Game Analysis
MICHIGAN STATE (-5 ½) 26 Brigham Young 25
All five of BYU’s games have been decided by 3 points or less and I’d certainly prefer to take the points with the pesky Cougars against the overrated Spartans. Michigan State is only 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively and the Spartans are 0.5 yppl better than average defensively so far this season. BYU isn’t quite as good from the line of scrimmage, as the Cougars are +0.5 yppl offensively and 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively. However, Michigan State has struggled in other areas and my math model only favors the Spartans by 1 point in this game despite being projected to have an edge of 34 total yards over the Cougars. I certainly prefer taking the points in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.6
33.0
-
Run Yards
200.0
135.6
-
YPRP
6.2
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.6
24.2
-
Pass Att
34.6
34.2
-
Comp %
59.5%
70.8%
-
Pass Yards
225.2
308.4
-
Sacks
2.2
1.6
-
Sack Yards
13.8
10.2
-
Sack %
6.0%
4.5%
-
Pass Plays
36.8
35.8
-
Net Pass Yards
211.4
298.2
-
YPPP
5.7
8.3
Total
-
Total Plays
71.4
68.8
-
Total Yards
425.2
444.0
-
YPPL
6.0
6.5
TO
-
Int
1.4
1.8
-
Int %
4.0%
5.3%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.6
2.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.3
32.8
-
Run Yards
177.0
107.5
-
YPRP
5.1
3.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.3
17.3
-
Pass Att
30.3
30.5
-
Comp %
60.3%
56.6%
-
Pass Yards
236.0
239.8
-
Sacks
2.0
1.3
-
Sack Yards
8.0
6.8
-
Sack %
6.2%
3.9%
-
Pass Plays
32.3
31.8
-
Net Pass Yards
228.0
233.0
-
YPPP
7.1
7.3
Total
-
Total Plays
68.5
64.5
-
Total Yards
413.0
347.3
-
YPPL
6.0
5.4
TO
-
Int
1.3
1.0
-
Int %
4.1%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.8
-
Turnovers
2.0
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Arizona |
18-16 |
-1.0
W
|
46/22 |
218/145 |
4.7/6.6 |
0/0 |
21/20 |
29/30 |
197/183 |
0/2 |
1/4 |
6.6/5.4 |
415/328 |
5.5/5.9 |
09/10/16 @ Utah |
19-20 |
+3.5
W
|
25/41 |
159/171 |
6.4/4.2 |
0/3 |
22/14 |
40/23 |
173/185 |
3/3 |
2/0 |
4.1/8.0 |
332/356 |
5.0/5.6 |
09/17/16 UCLA |
14-17 |
+3.0
T
|
21/31 |
52/60 |
2.5/1.9 |
0/0 |
26/26 |
48/40 |
224/299 |
1/1 |
4/1 |
4.3/7.3 |
276/359 |
3.8/5.0 |
09/24/16 @ West Virginia |
32-35 |
+7.0
W
|
39/32 |
282/154 |
7.2/4.8 |
1/1 |
23/31 |
35/40 |
235/331 |
3/1 |
1/1 |
6.5/8.1 |
517/485 |
6.9/6.6 |
09/30/16 Toledo |
55-53 |
-4.0
L
|
42/39 |
358/199 |
8.5/5.1 |
0/0 |
11/30 |
21/38 |
228/493 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
9.5/12.3 |
586/692 |
8.9/8.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/16 Furman |
28-13 |
0.0
W
|
34/31 |
182/104 |
5.4/3.4 |
1/0 |
13/16 |
18/31 |
187/134 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
9.4/4.2 |
369/238 |
6.8/3.8 |
09/17/16 @ Notre Dame |
36-28 |
+7.0
W
|
51/23 |
262/68 |
5.1/3.0 |
0/2 |
19/20 |
26/37 |
241/333 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
9.3/8.5 |
503/401 |
6.5/6.5 |
09/24/16 Wisconsin |
6-30 |
-5.0
L
|
22/39 |
105/132 |
4.8/3.4 |
1/1 |
20/16 |
42/26 |
230/184 |
3/1 |
4/2 |
5.0/6.6 |
335/316 |
4.9/4.7 |
10/01/16 @ Indiana |
21-24 |
-7.0
L
|
38/38 |
191/153 |
5.0/4.0 |
1/0 |
21/17 |
35/28 |
254/281 |
0/1 |
2/0 |
6.9/10.0 |
445/434 |
5.9/6.6 |