California @

Utah

Sat, Oct 14
Pac-12 Network
12:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 175
Odds: Utah -13.5, Total: 45

Game Analysis

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Lean – California (+11.5)  17   UTAH  24

Cal is not as good defensively as expected, as they’ve been just 0.1 yards per play better than an average FBS defense. However, the Bears are very good defending the run (1.0 yprp better than average) and the Utes’ backup quarterbacks may not be able to take advantage of a Cal secondary that’s been 0.8 yards per pass play worse than average (Utah has been 1.3 yppp worse than average offensively).

The Bears’ offense is pretty good team when Sam Jackson is not behind center, as Jackson has been 2.0 yppp worse than an average FBS quarterback while Ben Finley and new starter Fernando Mendoza are a combined 0.2 yppp better than average with Mendoza rating at +0.3 yppp last week against Oregon State in his first start (6.5 yppp against an OSU defense that would allow 6.2 yppp on the road to an average QB). Utah’s defense has been 0.9 yppl better than average, which has made up for the an offense that has been 0.9 yppl worse than average.

These teams are pretty similar overall from the line of scrimmage and Utah’s edge in special teams is not enough to justify a double-digit line.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • California
  • Utah
CAL
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 39.2 29.7
  • Run Yards 221.8 132.3
  • YPRP 5.7 4.5




Pass





  • Pass Comp 19.7 20.7
  • Pass Att 34.5 31.8
  • Comp % 57.0% 64.9%
  • Pass Yards 202.5 265.3
  • Sacks 1.2 1.2
  • Sack Yards 10.0 7.3
  • Sack % 3.3% 3.5%
  • Pass Plays 35.7 33.0
  • Net Pass Yards 192.5 258.0
  • YPPP 5.4 7.8

Total

  • Total Plays 74.8 62.7
  • Total Yards 414.3 390.3
  • YPPL 5.5 6.2

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.2
  • Int % 2.9% 3.7%
  • Fumbles 0.5 1.2
  • Turnovers 1.5 2.3
 
  • Points 32.5 30.7
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