Game Analysis
BAYLOR (-5) 26 Duke 23
Duke’s 3rd-year starting quarterback Daniel Jones injured his shoulder last week and Quentin Harris takes over, which I believe to be a huge downgrade. However, the Duke offense should still perform at a decent level of Baylor’s defense continues to struggle against the run. The Bears have given up an average of 7.8 yards per rushing play to Abilene Christian and UTSA so expect the Blue Devils to run the ball more than they normally would and to have some success doing so. Duke’s other big loss was the season ending injury to 1st-Team All-ACC CB Mark Gilbert but the Blue Devils should still be good defensively (they’ve allowed just 10.5 points per game and 4.8 yards per play in wins over Army and Northwestern). I like Baylor’s quarterbacks and the Bears should have some success attacking a weakened secondary (backup CB McDuffie is also out), but I’d lean slightly with Duke plus the points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.3
34.7
-
Run Yards
170.3
135.3
-
YPRP
4.8
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
14.3
21.7
-
Pass Att
23.7
39.7
-
Comp %
60.5%
54.6%
-
Pass Yards
191.7
247.7
-
Sacks
1.3
2.3
-
Sack Yards
9.7
17.3
-
Sack %
5.3%
5.5%
-
Pass Plays
25.0
42.0
-
Net Pass Yards
182.0
230.3
-
YPPP
7.3
5.5
Total
-
Total Plays
62.3
76.7
-
Total Yards
362.0
383.0
-
YPPL
5.8
5.0
TO
-
Int
0.0
1.0
-
Int %
0.0%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.3
1.0
-
Turnovers
0.3
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.3
29.7
-
Run Yards
174.3
182.7
-
YPRP
5.9
6.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.0
19.0
-
Pass Att
37.0
34.3
-
Comp %
62.2%
55.3%
-
Pass Yards
326.0
192.3
-
Sacks
1.7
2.0
-
Sack Yards
9.0
15.7
-
Sack %
4.3%
5.5%
-
Pass Plays
38.7
36.3
-
Net Pass Yards
317.0
176.7
-
YPPP
8.2
4.9
Total
-
Total Plays
70.0
66.0
-
Total Yards
500.3
375.0
-
YPPL
7.1
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.7
-
Int %
1.8%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.0
-
Turnovers
1.3
0.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/18 Army |
34-14 |
-13.0
W
|
34/46 |
190/181 |
5.6/3.9 |
1/2 |
13/10 |
17/21 |
191/184 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
10.6/8.4 |
381/365 |
7.3/5.4 |
| 09/08/18 @ Northwestern |
21-7 |
+2.5
W
|
36/28 |
120/123 |
3.3/4.4 |
0/0 |
18/31 |
24/56 |
181/258 |
0/2 |
3/4 |
6.7/4.3 |
301/381 |
4.8/4.3 |
| 09/15/18 @ Baylor |
40-27 |
+5.0
W
|
42/30 |
230/154 |
5.5/5.1 |
0/1 |
12/24 |
30/42 |
174/249 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
5.8/5.7 |
404/403 |
5.6/5.4 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 Abilene Christian |
55-27 |
-38.5
L
|
36/26 |
295/225 |
8.2/8.7 |
0/0 |
18/27 |
28/40 |
311/241 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
11.1/5.9 |
606/466 |
9.5/7.0 |
| 09/08/18 @ UTSA |
37-20 |
-16.5
W
|
28/21 |
101/140 |
3.6/6.7 |
1/0 |
27/18 |
41/33 |
391/115 |
0/1 |
3/5 |
8.9/3.0 |
492/255 |
6.8/4.3 |
| 09/15/18 Duke |
27-40 |
-5.0
L
|
30/42 |
154/230 |
5.1/5.5 |
1/0 |
24/12 |
42/30 |
249/174 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
5.7/5.8 |
403/404 |
5.4/5.6 |