, Nov 11
SEC Network
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 199
Odds: LSU -14.5, Total: 67

Game Analysis

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Lean – Over (67) – LSU (-14.5)  45   Florida  31

Jayden Daniels may not risk getting another concussion by running the ball as aggressively as he normally does but I have LSU by 14.3 points with a total of 75.2 points even if Daniels doesn’t run at all.

LSU has the best offense in the nation, by far, and they’ve averaged 8.3 yppl (with starters in) and 41 points per game facing a schedule of FBS defenses that is 0.6 yppl better than average. Florida’s defense is 0.7 yppl worse than average and the Gators have allowed 7.1 yppl in 5 games against SEC teams. LSU would be projected to score close to 50 points against that defense if Daniels’ running isn’t hindered and they should still get around 45 points without the legs of their dynamic quarterback.

Florida has a good offense that has been 0.9 yppl better than average (6.1 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl against an average team and LSU’s defense has been 0.3 yppl worse than average and has allowed 39 points or more to all 4 better than average offensive teams that they’ve faced this season (FSU, Ole Miss, Missouri and Bama).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Florida
  • LSU
FLA
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 26.3 29.5
  • Run Yards 142.1 169.9
  • YPRP 5.4 5.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 26.3 17.4
  • Pass Att 35.8 28.1
  • Comp % 73.4% 61.8%
  • Pass Yards 277.5 226.4
  • Sacks 3.3 1.8
  • Sack Yards 22.1 10.4
  • Sack % 8.3% 5.9%
  • Pass Plays 39.0 29.9
  • Net Pass Yards 255.4 216.0
  • YPPP 6.5 7.2

Total

  • Total Plays 65.3 59.4
  • Total Yards 397.5 385.9
  • YPPL 6.1 6.5

TO


  • Int 0.4 0.4
  • Int % 1.1% 1.4%
  • Fumbles 0.5 0.4
  • Turnovers 0.9 0.8
 
  • Points 28.9 24.7
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