Central Mich @

Western Mich

Tue, Nov 7
ESPNU
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation:
Odds: Western Mich -3, Total: 56.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – WESTERN MICHIGAN (-3)  35   Central Michigan  28

Lean – Over (56.5)

My math model favors Western Michigan by 5.7 points and Central Michigan applies to a 39-98-3 ATS letdown situation that plays against teams coming off a high-scoring upset win (they upset Northern Illinois 37-31 last Tuesday). This game should be high-scoring too, as Western Michigan’s offense has been pretty good since benching QB Salopek in week 3 while the Broncos’ defense is horrible. Western Michigan has gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 games.

I’ll lean with Western Michigan at -3 or less and I’ll lean Over 57 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Central Mich
  • Western Mich
CMU
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.8 29.6
  • Run Yards 172.9 162.7
  • YPRP 4.7 5.5




Pass





  • Pass Comp 15.8 19.1
  • Pass Att 27.8 31.1
  • Comp % 56.8% 61.4%
  • Pass Yards 178.3 254.8
  • Sacks 1.9 1.6
  • Sack Yards 11.8 8.0
  • Sack % 6.4% 4.8%
  • Pass Plays 29.7 32.7
  • Net Pass Yards 166.6 246.8
  • YPPP 5.6 7.6

Total

  • Total Plays 66.5 62.2
  • Total Yards 339.4 409.5
  • YPPL 5.1 6.6

TO


  • Int 1.0 0.4
  • Int % 3.6% 1.4%
  • Fumbles 0.1 0.2
  • Turnovers 1.1 0.7
 
  • Points 23.7 29.9
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