Clemson @

(14) Louisville

Sat, Sep 16
ABC
5:00 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 147
Odds: Louisville +3, Total: 58

Game Analysis

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LOUISVILLE (+3)  30   Clemson  28

Clemson’s defense has been absolutely amazing so far this season, allowing an average of 4.5 points and 119 total yards per game at a miniscule 2.1 yards per play, which includes the 1.8 yppl that they yielded to what was supposed to be a good Auburn offense. However, Clemson will be facing a quarterback that transcends special and Lamar Jackson can make things happen even against the most talented defenses that execute well. Clemson defenders can be doing exactly what they’re supposed to be doing, which would lead to success against nearly every other offense, but that still doesn’t mean they’ll be able to keep Jackson from escaping and creating a big play with his arm or his legs. Last season Jackson led Louisville to a 63-20 romp over a very good Florida State defense and he led the Cardinals to 36 points in a 6 point loss to the Clemson team that went on to win the National Championship. Jackson is not immune to great defensive fronts, as he did struggle against both Houston and LSU, but it is safe to say that Louisville is relatively better against good defensive teams because of Jackson’s special talents.

Louisville also has a good defense that will challenge the Tigers and overall my ratings favor Clemson by just 1 point. I’ll actually call for the minor upset due to a 94-32-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation that applies to Louisville.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Clemson
  • Louisville
CLEM
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.5 37.5
  • Run Yards 233.0 78.5
  • YPRP 6.7 3.1




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.5 7.0
  • Pass Att 32.5 14.5
  • Comp % 69.2% 48.3%
  • Pass Yards 248.5 40.0
  • Sacks 1.5 5.5
  • Sack Yards 11.5 36.0
  • Sack % 4.4% 27.5%
  • Pass Plays 34.0 20.0
  • Net Pass Yards 237.0 4.0
  • YPPP 7.0 0.2

Total

  • Total Plays 70.5 57.5
  • Total Yards 481.5 118.5
  • YPPL 6.8 2.1

TO


  • Int 0.5 0.0
  • Int % 1.5% 0.0%
  • Fumbles 1.0 0.0
  • Turnovers 1.5 0.0
 
  • Points 35.0 4.5
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