BYU @

Michigan St.

Sat, Oct 8
ABC/ESPN/ESPN2
12:30 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 323
Odds: Michigan St. -6, Total: 49.5

Game Analysis

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MICHIGAN STATE (-5 ½)  26   Brigham Young  25

All five of BYU’s games have been decided by 3 points or less and I’d certainly prefer to take the points with the pesky Cougars against the overrated Spartans. Michigan State is only 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively and the Spartans are 0.5 yppl better than average defensively so far this season. BYU isn’t quite as good from the line of scrimmage, as the Cougars are +0.5 yppl offensively and 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively. However, Michigan State has struggled in other areas and my math model only favors the Spartans by 1 point in this game despite being projected to have an edge of 34 total yards over the Cougars. I certainly prefer taking the points in this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • BYU
  • Michigan St.
BYU
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 34.6 33.0
  • Run Yards 200.0 135.6
  • YPRP 6.2 4.4




Pass





  • Pass Comp 20.6 24.2
  • Pass Att 34.6 34.2
  • Comp % 59.5% 70.8%
  • Pass Yards 225.2 308.4
  • Sacks 2.2 1.6
  • Sack Yards 13.8 10.2
  • Sack % 6.0% 4.5%
  • Pass Plays 36.8 35.8
  • Net Pass Yards 211.4 298.2
  • YPPP 5.7 8.3

Total

  • Total Plays 71.4 68.8
  • Total Yards 425.2 444.0
  • YPPL 6.0 6.5

TO


  • Int 1.4 1.8
  • Int % 4.0% 5.3%
  • Fumbles 0.2 0.8
  • Turnovers 1.6 2.6
 
  • Points 27.6 28.2
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