Game Analysis
MIAMI-OHIO (-8.5) 23 Buffalo 12
Miami is relying on their good defense (10.2 ppg allowed in MAC games) with star quarterback Brett Gabbert out. Backup Aveon Smith started more than half the games last season when Gabbert was out and while not a good passer (2.0 yards per pass play worse than average since last season) he is a good runner and doesn’t throw many interceptions (just 5 on 259 passes).
Miami’s run-heavy offense with Smith behind center, combined with their strong defense (0.5 yards per play better than average FBS defense) against a horrible Buffalo offense that is 2.5 yppl worse than average should lead to a low scoring win for the Redhawks.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.2
32.1
-
Run Yards
142.3
187.6
-
YPRP
4.2
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.4
17.8
-
Pass Att
34.8
28.4
-
Comp %
55.7%
62.7%
-
Pass Yards
193.4
193.3
-
Sacks
1.6
1.6
-
Sack Yards
7.9
10.4
-
Sack %
4.4%
5.3%
-
Pass Plays
36.4
30.0
-
Net Pass Yards
185.5
182.9
-
YPPP
5.1
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
70.6
62.1
-
Total Yards
327.8
370.5
-
YPPL
4.6
6.0
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.1
-
Int %
2.9%
3.9%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.5
31.1
-
Run Yards
144.7
146.0
-
YPRP
4.8
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.8
19.1
-
Pass Att
22.9
31.8
-
Comp %
55.8%
60.1%
-
Pass Yards
180.9
199.1
-
Sacks
2.4
3.4
-
Sack Yards
14.1
21.8
-
Sack %
9.6%
9.8%
-
Pass Plays
25.3
35.2
-
Net Pass Yards
166.8
177.3
-
YPPP
6.6
5.0
Total
-
Total Plays
55.8
66.3
-
Total Yards
311.5
323.3
-
YPPL
5.6
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.8
-
Int %
2.4%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 @ Wisconsin |
17-38 |
+28.0
W
|
30/38 |
122/318 |
4.1/8.4 |
0/0 |
26/24 |
41/31 |
194/186 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
4.7/5.8 |
316/504 |
4.5/7.2 |
| 09/09/23 Fordham |
37-40 |
0.0
L
|
27/38 |
116/173 |
4.3/4.6 |
1/0 |
24/23 |
30/36 |
251/292 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
7.6/7.7 |
367/465 |
6.1/6.1 |
| 09/16/23 Liberty |
27-55 |
+3.5
L
|
29/32 |
94/232 |
3.2/7.3 |
0/0 |
29/16 |
51/29 |
269/341 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
5.2/11.4 |
363/573 |
4.5/9.2 |
| 09/23/23 @ UL Lafayette |
31-45 |
+8.5
L
|
41/35 |
191/282 |
4.7/8.1 |
0/1 |
17/22 |
34/29 |
184/238 |
2/2 |
3/2 |
5.0/7.7 |
375/520 |
4.8/7.9 |
| 09/30/23 @ Akron |
13-10 |
+2.5
W
|
32/23 |
134/138 |
4.2/6.0 |
0/1 |
19/19 |
34/28 |
120/113 |
0/0 |
4/4 |
3.2/3.5 |
254/251 |
3.6/4.6 |
| 10/07/23 Central Mich |
37-13 |
+3.0
W
|
33/24 |
126/81 |
3.8/3.4 |
0/1 |
20/27 |
32/49 |
229/256 |
0/3 |
2/1 |
6.7/5.1 |
355/337 |
5.3/4.6 |
| 10/14/23 Bowling Green |
14-24 |
-4.5
L
|
37/40 |
189/217 |
5.1/5.4 |
1/1 |
11/9 |
29/16 |
95/77 |
3/2 |
0/0 |
3.3/4.8 |
284/294 |
4.3/5.3 |
| 10/21/23 @ Kent State |
24-6 |
-7.0
W
|
31/32 |
146/115 |
4.7/3.6 |
0/0 |
18/12 |
33/26 |
195/49 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
5.9/1.7 |
341/164 |
5.3/2.7 |
| 10/31/23 @ Toledo |
13-31 |
+15.0
L
|
43/33 |
177/182 |
4.1/5.5 |
0/3 |
14/12 |
41/19 |
147/173 |
2/1 |
1/0 |
3.5/9.1 |
324/355 |
3.8/6.8 |
| 11/07/23 Ohio |
10-20 |
+7.0
L
|
39/26 |
128/138 |
3.3/5.3 |
1/0 |
16/14 |
23/21 |
171/104 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
6.8/4.5 |
299/242 |
4.7/4.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/23 @ Miami Fla |
3-38 |
+17.0
L
|
22/35 |
67/251 |
3.0/7.2 |
0/0 |
13/20 |
24/25 |
148/242 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
5.5/9.3 |
215/493 |
4.4/8.1 |
| 09/09/23 @ Massachusetts |
41-28 |
-7.0
W
|
31/27 |
166/90 |
5.4/3.3 |
1/1 |
12/23 |
22/35 |
251/233 |
2/1 |
3/3 |
10.0/6.1 |
417/323 |
7.4/5.0 |
| 09/16/23 @ Cincinnati |
31-24 |
+14.0
W
|
26/55 |
132/289 |
5.1/5.3 |
1/0 |
12/18 |
20/34 |
225/256 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
10.2/7.1 |
357/545 |
7.4/6.0 |
| 09/23/23 Delaware State |
62-20 |
0.0
W
|
41/27 |
473/90 |
11.5/3.3 |
0/0 |
15/21 |
22/33 |
180/274 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
8.2/8.3 |
653/364 |
10.4/6.1 |
| 09/30/23 @ Kent State |
23-3 |
-14.5
W
|
27/28 |
102/78 |
3.8/2.8 |
0/0 |
11/18 |
23/30 |
194/128 |
0/0 |
4/7 |
7.2/3.5 |
296/206 |
5.5/3.2 |
| 10/07/23 Bowling Green |
27-0 |
-8.0
W
|
44/15 |
194/90 |
4.4/6.0 |
1/0 |
15/11 |
18/23 |
159/45 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
8.4/1.7 |
353/135 |
5.6/3.2 |
| 10/14/23 @ Western Mich |
34-21 |
-8.5
W
|
26/38 |
98/181 |
3.8/4.8 |
1/0 |
20/19 |
35/30 |
219/122 |
1/0 |
1/4 |
6.1/3.6 |
317/303 |
5.1/4.2 |
| 10/21/23 Toledo |
17-21 |
+2.0
L
|
25/42 |
123/183 |
4.9/4.4 |
1/0 |
17/16 |
36/28 |
185/148 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
4.7/5.1 |
308/331 |
4.8/4.7 |
| 10/28/23 @ Ohio |
30-16 |
+7.5
W
|
36/23 |
214/66 |
5.9/2.9 |
0/1 |
7/25 |
11/39 |
84/296 |
0/0 |
4/3 |
5.6/7.0 |
298/362 |
5.8/5.6 |
| 11/08/23 Akron |
19-0 |
-18.0
W
|
37/17 |
206/86 |
5.6/5.1 |
1/0 |
8/22 |
17/42 |
36/126 |
0/2 |
1/6 |
2.0/2.6 |
242/212 |
4.4/3.3 |
Buffalo
@ 
Miami Ohio