Game Analysis
BOSTON COLLEGE (-19) 31 Buffalo 7
My math model favors Boston College by 21 points and Buffalo applies to a very negative 18-70-2 ATS road underdog letdown situation that is based on the Bulls’ upset win over Army. I’m usually not fond of laying big points with a bad offensive team but BC is clearly the correct side in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.3
53.0
-
Run Yards
143.5
258.3
-
YPRP
4.7
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.5
12.5
-
Pass Att
27.8
20.8
-
Comp %
48.6%
60.2%
-
Pass Yards
131.5
147.0
-
Sacks
1.0
1.3
-
Sack Yards
6.8
10.0
-
Sack %
3.5%
5.7%
-
Pass Plays
28.8
22.0
-
Net Pass Yards
124.8
137.0
-
YPPP
4.3
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
61.0
75.0
-
Total Yards
275.0
405.3
-
YPPL
4.5
5.4
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.3
-
Int %
3.6%
1.2%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.5
32.5
-
Run Yards
131.8
91.0
-
YPRP
3.5
3.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
11.8
11.3
-
Pass Att
23.8
23.3
-
Comp %
49.5%
48.4%
-
Pass Yards
176.3
139.5
-
Sacks
1.0
2.8
-
Sack Yards
6.3
21.8
-
Sack %
4.0%
10.6%
-
Pass Plays
24.8
26.0
-
Net Pass Yards
170.0
117.8
-
YPPP
6.9
4.5
Total
-
Total Plays
64.3
58.5
-
Total Yards
308.0
230.5
-
YPPL
4.8
3.9
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.5
-
Int %
3.2%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
1.3
1.0
-
Turnovers
2.0
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/16 Albany |
16-22 |
0.0
L
|
45/29 |
243/142 |
5.4/4.9 |
1/0 |
17/14 |
34/21 |
159/98 |
3/0 |
3/2 |
4.3/4.3 |
402/240 |
4.9/4.6 |
| 09/17/16 @ Nevada |
14-38 |
+11.0
L
|
35/63 |
231/354 |
6.6/5.6 |
0/0 |
7/17 |
23/25 |
130/169 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
5.7/6.8 |
361/523 |
6.2/5.9 |
| 09/24/16 Army |
23-20 |
+13.5
W
|
32/66 |
88/404 |
2.8/6.1 |
0/1 |
20/4 |
31/10 |
178/42 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
5.7/3.8 |
266/446 |
4.2/5.8 |
| 10/01/16 @ Boston College |
3-35 |
+19.0
L
|
17/54 |
39/173 |
2.3/3.2 |
1/2 |
10/15 |
23/27 |
32/239 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
1.3/8.2 |
71/412 |
1.7/5.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Georgia Tech |
14-17 |
+3.0
T
|
36/42 |
180/130 |
5.0/3.1 |
2/1 |
11/8 |
17/15 |
172/110 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
9.6/6.9 |
352/240 |
6.5/4.1 |
| 09/10/16 @ Massachusetts |
26-7 |
-16.5
W
|
40/24 |
155/46 |
3.9/1.9 |
0/2 |
12/11 |
22/28 |
189/86 |
1/1 |
1/8 |
8.2/2.4 |
344/132 |
5.5/2.2 |
| 09/17/16 @ Virginia Tech |
0-49 |
+6.0
L
|
28/47 |
44/236 |
1.6/5.0 |
1/0 |
9/16 |
29/27 |
80/243 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
2.8/8.7 |
124/479 |
2.2/6.4 |
| 09/24/16 Wagner |
42-10 |
0.0
W
|
56/16 |
300/91 |
5.4/5.7 |
0/0 |
12/13 |
20/25 |
190/17 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
9.5/0.6 |
490/108 |
6.4/2.3 |
| 10/01/16 Buffalo |
35-3 |
-19.0
W
|
54/17 |
173/39 |
3.2/2.3 |
2/1 |
15/10 |
27/23 |
239/32 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
8.2/1.3 |
412/71 |
5.0/1.7 |
Buffalo
@ 
Boston College