Game Analysis
Lean – California (+11.5) 17 UTAH 24
Cal is not as good defensively as expected, as they’ve been just 0.1 yards per play better than an average FBS defense. However, the Bears are very good defending the run (1.0 yprp better than average) and the Utes’ backup quarterbacks may not be able to take advantage of a Cal secondary that’s been 0.8 yards per pass play worse than average (Utah has been 1.3 yppp worse than average offensively).
The Bears’ offense is pretty good team when Sam Jackson is not behind center, as Jackson has been 2.0 yppp worse than an average FBS quarterback while Ben Finley and new starter Fernando Mendoza are a combined 0.2 yppp better than average with Mendoza rating at +0.3 yppp last week against Oregon State in his first start (6.5 yppp against an OSU defense that would allow 6.2 yppp on the road to an average QB). Utah’s defense has been 0.9 yppl better than average, which has made up for the an offense that has been 0.9 yppl worse than average.
These teams are pretty similar overall from the line of scrimmage and Utah’s edge in special teams is not enough to justify a double-digit line.
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.2
29.7
-
Run Yards
221.8
132.3
-
YPRP
5.7
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.7
20.7
-
Pass Att
34.5
31.8
-
Comp %
57.0%
64.9%
-
Pass Yards
202.5
265.3
-
Sacks
1.2
1.2
-
Sack Yards
10.0
7.3
-
Sack %
3.3%
3.5%
-
Pass Plays
35.7
33.0
-
Net Pass Yards
192.5
258.0
-
YPPP
5.4
7.8
Total
-
Total Plays
74.8
62.7
-
Total Yards
414.3
390.3
-
YPPL
5.5
6.2
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.2
-
Int %
2.9%
3.7%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.2
-
Turnovers
1.5
2.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.0
23.6
-
Run Yards
171.6
99.2
-
YPRP
4.5
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.4
16.8
-
Pass Att
23.6
31.2
-
Comp %
52.5%
53.8%
-
Pass Yards
153.8
215.6
-
Sacks
2.2
3.4
-
Sack Yards
16.6
27.0
-
Sack %
8.5%
9.8%
-
Pass Plays
25.8
34.6
-
Net Pass Yards
137.2
188.6
-
YPPP
5.3
5.5
Total
-
Total Plays
63.8
58.2
-
Total Yards
308.8
287.8
-
YPPL
4.8
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.2
-
Int %
1.7%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.4
-
Turnovers
0.6
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 @ North Texas |
58-21 |
-6.5
W
|
56/24 |
378/69 |
6.8/2.9 |
1/0 |
27/15 |
38/26 |
312/168 |
1/3 |
0/2 |
8.2/6.0 |
690/237 |
7.3/4.6 |
09/09/23 Auburn |
10-14 |
+6.0
W
|
38/32 |
127/153 |
3.3/4.8 |
1/3 |
21/10 |
37/17 |
144/74 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
3.7/3.7 |
271/227 |
3.5/4.4 |
09/16/23 Idaho |
31-17 |
0.0
W
|
41/23 |
276/113 |
6.7/4.9 |
0/2 |
13/28 |
25/46 |
94/275 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
3.5/5.9 |
370/388 |
5.4/5.5 |
09/23/23 @ Washington |
32-59 |
+20.5
L
|
24/29 |
90/177 |
3.8/6.1 |
0/0 |
24/23 |
46/32 |
292/384 |
3/1 |
0/1 |
6.3/11.6 |
382/561 |
5.5/9.0 |
09/30/23 Arizona St. |
24-21 |
-13.0
L
|
43/29 |
222/77 |
5.2/2.7 |
0/1 |
12/27 |
29/42 |
106/362 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
3.3/8.6 |
328/439 |
4.4/6.2 |
10/07/23 Oregon St. |
40-52 |
+7.5
L
|
33/41 |
238/205 |
7.2/5.0 |
1/1 |
21/21 |
32/28 |
207/285 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
6.5/10.2 |
445/490 |
6.8/7.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/23 Florida |
24-11 |
-5.0
W
|
27/15 |
124/61 |
4.6/4.1 |
0/0 |
15/31 |
23/44 |
165/286 |
0/1 |
0/5 |
7.2/5.8 |
289/347 |
5.8/5.4 |
09/09/23 @ Baylor |
20-13 |
-7.5
L
|
44/29 |
232/121 |
5.3/4.2 |
0/0 |
12/12 |
26/28 |
145/218 |
1/2 |
3/0 |
5.0/7.8 |
377/339 |
5.2/5.9 |
09/16/23 Weber State |
31-7 |
0.0
W
|
50/17 |
249/86 |
5.0/5.1 |
0/1 |
13/11 |
21/23 |
183/53 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
8.3/2.1 |
432/139 |
6.0/3.3 |
09/23/23 UCLA |
14-7 |
-3.5
W
|
41/25 |
153/64 |
3.7/2.6 |
1/1 |
9/15 |
17/35 |
83/181 |
0/1 |
4/7 |
4.0/4.3 |
236/245 |
3.8/3.7 |
09/29/23 @ Oregon St. |
7-21 |
+4.0
L
|
28/32 |
100/164 |
3.6/5.1 |
0/0 |
13/15 |
31/26 |
110/205 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
3.2/7.1 |
210/369 |
3.4/6.0 |