Boston College @

Florida St.

Sat, Sep 24
ACC Network
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 345
Odds: Florida St. -18, Total: 48.5

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – FLORIDA STATE (-18)  37   Boston College  13

Boston College is struggling offensively, as their inexperienced offensive line (0 returning starters), can’t open running lanes (just 3.3 yards per rushing play) and has allowed 12 sacks in 3 games, which has derailed a pass attack that’s managed just 5.5 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 7.4 yppp to an average team). Florida State’s defense has been 0.5 yppl better than average and their only issue has been stopping the run. However, Boston College couldn’t even run the ball against Maine last week (just 4.3 yprp) and aren’t likely to take advantage of FSU’s defensive weakness. The Seminoles allowed just 5.6 yards per pass play to LSU and Louisville, who are both better than average passing teams, and I don’t see the pathetic BC pass attack having much success throwing the ball either.

Florida State has been great offensively, averaging 6.4 yards per play against better than average defensive teams LSU and Louisville. BC has allowed only 5.0 yppl in their 3 games but Rutgers, Virginia Tech and Maine are all bad offensive teams that would combine to average only 4.4 yppl against an average FBS defense. Florida State should move the ball well even if quarterback Jordan Travis can’t run due to the injury that forced him out of last week’s win over Louisville (he’s only run 49 yards on 10 runs this season).

Florida State is a Strong Opinion at -19 points or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Boston College
  • Florida St.
BC
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 24.7 34.7
  • Run Yards 82.0 170.3
  • YPRP 3.3 4.9




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.3 16.7
  • Pass Att 37.3 30.0
  • Comp % 59.8% 55.6%
  • Pass Yards 254.3 179.7
  • Sacks 4.0 2.7
  • Sack Yards 27.7 16.3
  • Sack % 9.7% 8.2%
  • Pass Plays 41.3 32.7
  • Net Pass Yards 226.7 163.3
  • YPPP 5.5 5.0

Total

  • Total Plays 66.0 67.3
  • Total Yards 308.7 333.7
  • YPPL 4.7 5.0

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.0
  • Int % 2.7% 3.3%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.3
  • Turnovers 1.3 1.3
 
  • Points 23.0 22.0
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