Game Analysis
NORTH TEXAS (-4.5) 32 Florida Atlantic 27
My math model favors North Texas by 4.8 points, so no value on the side. However, North Texas has gone under in all 10 of their games this season and my model projects 58.6 total points tonight (Over/Under is 63.5 points).
Rush
-
Run Plays
45.4
37.1
-
Run Yards
254.0
172.8
-
YPRP
5.8
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.6
20.8
-
Pass Att
30.0
32.7
-
Comp %
62.0%
63.6%
-
Pass Yards
224.3
242.5
-
Sacks
1.4
1.8
-
Sack Yards
8.4
10.1
-
Sack %
4.5%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
31.4
34.5
-
Net Pass Yards
215.9
232.4
-
YPPP
6.9
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
76.8
71.6
-
Total Yards
478.3
415.3
-
YPPL
6.2
5.8
TO
-
Int
1.3
0.8
-
Int %
4.3%
2.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.8
1.1
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.8
29.9
-
Run Yards
148.0
98.8
-
YPRP
5.2
3.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.9
18.9
-
Pass Att
38.9
36.3
-
Comp %
64.0%
52.0%
-
Pass Yards
302.3
244.4
-
Sacks
2.1
2.6
-
Sack Yards
15.8
19.1
-
Sack %
5.1%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
41.0
38.9
-
Net Pass Yards
286.6
225.3
-
YPPP
7.0
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
72.8
68.8
-
Total Yards
450.3
343.2
-
YPPL
6.2
5.0
TO
-
Int
0.1
1.3
-
Int %
0.3%
3.7%
-
Fumbles
0.9
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 @ Oklahoma |
14-63 |
+21.0
L
|
40/33 |
144/337 |
3.6/10.2 |
0/0 |
15/19 |
32/23 |
149/316 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
4.4/12.2 |
293/653 |
4.0/11.1 |
09/08/18 Air Force |
33-27 |
-9.0
L
|
26/55 |
73/214 |
2.8/3.9 |
1/0 |
33/8 |
40/13 |
463/160 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
11.0/11.4 |
536/374 |
7.9/5.4 |
09/15/18 Bethune-Cookman |
49-28 |
0.0
W
|
59/24 |
386/118 |
6.5/4.9 |
0/1 |
19/20 |
30/33 |
181/212 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
5.8/6.2 |
567/330 |
6.3/5.7 |
09/21/18 @ UCF |
36-56 |
+13.0
L
|
50/49 |
320/244 |
6.4/5.0 |
0/0 |
14/21 |
27/32 |
127/301 |
3/0 |
0/1 |
4.7/9.1 |
447/545 |
5.8/6.6 |
09/29/18 @ Middle Tenn St |
24-25 |
-3.5
L
|
55/35 |
278/148 |
5.1/4.2 |
1/1 |
17/27 |
27/40 |
154/254 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
5.7/6.2 |
432/402 |
5.3/5.3 |
10/06/18 Old Dominion |
52-33 |
-13.5
W
|
39/35 |
269/130 |
6.9/3.7 |
0/0 |
21/39 |
32/51 |
329/378 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
10.0/7.3 |
598/508 |
8.3/5.8 |
10/20/18 @ Marshall |
7-31 |
-3.0
L
|
35/44 |
125/257 |
3.6/5.8 |
1/0 |
20/13 |
42/24 |
253/80 |
4/0 |
2/3 |
5.8/3.0 |
378/337 |
4.8/4.7 |
10/26/18 Louisiana Tech |
13-21 |
-3.5
L
|
35/34 |
245/136 |
7.0/4.0 |
1/0 |
17/17 |
29/35 |
107/199 |
1/0 |
3/3 |
3.3/5.2 |
352/335 |
5.3/4.7 |
11/03/18 @ FIU |
49-14 |
+2.5
W
|
60/31 |
439/111 |
7.3/3.6 |
0/1 |
10/19 |
16/34 |
155/229 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
9.7/6.5 |
594/340 |
7.8/5.2 |
11/10/18 Western Kentucky |
34-15 |
-19.0
T
|
55/31 |
345/134 |
6.3/4.3 |
1/0 |
20/25 |
25/42 |
241/195 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
8.6/4.3 |
586/329 |
7.1/4.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 SMU |
46-23 |
-4.5
W
|
41/15 |
86/38 |
2.1/2.5 |
0/0 |
41/12 |
51/24 |
435/139 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
8.2/5.0 |
521/177 |
5.5/4.1 |
09/08/18 Incarnate Word |
58-16 |
0.0
W
|
41/28 |
159/164 |
3.9/5.9 |
0/1 |
32/16 |
49/30 |
508/134 |
1/2 |
1/2 |
10.2/4.2 |
667/298 |
7.3/5.0 |
09/15/18 @ Arkansas |
44-17 |
+6.5
W
|
26/27 |
114/98 |
4.4/3.6 |
1/0 |
25/20 |
46/45 |
283/238 |
0/6 |
1/0 |
6.0/5.3 |
397/336 |
5.4/4.7 |
09/22/18 @ Liberty |
47-7 |
-12.5
W
|
45/38 |
354/158 |
7.9/4.2 |
0/0 |
16/16 |
27/40 |
178/199 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
6.4/4.6 |
532/357 |
7.3/4.4 |
09/29/18 Louisiana Tech |
27-29 |
-7.0
L
|
32/29 |
175/143 |
5.5/4.9 |
2/0 |
22/20 |
35/39 |
252/217 |
0/0 |
5/2 |
6.3/5.3 |
427/360 |
5.9/5.1 |
10/06/18 @ UTEP |
27-24 |
-27.0
L
|
34/26 |
140/117 |
4.1/4.5 |
0/0 |
23/16 |
34/33 |
294/300 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
8.6/8.6 |
434/417 |
6.4/6.8 |
10/13/18 Southern Miss |
30-7 |
-9.0
W
|
33/24 |
158/101 |
4.8/4.2 |
1/1 |
24/30 |
38/44 |
292/295 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
7.7/6.1 |
450/396 |
6.3/5.5 |
10/20/18 @ UAB |
21-29 |
+1.5
L
|
19/43 |
77/227 |
4.1/5.3 |
1/1 |
29/14 |
40/22 |
323/163 |
0/0 |
4/4 |
7.3/6.3 |
400/390 |
6.3/5.7 |
10/27/18 Rice |
41-17 |
-30.0
L
|
21/35 |
187/104 |
8.9/3.0 |
2/1 |
18/21 |
35/37 |
310/193 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
8.2/4.9 |
497/297 |
8.4/4.0 |
11/10/18 @ Old Dominion |
31-34 |
-14.0
L
|
35/32 |
183/75 |
5.2/2.3 |
1/0 |
26/21 |
44/43 |
212/284 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
4.5/6.3 |
395/359 |
4.8/4.7 |