Duke @ Virginia Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Lean – VIRGINIA (+3.5) 23 Duke 22

Virginia is better with Anthony Colandrea at quarterback and the Cavaliers nearly upset Louisville last week. Duke, meanwhile, is much worse offensively with Grayson Loftis at quarterback (50% completions and just 5.1 yards per pass play) and my math has Duke by just 1 point in this game. The Blue Devils lost a tough game in OT to North Carolina and have a reason to be unhappy with the officiating in that game. There could be a hangover for this game and the Devils apply to a 34-82-1 ATS situation that applies to teams coming off a close loss as a big underdog the previous week.

Team Stats
Game Log

Duke
Virginia

DUKE

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 32.5 35.0
Run Yards 180.1 170.8
YPRP 5.6 4.9

Pass

Pass Comp 13.3 19.7
Pass Att 25.4 32.4
Comp % 52.4% 60.6%
Pass Yards 161.3 199.0
Sacks 1.3 2.2
Sack Yards 7.2 12.0
Sack % 5.0% 6.4%
Pass Plays 26.8 34.7
Net Pass Yards 154.1 187.0
YPPP 5.8 5.4

Total

Total Plays 59.2 69.7
Total Yards 334.2 357.8
YPPL 5.6 5.1

Int 0.6 0.7
Int % 2.2% 2.1%
Fumbles 0.4 0.6
Turnovers 1.0 1.2

Points 27.6 18.8

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/04/23 Clemson	28-7	+13.0 W	27/38	210/236	7.8/6.2	2/2	17/27	33/43	175/195	0/1	0/2	5.3/4.3	385/431	6.4/5.2
09/09/23 Lafayette	42-7	0.0 W	45/31	261/134	5.8/4.3	1/0	20/9	20/18	254/79	0/2	0/2	12.7/4.0	515/213	7.9/4.2
09/16/23 Northwestern	38-14	-17.0 W	38/28	260/103	6.8/3.7	0/0	15/20	20/40	217/138	0/1	1/2	10.3/3.3	477/241	8.1/3.4
09/23/23 @ Connecticut	41-7	-21.0 W	30/32	94/110	3.1/3.4	0/2	26/9	39/25	285/34	0/0	0/2	7.3/1.3	379/144	5.5/2.4
09/30/23 Notre Dame	14-21	+5.5 L	38/30	205/166	5.4/5.5	1/0	12/15	27/30	117/215	1/0	2/2	4.0/6.7	322/381	4.8/6.1
10/14/23 No Carolina St.	24-3	-3.0 W	28/26	199/143	7.1/5.5	0/0	4/24	12/40	104/162	1/1	1/4	8.0/3.7	303/305	7.4/4.4
10/21/23 @ Florida St.	20-38	+14.0 L	35/31	197/158	5.6/5.1	0/0	10/27	22/36	95/266	1/1	0/1	4.3/7.2	292/424	5.1/6.2
10/28/23 @ Louisville	0-23	+5.0 L	17/44	75/253	4.4/5.8	0/0	12/11	28/16	127/104	1/0	4/2	4.0/5.8	202/357	4.1/5.8
11/02/23 Wake Forest	24-21	-6.5 L	38/44	197/168	5.2/3.8	1/1	7/16	19/19	72/232	1/1	2/3	3.4/10.5	269/400	4.6/6.1
11/11/23 @ North Carolina	45-47	+13.5 W	41/42	184/200	4.5/4.8	0/0	17/28	29/43	195/337	0/1	2/2	6.3/7.5	379/537	5.3/6.2

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/23 @ Tennessee	13-49	+28.0 L	33/51	125/291	3.8/5.7	0/1	11/23	24/33	79/283	0/0	5/1	2.7/8.3	204/574	3.3/6.8
09/09/23 James Madison	35-36	+6.5 W	31/32	53/170	1.7/5.3	0/0	20/21	26/32	346/227	1/0	4/1	11.5/6.9	399/397	6.5/6.1
09/15/23 @ Maryland	14-42	+15.5 L	28/30	124/135	4.4/4.5	1/0	23/19	39/30	243/333	3/0	2/1	5.9/10.7	367/468	5.3/7.7
09/22/23 No Carolina St.	21-24	+9.0 W	38/34	127/154	3.3/4.5	0/0	18/15	30/30	258/165	2/1	2/2	8.1/5.2	385/319	5.5/4.8
09/30/23 @ Boston College	24-27	+3.5 W	24/44	93/211	3.9/4.8	0/2	22/16	34/26	213/184	1/2	5/0	5.5/7.1	306/395	4.9/5.6
10/07/23 William & Mary	27-13	0.0 W	41/38	261/148	6.4/3.9	1/1	17/14	26/19	192/72	1/0	4/0	6.4/3.8	453/220	6.4/3.9
10/21/23 @ North Carolina	31-27	+23.5 W	51/27	238/152	4.7/5.6	1/0	20/24	30/48	199/338	1/1	2/2	6.2/6.8	437/490	5.3/6.4
10/28/23 @ Miami Fla	26-29	+18.5 W	39/25	168/117	4.3/4.7	0/0	24/20	38/30	209/163	1/2	6/0	4.8/5.4	377/280	4.5/5.1
11/04/23 Georgia Tech	17-45	-1.5 L	27/43	130/306	4.8/7.1	1/0	23/25	40/33	221/228	2/0	2/1	5.3/6.7	351/534	5.1/6.9
11/09/23 @ Louisville	24-31	+20.5 W	31/27	153/191	4.9/7.1	1/0	20/19	32/28	294/234	1/1	4/2	8.2/7.8	447/425	6.7/7.5

Duke @

Virginia

Sat, Nov 18

The CW

12:00 PM Pacific

Game Analysis